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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. same here in Etown. Havent been out to see if pingers are involved, and snows too deep to see it bouncing off stuff
  2. Heres my beloved NAM from last evening. Solid bust to the s/se sides and we may have a little more snow left to come. IMO the GFS did a decent job w/ r/s (like RGEM), but I've not seen a map posted that looks really close down our way. Guess that add's to the blended approach that we sometimes need to take.
  3. Not good. Now light snow and I'd say 1.75" if I were a to throw a guess out there.
  4. Thats what I was thinking also. I'd think you're right.
  5. If the RGEM stays on point w/ this lower LSV special, I'll pay more attention to it moving forward.....promise.
  6. Still mod snow in Etown. Closing in on 1.5. NWS said 1-2 so nice job.
  7. Dare I say I agree. It has done pretty well wrt how this has unfolded. That's good, cause the 12z says, lots more model watching to come in the next couple weeks. Not a fabulous look, but enough cold and storms looming that we should be able to have a couple more chances.
  8. While they struggled with this event, they nailed one earlier this season, so I'd say the takeaway is that models are just that...models, and we use accordingly and blend our own logic/consensus and go from there knowing bias/variables/tendencies thereof. That IS part of the fun of this sport.
  9. closing in on 1" here in etown. Heavy snow. already a winner for me.
  10. Mod snow in ETown. All white. All caved. Cant wait to drive to MHS to see a client later on.
  11. Its a wise move in challenging years. I've done the same but many here spend a lot of time all year and have a rather balanced perspective all year round. It was unhealthy for me a couple times in the past, and I too have adjusted my perspective and feel much better about "wasting time for snow". Hope your kids get to make a snowball today.
  12. steady light snow in ETown. Small but steay. Fringes starting to cave.
  13. But as you know, many in here (maybe you as well) have been searching for the next big one since 2016, and some of us have had VERY little ROI on that investment. I think you understand my point without further disco.
  14. I think we all know there are far more important things to worry about in life, but for a serious snow weenie/weather enthusiast that takes a lot of time in search of, its not unfair for some of us to get a little testy when peeps come in and slap us in a "moment of weaknes". Feel free to post here more, and then we'll enjoy watching you take some lumps like we do. BTW its snowing almost everywhere in our forum....so all is right in the world for a little bit.
  15. and after further review ITS SNOWING!! Not a typo... Not a joke... Serious shit...
  16. I hit the like button...then pulled it as i/we DONT LIKE IT... we are next pal.
  17. Do a couple donuts in a big parking lot w/ the kids. You'll instantly be the fav bus driver to 75%, and the other 25%....well...good luck w/ them.
  18. Not sure how much he stops in here, but I think most of us regulars try to share a mix of models and logic and try to boil it down (bad terminology I know) that makes reasonable sense, and thats what we share w/ the masses. And for the weenie posts, many here know that they are just that, and meant often for fun and not forecasts. We ARE better than that.
  19. Not sure who this is pointed at, but some of us "experienced" ones where showing people how the most recent models were misrepresenting "game time" obs that didnt match. Obs were also being shared to further prove that point. Personally I did that for peeps to use/learn from as we get so hung up on the models. That is all.
  20. as per 511 cams snow appears to bat aoa I81 corridor up to just above chambersburg. Keep pushin SE quickly....please and thank you. edit. snow in gettysburg as well
  21. yeah from what I saw on the cams, nothing wasted over your way. Seeing a couple of the RGEM and GFS runs makes us LSV'r have a smidge of hope that we can keep thermals long enough to get a bit of flakage that sticks as the appreciable precip starts to fall.
  22. looking at intellicast radar, its nice to see blues hangin on below us. Not saying a big surprise is in order, but as alluded to for the last couple days, ever hour we can hang on will help.
  23. I say the same....yet here we are. We're only 2 good runs away from hearing the big model worship vaccuum sound.
  24. After further review, I have a friend that grew up in Houtzdale, and I get up there several times a year with him. Beautiful area. Enjoy.
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