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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    your pessimistic stance shouldnt be shelved yet. oy vey..
  2. pasnownut
    NAM came out swinging. ICON coming in hot....like thermally hot. notable changes at 78 Where did I put that ledge......
  3. pasnownut
    Hey....we(well you anyway) may finally need to make a beer run
  4. pasnownut
    I'd bet tomorrow earliest...assuming things hold together today. Even though the track is looking favorable, the temps are a concern for us LSV'rs and for next week....thats WAY to far out with lots of time to see where things go after the Churchgoersuntie event IMO
  5. pasnownut
    its just funny how some make calls and get ignored, but when others "make the call" the likes are almost instantaneous "likes". I dont post for likes, but its merely an observation that makes me (and I'm sure others) chuckle.
  6. pasnownut
    and if one were to further extrapolate.... 700's look fine 850's look fine (but would be getting close down here if we had 2 more panels to view) 2m temps decent and would likely lead to snowglobe stickage to everything kinda snow.
  7. pasnownut
    I'll "nice call" myself.....
  8. pasnownut
    It looms close on LR guidance. Gotta hope the NAO holds tight but tellies dont look so hot (or do they) once we turn the calendar. Time for that to change, but this looks like a window of opp that we need to cash one or 2 in on. Sorry for you guys down south of the M/D line.
  9. pasnownut
    Sure has been rough sledding. You've had a couple bouts w/ winter up/over that way though. I know compared to normal the suckfactor is high though. My family has yet to see a flake this year..... well, there's one that lives w/ them, but that doesnt really count.
  10. pasnownut
    Looking at the setup on the 6z NAM thermal profiles coupled w/ slp track/placement, I'm gonna hedge a bet and say its coming out swinging as it leads off the nooners. But thats extrapolating.....
  11. pasnownut
    as you know all too well, down here in the LSV is often riding the line..... No matter if I like what they say or not, forecasters for our area earn their stripes. there i go again....defending them.
  12. pasnownut
    Noone is saying youre wrong, but coming into a weather disco thread and offering nothing but complaints wont win anyone over...cause most of us already know, understand and accept the frustrations.
  13. pasnownut
    at this juncture, still enough uncertainty down here that I can understand that. Wow, I actually sound like I'm defending them...
  14. pasnownut
    What an awesome experience that was. I remember it like it was yesterday.
  15. pasnownut
    icon actually ticked SE a bit from 0z. Not much but better but better than heading the wrong way. It lets go of the primary a tad earlier as well. Helps our precious thermal gradient. Cant believe I'm wanting to throw my chips on it, but it's definately inside the scope of options for us. Its an ideal track for us all things considered.
  16. pasnownut
    early morning GFS finally starts to come around to the earlier coastal. 0z run at 84 had slp in KY 6z has slp in south GA. Still not a winner for me, but gotta get the track right before anyone can fret over how much shoveling you'll be doing, but verbatim this track is coming in line and should make many central and northers happy. I still need to see the other camps stay south for me to be in the game. Shit..........I needed to get work done today.
  17. pasnownut
    yeah were all "down w da sickness"
  18. pasnownut
    or at the 0z's He can say all he wants, but hes a sucker for punishment - like most of us some of us just wear it better than others
  19. pasnownut
    Still setting a low bar down here in SE Pa for this weekend. Nice to see the Ens guidance still notably east, but soon enough (like tomorrow) we need to start paying more attention to the Op's (good or bad) as they will start to hone in on the have's and have nots for this weekend. Beyond that its silly to put much credence into individual storm disco other than general chances and pattern evolution.
  20. pasnownut
    I wish you were wrong but the word horrid'r comes to mind. Run to run variations are just crazy at long range, but even into the mid range its just dizzying.
  21. pasnownut
    Not for me it’s not. Verbatim it’s rather painful….but that how it goes. #makinbelieversouttaheathens
  22. pasnownut
    And if it’s not…. I’ll be your pal no matter what the friggin weather does.
  23. pasnownut
    Posting snow maps. You rebel I like it
  24. pasnownut
    Just a reminder of all of our spring snow events when its 50 the day before and a winter wonderland the next day. Not saying I like getting snow that way, but I'll take my chances in prime time climo w/ a storm south of our latitude...no matter the result. While its not south on every model, there is a trend in that direction. Guess we'll find out soon enough....or when the 18z GFS has it back in the UP of Michigan. flipppidy flop the model goes....
  25. pasnownut
    Thats the big reason many are here...correct. Rug may once again be pulled out....but if so, it wont be for the same reasons, as the PAC is starting its transition away from trough to ridging. THATS my takeaway, but for some, it doesnt matter how you fail...its still the same (and rather understandable).
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