pasnownut

thx Life (and death) happens....this one just ended too soon. I'll give you the honors of sharing Calvert Cnty MD winner winner chicken dinner w/ 49" on 6z GFS perty snow map (hr 378) for some eye candy. If you spit coffee on screen.....I warned you.

arent we always? Funeral today, so give me something to look forward to for HH.....K?

Early morning NAM extrapolated should pick many up for #2 Tuesday event. qpf notably north of GFS counterpart. and just looking at 6z GFS, it also comes a bit north for Tuesday. #rightwherewewantit

No offense to him, but I'm not sure I want to read his forecasts.... I'd quit the sport.....

Just saw this after I posted. lol

If you can show us the model that had 5" of sn/ip for HBG for this weekends event, I'd love to see it. And I'm not talking perty colored snow maps. You've done this plenty long enough to know they are usually bunk with mix events. Blizz is correct, this one has been modelled as a mix down in the LSV for many days. You just take your sloppy inch and like it. Tues #2 is and has been our first legit chance for appreciable snow in the LSV, and then you can start adding up a few inches, if were lucky...or you can drive to VA an shovel some into your trunk and throw it into your yard so the that #3 can wash it away. (thats a joke....for now).

taking a broader look at tellies one would still argue that ''buckle up'' is still an appropriate phrase for next couple weeks. PNA gong slightly + also supports a broad trough (albeit low amp), but verbatim would suppress baroclinic zone a bit further south than the Op GFS is showing. Something to keep an eye on anyways. Ok back to work for me. Philly cheesteaks for us Egles fans here at work, and now I gotta sell somethin. I hope Euro saves us all. TTFN

AO at -3 deviation give me a touch of hope. NAO now looking to go neg next week also says a little better troughing here in the east is a possible course correction that the models may latch onto in the coming days. AO was our path to victory a few years back .

euro is gonna put the hammer down for #2 mid week mauler and rope y'alls asses right back in I can feel it...or is that whats in my holster?

queuing Ruin in 3..... 2.... 1....

so maybe we put em back in holsters, but we can keep our hands on em.....

Only caveat that give me a little hope is that GFS ens twins are notably less ridgy for #3. GEPS would argue that we get a shellacking (basing off of 500's). Not done yet me thinks.

what a diff a day makes.

bust-a-nut ??

said to a salesguy.... you CAN trust me..... promise....lolhehehaha

I think they were largely posted for fun, but the real takeaway is an active period is headed our way and now we just gotta hope for a flush hit or 2 within. If one looks beyond #4 nutbuster (that was for bub)...there would be more numbers and names needed for week 2

As you know, overrunning events often come in a little quicker than modeled, so not a total surprise. In this situ, yeah any stuff that is early is white. Hoping that trend continues on meso's

arguably one of my all time favorites. Being as close to you as I am, it was exactly how you describe, and I was out on snowmobile and had to come in because of the sleet intensity. When it flipped....it just ripped for another 6ish hours and I was just in awe... thx for the reminder.

No matter how all this shakes down...Havin fun w/ y'all. Other id thoughts came to mind w/ the ID's but some were not so family oriented. I was hell bent on suggesting namin #4 the NUTbuster event, but i didnt want yall thinkin bout me when doin your best work w/ your significant other next weekend. That'd marsh your mellow real quick.

Based on the thread/storm id chatter.... Can I suggest to keep it simple (and in one thread) ID them as follows: #1 - Tomorrows icy/snow gig #2- next weeks mid week mauler (wed) #3 - next weeks mid week mauler part 2 (thurs) #4 - the weekend of love event Rather simple n basic but if you are chattin up something just put the # event, and we'll go from there. We're smart like that.

Slightly more frozen than yesterday, but south of 80 mostly ZR/IP. North of 80 sn/ip would be my guess. Poconos, winner winner

Not sure about y'all, but the black ice was LEGIT on the way into the office. My arse was almost sideways a couple times. Funny thing is that digi thermo stayed between 36-37 whole way in. Guess ground temps just cold enough for the refreeze.

Yeah, this has been on my mind as well. Only thing we know is that we are locked and loaded for storms/qpf. Still think Tues is out best shot, but theres alot to iron out after that. I'm not sold on the cutter scenarios, but if strong enough and NAO slightly pos, it sure is a viable option....just not the preferred one.

well....if that gets anywhere close to verifyin....we all may have WFH status for a couple days.

Just gonna say it. I may be sportin a no pants needed tent if we get a few more model runs like the HH. Yes....said purely for visual purposes to laugh at my expense.