pasnownut

still negligable changes at 60.

thru 54 very minor changes overall

GFS thru 42, thermals a touch warmer but not a big deal yet

since I'm not diggin what its showin....I'm down w/ that. I'm goin full on wishcastin weather weenie for the next hour, and we'll see where that gets me/us.

Will GFS keep hopes and dreams alive.....?? Here we go.

2m temps notably colder, so lets hope future runs latch onto CAD to mitigate pinger intrusion for lsv. Thats a 50/50 blend of wishcasting and what 2m temps show.

icon still all snow at 66. Finishes maybe a tad better than HH. dryslot now evident as primary holds on too long

Icon thru 60 also shows a tad colder surface. Every little bit helps....so far.

3k notably colder than big brother at surface thru 60. All i got for ya

DT goin whole hog on us. Wow

13.9"

I really think for once, your locale will benefit from being too far east for warm nose intrusion, and far enough west for waa from coastal. You should be all in pal. Were I you, I'd not worry much at all. Huntingon to Skook/Nepa dude still gets my vote for max snow's

700's were a razors edge from column being supportive of all snow. Thats why i stated that just a little bit one way or the other would be a notable diff. Also because taint window was at max qpf timeframe and at 1-2" hr rates, 3 hrs means a LOT for those of us on the line.

Come on....... you were all in well before you said you were........all in. Weenie

For your wish to come true, Euro needs to drop primary quicker.

Just need HH Euro to pop coastal a touch sooner, and I'm all in. Still feeling pretty darn good about MBY seein 12" before any taint (if any), and if not, 16" is my new hi bar. Still dont think well keep hi ratios some are suggesting in southeastern parts of the LSV.

wraps up around noon Monday. F me runnin. Pleasant surprise.

GFS makes dreams come true. Now how many chips do we throw in??

yep. Mauler inbound. I've got a twitch in my jortz

at 78, primary poof n coastal pops 100ish off Chessy bay. Saves us from warm nose. Gonna be a white run for LSV verbatim.

out to 78, HH GFS is tryin hard to win yall over. I know I'm liking what I'm seein...so far.

We dont wanna listen, but to your point, us lower susqu'rs cannot ignore this. to the contrary, this isnt a miller A, this is a B that its coming more at us than up, and with the deep cold entrenchment in lower and mid levels, this is a situ where CAD could/should really show its teeth IMO. If we had a 50/50, this'd b a storm of epic proportions, but based on progressive nature, not sure how big the warm nose will be. Still need to root on quicker secondary pop, or less consolidation w/ primary.

something to be mindful of, is that if/when we taint, its pingerville and not rain. I'd think tomorrow skew Ts can start being considered and will hold more weight once we define primary/secondary SLP placements and timing of jump to the coast. Verbatim, HH Nam is a razors edge for lsv, with 850's still safe through entirety. Thats a pinger signal if we ever saw one, and just a little wiggle south, can keep the pingers right on the M/D line, or if north, up to second tier souther counties. If this look could hold, I'd sign right now and not fret the upside that it doesnt show for us southeasters. A little move back south tonight and M/D line sees a nice bump in snow totals. Really not sure how this cookie crumbles, but at least we've got the cookie firmly in our grasp.

back from philly and morgantown meetings. HH Nam was a touch better wrt transition zone eeking south a bit from 12z. sorta splitin hairs i know, but when your in that battlezones, a little can mean a lot. Primary hangin too tough verbatim.

Well at least I’m in the qpf bullseye. What it falls as, find out in 36ish hrs. Hoping for 80/20 snow/pingers