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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. They need to step away from the bottle. Show me one run that suggests that quick a cutoff. Most we are looking at show midnight to early sunday morning.
  2. and because we know its pingers and not ZR, I personally dont really care. Its the ultimate pack densifier/retention agent. Especially with cold that is to follow. Just like my wife always tells me, I dont need too much...just enough. with that I say gnight.
  3. verbatim, GFS keeps me white thru duration. 700's/850"s/skew T's approve of this post. I'm riding that horse off to bed. My oldish buzzed arse has a lot of prep work to do for Sunday Snowy Funday. nightynight
  4. Yep, it was a christmas staple at my parents/relatives houses.
  5. GFS still trolling hard for CTP and LSV. It is now my wishicasting model of choice for Fern. It pops secondary while others seem to delay or not transfer. IMO that is partly why its a crowd pleaser (for viewing purposes).
  6. My mom used to make me a couple gallons every year. Diabetes sorta put the kaibosh to that. I've since learned a less sugary way to do it. I'd love nothin more than to mix some of her secret stash, and share it w/ yall.
  7. wow. Is enjoy the proper response? send that shit south. I want whatever we get to be here for weeks. FYI, I still have enough snow cover that I could scoot around on snomobiles in fields. I will take pics tomorrow as I need to work on one. Yall will need to help me post it. Pics are a pain in da arse on this site.
  8. Out to 12 GFS is too early to tell.......... Im a dick....I know.
  9. They are smart to hold the line. Peeps know its coming, and if they need to tweak tomorrow night...so be it, but no matter what the tweak is, this isnt going from something to nothing....its just going to be a different big headache (and possibly more substantial if we taint a lot. In the end, its gonna be travel challenges, and possibly more notable w/ pingerfest vs big ass drifts. pick your travel poison.
  10. yall can debbie all you want, but so far 0z mesos look just fine to me. minimal taint and front end poundtown.
  11. And I may eat crow for saying that, but if one is merely model watchin and basin thoughts on 6 hr outputs, there are 5 more runs to consider, so buckle up. Some of us weenies throw a little more at it than that. In the end it may not matter but I don’t live and die by 6 hr outputs. I will not cut bait till 18z tomorrow.
  12. Since the kids are out of earshot feel free to swear with wreckless abandon.
  13. I think cad will at some point tick SN/Ip line a bit further SE but it may not be till after it adjusts a tick (or2) further NW really hope further WAA intrusion is stopped at 0z or 6z
  14. In state of emergency I can take my sleds on roads legally. Last time it happened I offered cops my assistance and gave number if they needed quick access.
  15. It’s looking good right now imo. Still think a little upside possible.
  16. They kno not everyone will adhere, but if your in a Prius and not legit 4 wheel drive, it’s your hint to stay home.
  17. And cad is often under modeled so imo no matter how the sneaky 700 layer taints the slightest adjustments for cad will only show up tomorrow nooners and beyond. primary keeps making its press known, then we’ve got a battle. while this is a tough line I still like that the waa is coming at us and not straight up from the south. Not abandoning what I’ve been feeling for days. If I’m wrong, so be it. Gonna b a great event even if we ping down here.
  18. Yeah MU can say n do what he wants. 18zs say it ain’t over by a king shot and even if us SErs lose some to taint a pingerfest is what we transition to. I’m knocking table right now. Check.
  19. yeah somewhere between you and i looks to be "the line". Not sweatin it yet, but if 0z NAM's come in any warmer, it might be time to start rethinkin my thinkin. This event has been largely consistent on most models for a couple days, so I cant imagine big surprises exist, but for as we've been sayin for a couple days, a little means a lot for us in the transition zone.
  20. Warmer runs you can see the STJ pumping a little harder which helps keep primary a tad more juiced and hangin on longer. Thats my take anyways. GFS really is the best way to win this one and verbatim HH was a tough better once coastal pops as column cools and we are once again safe vertically speakin. With Euro still hangin on as well, I'll roll the dice w/ GFS Euro combo and any B teamers that wanna join in.
  21. GFS held serve. Man do I wanna believe. NAM's hard not to consider tho. 0z's gonna be boom r bust for LSV. If Euro holds, I'll breathe a little better.
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