pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Don’t know what snow maps will look like but I’m down with what the 0z NAM is showing.
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@48 LP slightly sse of 18 z. Ip/zr as well. Oh so close to a kaboom for me. Happy so far.
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More uniform western expanse of qpf early on.
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That’s a great point. We are now entering the time where op and mesos start gaining weight as they are higher resolution.
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Green is the mean but that can and will move as the outliers directly aftect it.
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I hope the 4 WAAYYY east outliers can offset the 14 western outliers. Ughh.
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Sauss testing out his new snowblower
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Yeah it’s similar to the NAM in that a brief window of taint is likely and if it’s sleet then back to a few inches of deform/wraparound I’m down with that. Like some of us suggest..pack retention
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thats copy n paste from the Euro.....so in the Euro HE trusts.
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While 18z will make me sleep better my brethren to the NW wouldn’t like. LP tucked a bit closer and feel the qpf shield would be more expansive to the NW. Not sure I’m buyin what it’s selling.
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piss...... meet cheerios.
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Its rather normal for us to mix in big events. easterly fetch gets us most times. We expect it....but whenever the possibility of minimizing it is in play.....yeah we grab it w/ both hands and hug the shit out of whatever model looks best......see what i did there? Man I'm killin it today.
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look at se lanco 4-6'' dot and nw side 20+ can anyone understand why I'm a wee bit on edge?? and of course I know this likely needs smoothed out a bit, but no doubt 30-40 miles is the difference between heaven and heartbreak.
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3k still wants some skin in da game
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Blame Bastardi....everyone else does. Still love that guy.
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I'll stop posting maps, but 850s' also follow suite to 700's and at 54 we lose them, but bt 57 were all in the game and entire state is cold enough for snow. I'll personally take it and be giddy, cause we'd ALL be giddy together.
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all good. Check out thermal profile i just posted, you can see at 700 the column/best lift is SE.
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and for further comparison 12z 18z to my eyes, its a step better but maybe i need glasses.
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12z 18z 18z less tucked in was my point. It was a step better for mby (speaking solely on the NAM output). Thats all I'm saying. Snow map was less widespread, and a bit SE of 12z, but I guess I'm more worried about me.
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ahh....f it. its just for fun. If you toggle through 12z vs 18z a notable SE adjustment. Obviously we take w/ a large dose of caution, but all in all, it puts us all in a warning wide event w/ MAG to voyager being jackspots.
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NAM just made a nice step in the right direction. Waiting for the taboo snow maps, but I'm liking it...alot.
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Early look and gut says NAM wants all to be happy around my house. HP/cad looks a little more stout and surface notably better than 12z....will it jump in line or keep me near the cliff. Let you know in 10.
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and if I might add to it, to put into simpler terms, its a blend between best thermals (best snow growth is aoa -10 isotherm)....BUT....you also need best lift/qpf to help achieve, so just because you have one, doesn't mean you have the other, but its the closest point/axis between the 2 that you likely see the best totals. Mag/taggers/anyone feel free to tweak my statement if needed.
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Enjoy. You surely deserve to be on the fun side of it for a change. Hang out w/ us. We'll make it fun/interesting for sure. Plus you can keep some of us whackjobs in line.
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as i stated earlier, it would need to be aoa 16-18:1
