Don't blame them for being conservative. Marginal temps mean accumulations will be hard to come by. Screw zone and bust potential pretty big on this one as it is with most of these ULLs.
RAH with nice write up tonight. Sounds like they might be upping totals
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off
"everyone" is a big group but I would think anyone north and west of I-85 will see at least a little sleet. But this is predominately a ZR scenario outside of the mtns.
One things for sure. I am done reading "Winter Outlooks" from anyone whether it's a Met or not. It's such a crapshoot and personally don't want to get my hopes up again.