jpbart

Amen, brother, amen!

Well here in SC, we been knocking on the door of 100 deg or higher for quite some time. 90 would feel pretty good right now. Yes, I am stunned I wrote that, and mildly sad.

Sorry NC, I washed my truck and tuned up the motorcycle, hence the rain shifting south. I will try and do some garden work were the rain would help out and restart the drought down here so y'all have a better chance at rain.

I am a bit confused here. If you read the whole paragraph in the link, it appears to contradict itself. Can somebody clue me in? Is this a roundabout way to say cooler fall and winters after a dry, hot summer? A warm-phase ENSO event, or El Niño, strengthens the subtropical jet stream and typically keeps it just to our south, which means a moisture-rich storm track through the Gulf of Mexico and off our coast. South-central Texas and the southeast US will be mostly cool and wet because the cold, moist air from the Pacific Ocean entering the southern states enhances clouds and rainfall and cools temperatures due to lack of direct sunlight. In turn, much of the northern United States and Canada will be warm during an El Niño event because the polar jet stream swings farther east over the northeastern United States. For much of the southeastern United States during the summer of an El Niño event, the climate is usually warmer and drier. (emphasis mine)

Good luck brother. Fire is no joke, I hope you and your family avoid any fire issues and remain safe & sound.

Watch has been extended to more counties, with a warning in GA. Wind advisory is also posted for most of the midlands of SC. It looks to get pretty bumpy out there.

A+. It not only snowed in Columbia, but we had a winter wonderland effect of actual accumulation in inches with blowing large flakes looking gorgeous during the day.

In Columbia SC spring is when you turn the A/C on two or three days a week. Summer is when it's on 24/7, typically starts in May and lasts well into October.

Columbia SC here, this is a dark oblivion for snow. It will snow in the mountains and the coast, not here. Flurries would be remarkable, 2 inches would feel a miracle and if we hit on the max levels it would be a joyous disaster! Milk and bread have been cleaned out already and the whole place is tense with anticipation.

Lurking here from Columbia SC. This ice storm scenario worries me. Might have to buy a generator to mitigate stress.

Thanks!

Quick question, does anyone have suggestions for good YouTube weather forecasts? I watch WXrisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody had other people who do the overall picture as well.

I was curious who everyone's favorite weather YouTuber is? I am in the South East (SC), and I watch a lot of WxRisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody else gives a big picture to the nation's weather, and or the South East.

Asheville-Oct 31 Charlotte- Nov 2 Raleigh- November 1

It's called having a mortgage payment and kids in school, highly effective anchors.

Below is a statement from the NWS and I was hoping somebody could fill me in on what this forecaster is talking about here. Trying to learn a bit about all of this. Any instability that develops should be driven by steep mid-level lapse rates in association with the deepening upper trough. Why is this interesting? I`m glad you asked - it is primarily owed to the wind profiles this afternoon being quite favorable for severe hail. It is unlikely that we have even low amounts of instability advect into our forecast area; however, if a strong storm can sustain itself east of the better environment, it wouldn`t be surprising that at storm or two produced marginalia-severe or sub-severe hail.

Try living in Columbia, SC. Complete failure while others score is the new normal. We did get something like 1/2" that lasted about 3 hours and there was much joyous celebration over that. Otherwise, cold rain is our normal winter outcome, with some black ice when the cold arrives after the main event.

Around Columbia SC we had several tornado signatures on radar (3 or 4?) and tornado warnings posted. Storms overperformed a bit in the sever weather dept.

Hoping for a long spring with sunny days but not needing the A/C 24/7 until June. Yeah, I know. A man can dream, a man can dream.

Thanks!

Question: I want to access the various computer model outputs like a lot of members here appear to do. Is that possible and how do I do that? Site recommendations, any help, or advice would be greatly appreciated.

UHG! ICE galore for Columbia, SC. Curses!

Yes, that may be a factor adding instability to the current climate and changing things so previous analog years are less predictive. The effect is likely small over time currently but it is not well understood so it's effects are hard to pin down. General consensus is it makes things more extreme, droughts a bit more intense etc.

This appears to be the new normal, snow is just getting to be a less frequent event over time. I have stopped thinking about it and have just moved on. Being in Columbia SC this seems like the best way to preserve my sanity. I wish all of you snow people luck and maybe a miracle will happen and I get flurries this year while y'all get 18".

2.48" in the rain bucket for W. Columbia, Yay! Had 0.21" the day before with hopefully a bit more today. Being this happy about muggy rain filled days is a testament to how dry it's been. Hope Y'all score some rain, but not too much rain.