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NavarreDon

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    2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    6 hours ago, MikeGold said:

    Don,

    You definitely deserve a prize! :)  The NWS Facebook page has a map showing the 34" inch total there. I noted that there was 30" snow depth recorded on the ground this morning at Mt Mitchell in the daily climate report.  FYI...if you look in the comments section, you will see some comments I made on how they are depicting snowfall amounts in the Plott Balsams.  Let us just say I think they can do better...they didn't like that but I feel they did carefully consider what I had to say and perhaps future maps will be more accurate because of it? :) (It should be noted that climate data isn't actually from the top of Mt. Mitchell but from the ranger station about 400 feet lower down the mountain.  Winds are always stronger at the top and more snowfall but nobody is crazy enough to try to measure it up there! :) )  

     

     
     
     
     

    What do you think will be the MAX snowfall amount in the @NWSGSP forecast area w/ this winter storm? (Feel free to reply w/ WHERE you think it might be!) Note, we cover 46 counties in W NC, Upstate SC & NE GA: https://www.weather.gov/images/gsp/gsp_cwfa.gif … #ncwx #scwx #gawx #wncwx #cltwx #gspwx #avlwx

     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
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    Replying to @NWSGSP

    33" @MtMitchellStPk Extra credit.....45mph winds at times!

    6:58 PM - 7 Dec 2018
    • Like 2

    2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    Mt. Mitchell picked up 34".     Very pleased how this event turned out.  So long..till the next big storm!


    Hey Mike, quick question where did you get the info on Mitchell? Reason being is GSP did a contest on Twitter for the storm for where the most snow would fall. I predicted 33” on Mitchell. It was way above anyone else. I also threw in 45mph wind at some point during the storm for extra credit. Need to rag them a little bit if this is accurate.


    .

    2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    I apparently threw out my back last night pushing a car, people need to learn how to drive, I pushed close to 15 cars yesterday lol. What an amazing event overall. Got to have a lot of fun tracking it, actually might have enjoyed tracking it more than the event itself. I'm really excited to see what the rest of winter holds. But let's thaw out first.


    Agree completely with the tracking. The Christmas 2010 storm hooked me bad!


    .

    2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    Here is the MOB morning disco. Gas meets fire for you guys upstream! 

    .NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday night/...A strong upper level
shortwave will move eastward out of the southwest states today.
An associated area of low pressure will move eastward along the
coast this afternoon and evening with a warm front stretched
eastward from the low along the coast. Ahead of the low, a strong
low level jet of 50 to 60 knots is expected to develop and this
will help bring an increase surge of Gulf moisture into the
region by this afternoon. Precipitable water values are forecast
to climb to near 1.9 inches just in advance of the low. The
combination of the deep layer moisture and strong forcing
downstream of the upper shortwave and sfc low will lead to
development of heavy rain across the area primarily during the
afternoon and evening hours. Most areas can expect a general 2 to
4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts before the rain
exists the area late tonight.

The severe weather potential continues to look very marginal and
confined to areas along the immediate coast where weak instability
may reach inland as the warm front moves north just ahead of the
approaching low pressure system. We cannot completely rule out an
isolated tornado or damaging wind gust due to the strong low level
shear. However, the best potential for rotating storms will remain
over the coastal waters. The primary threat will continue to be the
potential for flash flooding in the watch area. In addition, rip
currents and heavy surf can be expected at the beaches. Minor
coastal flooding will also be possible late this afternoon into
tonight.

There will be a very sharp temperature gradient along the warm front
today with locations north of the warm front staying in the mid/
upper 40s and low 50s. Locations south of the warm front could reach
into the upper 60s to near 70. Breezy conditions will also develop
today, especially in areas south of the warm front along the coast
where the higher momentum air aloft mix down to the surface. A
wind advisory may be required later today. /13
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