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NavarreDon

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Posts posted by NavarreDon

  1. More phasing means a stronger cyclone, the stronger the cyclone, the more latitude it gains to move poleward. It’s also plowing into an increasingly transient high. A big thing that’s changed the past few days is that our high isn’t as “locked in” as we thought. It’s scooting into a less and less favorable position as the storm progresses.

    Sometimes the model can be to quick to break down the ridge. I’m curious to see what the euro shows & more importantly what sort of tale the ensembles tell.


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  2. I’m not sure that run of the GFS is accurate with the track of the low. It’s moving the HP kinda strangely. I think based on history and synoptics the low track may be a bit further south before making the turn. My guess (only a guess) is that for the Mnts. there is a bit more snow & a bit less sleet with the system. Of course the warm nose will have its say in this.


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  3. Morning folks, just wanted to let you know I’m watching from afar. Everything that a typical big Southern snow entails is in play here. Good, bad, and ugly as seen in the models. Lots of good advice on living and dying with every model run in this current part of the thread. The chase is so much of the fun, don’t let it consume you. I’ll give some thoughts a bit later as things come into better focus. Enjoy the ride as this could be a really fun one!


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  4. Don, I have a special place in my heart for the Gulf Coast. I was stationed at NAS Pensacola, and spent some time at the NCBC Gulfport and New Orleans. Great people, great region! I could not be happier for you folks.

    One of my best friends (now retired) was a flight surgeon and spent a good bit of time at NAS Pensacola. We will always have a piece of the Mnts in our hearts but we love living here. Thank you all for the kind words and letting me share my out of place posts in your thread!


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  5. Good morning from the Panhandle of Florida Mnt & Foothill Peeps, we ended the event with 7.75” of snow & some drifts upwards of 16”. It’s currently 16 degrees. This has truly been a historic storm down this way. Records have been shattered from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Thank you for letting me share my excitement in your thread!!!
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