Buckethead

I'm guessing they issued this because of ice concerns and not snowfall. NCZ033-048>052-058-110400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0013.191211T0000Z-191211T1200Z/ Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, and Waynesville 255 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of up to one inch, up to 2 inches possible in the highest elevations, and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Higher elevations of the North Carolina mountains along the Tennessee border. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

50° when I left my house at 7am. I'm down to 37.2° right now. Gonna be a cold night!

I'm ready for a big dog, but I'll gladly take a thin fresh coat in my yard. The snow is almost gone from the last one. Boy, the 12km Nam sure does like the potential overnight Tuesday into Wednesday.

Putting new brakes and rotors on my Jeep this morning in the snow. I love the mountain life...even when I'm working in it!

The 12z euro had a lot of eye candy for next weekend. There's a little bit of everything precip wise. Long way to go though..hopefully it shows up into the mid range.

That run was worth two. Here's hoping the euro is sniffing one out.

Got a little more snow last night, I measured just now and have about 2.75" everywhere. Still a little short of what was forecast.

I saw someone on social media say they received 4" in Burnsville. Unless they're in the area of the NW side of Mt. Mitchell I'm seriously doubting that. Back to flurries here.

I've been at work today so I had to get a shot off the dash cam for y'all. After all of that wind I still have 2" on the ground here.

Sure does look like it's over here. Clouds are breaking and the wind died off. After all of that snow blowing around who knows how much actually fell but I have at least 2" on the ground everywhere I've checked so that's what I'm going with for a measurement. Better than nothing.

Right at an inch on the ground at 7am. Still coming down pretty good. I thought there'd be more overnight but I'm not complaining.

This stuff is like fat little snowballs falling from the sky. Everything is coated and its pouring.

Moderate snow now. 33.8°/28. Should whiten up pretty quickly.

32.4° and flurries here currently.

WWAs are up for the border counties. It wouldn't surprise me if they eventually get upgraded to WSW's by tomorrow morning.

Currently have my third thunderstorm of the day. This one is pretty loud...saw a little graupel on my deck.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=umv&band=09&length=12 Impressive water vapor loop this evening of the low. I'm pretty optimistic about what it could mean tomorrow night into Monday morning.

Gsp mentioning the slight possibility of thundersnow early Monday morning.

Something I read in the GSP AFD yesterday about the ensembles not matching the operational runs. I haven't been able to get my link for the gefs to work in a few weeks. Perhaps I misread something... That's good to hear though, thank you! Edit:cleared my browser and now my links are working. Yeah, I obviously misread something.

The overeating has already begun. It's my wife's fault for putting the pumpkin pie in the fridge last night lol. That stuff is irrestible cold! Has anyone had a look at the ensembles? Can't really look right now, just wondering if they still aren't agreeing with the operational models on the nwf event Sun/Mon.. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all!

I hope you don't take me as questioning your expertise man, I'm a nerd that likes to read and was curious if you knew how to find that data lol. And please don't tone yourself down, it's not like you're Mike Seidelling it lol. Thanks for the info as always!

Do you have any data on the top 5 NWF events in the past decade?

Not when GSP is saying this like this in the AFD! "Deep moisture wrapping around the back of the low is reflected in basically all guidance, and deep cold air will be ushered into the area quickly behind the main front late on Sunday, with anticipated fetches off the Great Lakes. The details aren`t all that well-resolved, and seem to disagree especially in ensemble guidance, but the general pattern seems to be shaping up nicely for the season`s first big NW flow snow event Sunday night into Monday."

Now that's my type of problem! Looks like there'll be a great lakes connection.

Right on queue! That would be a great start to meteorological winter.