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tavwtby

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Everything posted by tavwtby

  1. so I can't see the full Euro, but TT is showing the Op cutting and ENS showing a LP south of SNE, how confident are we about the 7th threat at this range? heights look good too, looks legit to me, again, a week out so we'll have to see how the week goes, but would be nice to see something before I head south mid month to start new vocation.. where it's like 60/70 degrees daily it seems.
  2. it's winters like this, where we don't really have any pack until, for me anyway, mid Jan, where the longer into the season, the more I'd be happy with just a big one or two and forget the pack... I think in order to make a run at pack depth, you need a good Dec and decent cold to stick around... even if we had a foot on the ground starting on Xmas, this week would have eaten it up by today, hopefully the 7th doesn't do what the last 4 storm threats have done and turn 40 and rain, this weekend was supposed to be something a week ago and now look... sucks for snow lovers but congrats nne, at least you guys are getting something, I'm sitting at 5", and half that came in Nov when I was in florida.
  3. are we going to play the storm sig a week out, only to cut or marginalize airmass our way to 32.1* RN?? it seems to me that the model guidance has gotten worse over the years not better, and even looking at real time teleconnectors, which one would say, are favorable for something to pop, it breaks down last minute and suppresses or shreds, or cuts...we all know that alot needs to align for a KU or MECS, but ffs, it's like the every single time meme lately... thought I would get my birthday storm on the third but that now appears 40 and rain, well there's always the next week, until we get to mid January and only really a few good weeks of solid winter. Think it was 3 years ago, we did this same thing, and finally got a good one in February, and another one late March iirc, but that was it, sorry just venting, want my last winter here to yield something significant
  4. congrats on the bonus last night who got some, I went to bed with grass cancel and woke to grass...oh well, still early, looking a bit promising for Jan onward
  5. first year with chickens, seeing them react to the snow is funny, I wasn't here for the after Thanksgiving little snow so my first time seeing their reaction, I'm like wait until we have a good snowfall, a couple inches and they won't come out the run, gonna have to tarp it when it really snows I think, anyway final is 2" here, never really got going after the initial snowfall, looked good but peetered out
  6. really, where are you up east main or the other side? I've got 2 on the nose here and snowing pretty good again
  7. started again as that line is collapsing south a bit, imagine this is what it's like to live in a LES area, snow just away from you and actually snowing hard, but you're noda, well not any more
  8. WWA from Aly for tonight/tomorrow morning ice event, calling for a glaze to .10" ... I don't like the ice, I'll take white please instead, or just plain RN will do, funny how they say tenth, and while technically correct, anyone who's worked in machine shop or with very tight tolerance drawings with tell you that's a hundred thousandths and a renth is one ten thou, thought id share
  9. that line needs to sink like 10 miles south for me to get going again, looks nice behind that too for a bit, good training echoes
  10. it's stopped here for the time being but is still going just to my north good, I'll be submitting an official when it's done to Aly and on here too
  11. eyeballing about 2" out there, was really ripping good around 4 when I got up and was just a coating, so most of this fell last three hours
  12. radar looking a bit better than modeled but it be dry as a bone, so we'll see if we can squeeze an inch outta this, then focus on the mess that follows for Saturday and beyond, see if I can't get my birthday storm for the 3rd as well, it's been a while...
  13. wind to boot, deep winter without the white, at least it'll set the antecedent air for Fri, how long it lasts is in question tho
  14. talking about 76-77&77-78, in these parts, data from the closest station, we had 90 and 130" respectively, so not so bone dry and cold, and alot of 77-78 came in the span of three weeks iirc, but we just had a fairly dry winter, can't recall the temperature anomalies I'm working on those historical stats, but 18-19 and 19-20 were very low snow totals, and 94-95 was well below average and frigid iirc again, was it 93-94 or 94-95 we had that long cold blast? also remember a pretty epic sleet storm during one of them winters
  15. yeah the usual suspect areas of the valley along RT 8 will have the glaze and spun cars off the highway, seen it so many times, and this year we have a larger population of NY transplants, who seem more permanent and they don't know these spots and drive like it's the van wyck...
  16. we've dropped to 25 here, and dews are right there, so we saturate right away as frozen unless it rushes quicker than expected, not expecting white but zr definitely on the table here
  17. I'd have to concur here also, always hated April, working construction really makes you hate it that much more, especially on new construction sites, where there's 2 x 12s planking in and out of the house
  18. I'd have to agree here also, depends on if you're a snow pack or snow accumulation type person, plus the festive nature and all... also, I'll continue to live vicariously through the forum here as I've been a member since the eastern days, although I've never met anyone here in person, almost like I know you all as some weather family, which I mostly check in during winter, funny how that goes
  19. somewhere between lafayette and ball ground, depending on what I can find for land, but that seems to be the sweet spot for commute, community, etc. plant is in kennesaw another in acworth, so about an hour north of there is far enough, yeah some really nice area N Georgia, especially near the mountains
  20. yeah, San Diego was what I was referring to as same daily forecast, but I've been keeping my eyes on the weather in the areas I've been looking to plant flag, and it's been as low as cold as mid 30s, and that I was told is about as cold as it gets, minus the occasional freak artic blast to the gulf, but, next week will tickle 70, so I'm sure you can probably grow palm there if protected when it does get that cold... I'm looking forward to severe season for sure though there.
  21. don't think I can handle the same forecast every day of the year, and from what I've looked into winter lasts about 6 hours there, one good thing is the growing season is longer, so there's that, me being the only one of my family who actually enjoys deep winter, will take some adjustments, but getting away from the northeast for other reasons outweigh the weather aspect... plus, there's other weather events there and visits are always going to happen... anyway wishes for a white christmas, seems a while since one, fresh one anyway.
  22. 95-96 seemed to have a lot of those that broke just right it seems, what we'd give for another season like that, considering this may well be my last winter in NE, took a job in N Georgia, so, won't be seeing much snow there I'd reckon
  23. anyone remember the year, early 2000's, where we had a similar storm as what we are currently looking at, very tight gradient of frozen to sleet then rain, I wanna say 01, but I'm sure someone on here has that analog in memory, believe there was even thunder snow in that one as well. would be nice to at least wake up to snow on Xmas morning for the kids anyway, most promising look I've seen so far, hope it doesn't get suppressed to far south
  24. I'm just fine with dry and warm and cold and wintry, rather than warm and rain and cold and dry, unless we're going for snowpack records, in which case I'm all for prolonged cold, but prolonged cold leads to high heat bills so I'm good with that too... anyway prognosis looking more favorable for next week it seems...
  25. so, looking like we'll be relocating to North Georgia in the near future, gonna definitely miss the winter here, but as far as boring weather goes, minus the cane and tropical season, florida has some of the most boring predictable weather I've seen outside of San Diego, one can set a watch by it.
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