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tavwtby

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Everything posted by tavwtby

  1. ha, ALY snow maps show expected 1.2", but it's higher than the high end expected, of course the low end is nada...
  2. a balmy 39/37 here ..and there was a time euro was king, kind of a dice roll these days, just look for trends on either, ensembles and short range once inside 36 hr I guess, or now cast it...and try to find analog for the setup and match
  3. might be a bit too late for mby, but orh and adjacent areas could do nicely with this one...may whiten the ground here, ALY has about 1-2" expected, we'll see, temps and dews are iffy, but liking what I see next weekend. of course I won't be here most likely...
  4. nam is a good advisory event for almost everyone away from the coast, trending better, a good coating of snow would lighten spirits in here
  5. I'm telling you, I'm slated to head south on the 13th for Soflo for a couple weeks, it'll snow like crazy, seems like the theme for me this winter...in all seriousness, I've liked the look for Friday for a while, but feel it fading for anyone south of at least the pike and that's even sus... but next weekend looks very interesting with multiple waves to track and one that may be a region wide plowable event...of course I'll be looking at palm trees again. Maybe upon my return we'll get a nice stretch before I leave to head back again.
  6. that would lighten spirits a lot it seems, just to at least be white and not crap brown, staying positive the snow gods deliver, especially for nne, ski country could use it
  7. I've been watching this first one for a while, appear/disappear, and we still have a shot at a marginal event, but I think antecedent airmass will be the enemy until some CAD pushes in, there is a strong high to the north, too bad the low wasn't a bit stronger... still like the period mid month, and possibly a small event on between, but at least there are s/w's to track as we approach what's historically our best climo for big snows.
  8. as fate would have it for me this season, I'm leaving for an extended period for work in Florida on the 14th, right around the time things look to be lining up nicely, I've missed nearly every flake this season, and still have yet to use the new blower...ugh, at least my dad has taken the skywarn class, so he's capable of accurate measurements if anything falls on the snow table...
  9. Dec. was a D here, 7.5 ytd, 6.25 on Dec, well below normal for this locale
  10. wouldn't give up on next week, the 6th timeframe has looked interesting for a bit now but the phantom off run disappearing sig is weird...then the 9th, and looks like a decent potential around the 13th, with some phase possible? interesting to say the least, we have things to track, and hope we ain't warm wet, cold dry again...
  11. So some of you may do this ( if you're not actually mets for a vocation), gathering archive data from your local station and doing plots, avg, temps, snow etc... I just got done plotting the seasonal snowfall for my area from 1897 (farthest I could get), to present and noticed an interesting anomaly, all three top seasons occurred exactly 40 years apart, 35-36, 55-56, and 95-96, with 55-56 being the top at177+"... so I assume 2035-36 will be an interesting winter... that said I'm working now on temps both for calendar year and seasonal, as well as total precip, nice little hobby in spare time.
  12. most of our seasonal snowfall is nickel and dime events, most of which are SWFE, maybe one or two region wide events, and rarely get a KU.. hopefully we can string together a few nickel and dimes and splash in a biggie and just might make climo...
  13. that's a nice look... does the GFS still have a SE bias or was that fixed with the upgrade?
  14. I'm currently going through a ton of archival data from my area anyway, and from what I've seen so far, early to mid March is much more of a snow producer than mid to late December, there are exception, but on average, March is a snowier month, at least for mby and generally SNE...
  15. yeah let's not jinx and start a thread outside 5 days, although it seems when you start one, odds are better...
  16. I've had an eye on that time for a few days now, siggy been showing up for at least something to track, looks like congrats fish atm tho...
  17. I'm with you there, I'd prefer getting hammered with big storms, then warming to save on utilities, not really a snow pack kinda person, honestly it's a hinder like in 2011 we were running out of places to put the stuff, I remember digging a walkway for the oil delivery guy and it was like layers of sedimentary rock from all the different events, some dog poo from my dog like 2' down fossilized ha!
  18. I can't believe they're still getting sound effect snow, what are some totals, sorry if it's been posted already I may have missed it
  19. thanks man, don't feel like 50 I'll say that, and people are generally shocked when I say I'm that old, so I guess it's only what you make of it, think 30!
  20. Merry Christmas weather frens! so it was so cold yesterday morning the chicken waterer froze, thought those were good to like 10 below, but apparently 3F is cold enough... looks like we have to wait until after the new year for anything wintry huh... still waiting for my birthday storm, Jan 3 I turn 50, would love a nice event.
  21. per my data I plotted, that was the all time top of the list winter for this area, and second was 95-96, as I stated before, there was a lull in winter snow from 32 until about 53-54 and peaked the next season, but until early 70s they were all up there, went down a bit until early oughts, and has been pretty steady since, although three of the last 4 seasons have been rats, last year was another under 45" year here. First three years after we moved to Winsted from wtby, were epic about 100", then fell off some, 16-17 and 17-18 were ok
  22. enjoying the deep winter feel with a good double of Woodford... it's down to 13 here off a 53 high 7 hours ago
  23. I like that area, stayed in the double tree in leominster quite a bit, used to go through Gardner on my way home sometime RT 2 instead of the pike
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