tavwtby

funny you mentioned that, I was just looking at my season to date and almost half are from snow showers and squall type stuff...

I mean we've seen it happen, so...

I don't see nothing wrong with a little contour grind

ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait... During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest model suite is split on the track with some guidance more intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70 benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west. Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.

yeah same here... I kinda lost the monster for entire forum mentality yesterday, looked good for a while, still possible, but so is nothing I guess, not even a WWA here yet, at least last check...

yeah I don't see much more than 6" wor with current guidance, just one of those, too far west for the goods, cutters like last one we were too far east, still managed about 5 before the rain began, so if we pull 5 from this here, we'll have close to 10" otg here.

yeah understandable, still funny though

still laughing at the range here, soon to change I'm sure with current runs, but HA!

ALY has high end 18" and low end of like 0", with likely 8, quite the range there...

I meant the winter as a whole, but that storm was good not great, think I ended up with close to 2', but I was out driving around in it in my first truck, and at one point snowing so hard I could only see by the faint glow of street lights, my opinion was better than 93, imby at least, as a whole, I'd rank 78, 13, 96, and there's a bunch more like 82 in there... this one has that feeling to it, I know now it's way more to it than muh feels, but...muh feels say we snow big

that was another great closed off storm, and as I said before the start of probably the most epic run of snow for a month that I remember, 40" on my roof, but 96 was great too, it just found was to snow, like every other day that winter...77-78 was another one

yeah you're right, that was my last winter in wtby, since moving to Winsted my last 12+ was 1/4/18 if I got the date right, came close in the March storm same year, but 13 was epic in southeast wtby, 32"official, that was more than 78, but nothing will beat that storm in my opinion, just incredible edit:12/17/20 I got 16.5"

it's been quite a while since I've seen more than 16" imby, would be great to see a complete region wide 12-24+ storm, those that are also talked about, like 78, 93,96, PD1&2, etc. I think the last big one for the whole forum might have been 15? correct me if I'm wrong, and wor folks only got like 12-18 while east was tickling 3' iirc

usually storms this potent tend to have two deform bands one less than the other but it happened I believe in 2011, and 15, always a secondary max, with better ratios less qpf though

Moderate sn now was borderline heavy for a grip, eyeballing about 1.5 out there, and I thought this was going to fizzle out

tropo fold?

Lord!! fun tracking this one!

nice little .25" to refresh things upon my return from GA, is next weekend still a thing, I haven't looked back through the thread, last I saw GFS had a monster but it was by itself there...

wife just said 4.6", and now it's raining, so not sure how much before change over, but 4.6 it is, ironically the biggest of the season..

haven't heard from home yet but based on surrounding reports I'm guessing 3-3.5" there in Winsted, of course that microclimate can have 3 in one area and 6 in another up the hill

I'm in litchfield county, 5 miles from the MA border, and alb just upped the hogh end to 14", so 8-14 now

I think from just north of me up to SVT are going to get slammed with that east flow and cold damming

wife tells me it has begun in Winsted...son on snow table duty while I'm down here.

yeah it's actually coming down good here in cartersville, not sticking to surface yet but boy am I glad I toughed it out and finished driving yesterday cause it looks like a dumpster fire on 81 now..WSW for Northern litchfield county, NWS alb says 5-12 before change, quite the range, I'd expect 6 imby maybe and a foot 5 miles away in Norfolk, they always get that microclimate snow with the extra elevation

just got to north georgia and on top of 20-30 mph gusts at 35*, wet snow is beginning to mix in, looks like a rough go for the upland SC area and north of Charlotte with ice, they are freaking out here because 2" expected, more NE towards the NC border it's funny how much different the approach is... I remember many moons ago while working in Houston, it snowed, was like a once in 20 year thing, city basically shut down for an inch