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Everything posted by tavwtby
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ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait... During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest model suite is split on the track with some guidance more intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70 benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west. Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.
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I meant the winter as a whole, but that storm was good not great, think I ended up with close to 2', but I was out driving around in it in my first truck, and at one point snowing so hard I could only see by the faint glow of street lights, my opinion was better than 93, imby at least, as a whole, I'd rank 78, 13, 96, and there's a bunch more like 82 in there... this one has that feeling to it, I know now it's way more to it than muh feels, but...muh feels say we snow big
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yeah you're right, that was my last winter in wtby, since moving to Winsted my last 12+ was 1/4/18 if I got the date right, came close in the March storm same year, but 13 was epic in southeast wtby, 32"official, that was more than 78, but nothing will beat that storm in my opinion, just incredible edit:12/17/20 I got 16.5"
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it's been quite a while since I've seen more than 16" imby, would be great to see a complete region wide 12-24+ storm, those that are also talked about, like 78, 93,96, PD1&2, etc. I think the last big one for the whole forum might have been 15? correct me if I'm wrong, and wor folks only got like 12-18 while east was tickling 3' iirc
