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tavwtby

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Everything posted by tavwtby

  1. I know it's been explained before but indulge me here... what's the difference between the Op run and the ensemble mean, is the op just a member that has more weight, or is the mean of them all factored into the op? that aside, this has a great look this far out, and has for days now, doesn't hurt to mention some of our biggest and best systems have come during the Ides of march, just before equinox seems to be a good time for major storm development. let's hope we hold serve and enjoy tracking something
  2. so any more snow here and I'll pass 15-16, and if by some luck I get 9.8" or more, surpass 19-20... setting goals man...
  3. yeah, we have yet to have a good antecedent airmass leading up to a s/w, and when cold was present, there was nothing around... this winter in a nutshell
  4. yore indeed! nice pic, and that's exactly what I was talking about and wishing for.
  5. yeah from a primary that got as far as maybe Cincinnati before the transfer, tracking right up the BM and bombing along the way
  6. I was surprised to see some of those wind reports from the coast, other than the onset and until around midnight, winds were not a factor in my area anyway, what I would give for a long duration stalled bomb, with drifting etc.. yore!
  7. as it's been stated many times, the ensembles should be the focus, with an eye on the atmospheric mechanics, until we get within 72 hours where details are ironed out... just happy there's s/w's to track at this point, compared to that horrible stretch from just after Xmas to mid February, although I was gone for most of it. I leave again 3/17, so hoping we get one more before we call it
  8. good to see that some north areas actually got to climo and it wasn't a region wide rat, still bad, only need an inch though to get to second worst, maybe next weekend we pass the rubicon...lol... I just want spring and planting season at this point
  9. so my dad finally got to use the blower this morning and discovered what I did the other day... ariens had to go and fix something that didn't need fixing...the clutch is so sensitive and first gear so fast, it just bounces unless the driveway is flat and smooth... gonna take some breaking in I suspect. Also, their smart turn technology is garbage, found myself fighting the steering the whole time, when my old one was simply a zero turn blower and was great... my dad didn't like how they moved the shoot adjustment to the middle of the blower instead of behind, but that didn't bother me as much as the clutch and steering... regardless better than shoveling of course it hasn't seen a really big storm yet, so we'll see how it does then HA!
  10. was hoping it would hold together for just a little more, push my season total over the 15-16 total this winter is currently tied with, but no dice...if nothing else falls this season, tied as the worst winter snow wise in the recorded history going back to 1887, wow.
  11. radar looked like it tried to fill in, then just fizzled out as it moved east, probably do it for this one minus some flakes and showers... officially even with 15-16 as the worst winter ever, hopefully we can pull something until full spring to surpass
  12. just went out and shoveled a path to the stairs and it's definitely concrete, measured almost 4 though, can't imagine much more falling as radar looks like garbage upstream
  13. was there any lightening reports around Winsted Torrington area? I swear I heard a rumble, but I saw nothing and thought it was plow, but it was different... little lull right now but just before it, it was a good burst, I measured 1.4 at 1015
  14. you guys got me at the window waiting for thunder now, it wouldn't surprise me with how hard it's snowing right now, Jesus! edit: just measured an inch otg.
  15. thanks, that's what I like to hear
  16. has that sleet line progressed at all? I don't have weathertap, my sub ran out the other day so I'm relegated to wunderground radar. just took a quick measure and it was .8 so far and still SN+, my 1/4mi marker has disappeared..
  17. roads are fully covered now, as is that spot I shoveled about 20min ago, vis is way down, although the growth is not as good as before, flake size little smaller, but still wow, impressed
  18. yeah, I just heard the plow go by on 8, seriously it's barely covered
  19. is that weenie mt tolland??
  20. not sure if this pic does any justice, but...
  21. absolutely pouring snow right now, this was 10 minutes ago, over 1/2" already and under 1/4mi vis, nice winds too
  22. yeah, I'm impressed how hard it came in and stayed if not gotten heavier... closing on 1/2" on the board, just coating on roads and driveway
  23. almost on the nose with 830...vis down to just over 1/4 here atm, nice growth too, and everything coated, except roads
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