tamarack

Met winter temps have been running BN, but the DEC pattern was different from JAN-FEB. The new year hasn't gotten above 37 so far here while DEC had a trio of 2-day thaws, 11-12, 17-18, 30-31, that had highs 42-48 with minima running 16° AN and 3.30" RA.

In January 1965 I headed out to ice fish on our 50-acre lake, the rain having quickly plunged thru ZR to IP, 30s/20s/upper teens, pelting we idiot anglers all day. Next morning the temp was rising and the precip ZR, ending late aft and leaving 1/2" ice atop 2.5" IP. Having forgotten my creepers, I had a wicked nasty time getting off the lake - couldn't even stomp a dent into that stuff. Next day kids donned ice skates and cruised thru their yards. NYC stats: 1/23 47 24 0.64" 1.0" max at 12:01 AM 1/24 32 24 0.51" 2.2" max at 11:59 PM

Adding that 4.5F to my March 4 average would produce 37.0/15.3, not bad. But how many maps like that have we seen since the New Year, and so far we had only 3 days get over 32, topped by 37. Maybe this one pans out.

Most I found on cocorahs was 11.7" at Castle Hill, but they're forecasted for several more inches, so some storm totals might reach 15"+. Here we got 6" of 12:1 powder thru 2 PM, followed by 7 hours of SN/IP (tiny critters) that added 1.5"/0.35" LE while pounding that first 6", then another 1.5"/0.12" back end. Storm total came to 8.0"/0.97" LE, pack at 22".

About 6" new. Sleet mix arrived 2 PM, very small IP and tiny flakes. Now much happening now - even smaller IP with fog and low teens.

GYX' forecast for Farmington: Tonight Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 11. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Snow before 4pm, then snow and sleet between 4pm and 5pm, then sleet after 5pm. High near 16. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow and sleet before midnight, then a chance of snow between midnight and 2am. Low around 15. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Rather cold for sleet. Farmington's 90%/likely/10% is 3/7/13. All-snow Fort Kent has 10/20/24.

Today makes 26 days w/o getting above 32 and 42 of 45 this year. Last month's max was 37 and despite some mild and wet days in December, we've had white ground since Thanksgiving - first time since 2019-20. Edit: Miller A is spelled "out to sea" here. (With a few exceptions)

The Fort Fairfield-CAR-PQI triangle might be the blizzard capitol of New England. Maybe add Limestone for a parallelogram.

That's 10.5" more than we had in the Maine foothills that winter. Only need another 0.5" to match that ratter. Odds look good.

Only 5.5" at HUL but 10-11" at PQI, Castle Hill. Also a bogus 13" from Hermon. Next town east (BGR) had about 1" at the AP (and no problems on my wife's flight from FL). 2.0" from 0.41" LE, thanks to tiny flakes and tiny IP. High temp was 19.

Not for the first time. Some actual flakes in sight. We've had 4-5 periods of real flakes, none lasting more than 5 minutes.

Tiny flakes became tiny flakes plus tiny IP about 12:45, temp upper teens, 1.1".

We're in the 3-4" color. Maybe reached the 1" mark after 5" of very small flakes and radar upstream isn't very exciting. I'd be surprised if we get more than 2". If we finish right at 2", we'll have had 7 snow events in 16 days for 17" total. A weird sequence, but it certainly could have been worse.

Only one winter here with 3, 2013-14, with our least snowy January bracketed by Dec, Feb, Mar. That January had significantly BN temp and significantly AN precip to go with <25% avg snow.

My threshold for a big snow month is 30" - we've had 22 such months in our first 21 winters here, never more than 2 winters without one, but the most recent was January 2019. Maybe the coming 3 storms thru 2/20 can produce a 17"+ total; if not, this will be the 6th in a row w/o a 30-spot month as March looks to be a long shot.

Or US Rt 2 for the northerly one.

Same as here - great rad night. HOU and PQI had -19.

Long enough to have landed the space shuttle. In the early 1980s a couple of co-workers (one a private pilot) were flying back to BGR after a forestry conference in NM and there was a wicked crosswind. The jet hit a bit hard and bounced, that wind caught and lifted the right wing, and the airplane was significantly tilted. The private pilot thought "here we go!" but the crew up front realized they had another 10,000 feet of runway, plenty of time to juice the jets and stabilize the craft without needing a go-around.

Hope so, as my wife is scheduled to fly home from FL (visiting her sister there) on Thursday. Morning AFD from GYX has the storm a bit earlier than previous discussions, snow mostly done by early afternoon. Her flight is scheduled to land at BGR about 5 PM, which probably would be okay, unless that airplane is doing 2 St. Pete/BGR cycles (don't think so), which would mean a BGR takeoff about 9 AM on cycle #1. Another low-QPF fluff event would be fine.

Finished with 2.2" and 0.17" LE. Just a refresher here, happy for the folks in southern Maine.

Tiny flakes, 1.9" with 0.15" LE and 15° at 7 AM. 2-3 was the right call here.

An engineer would say the glass is twice as big as needed. No biggies here since early Dec (9.3") but lots of interesting things to ponder. Sure beats the 50 days of (mostly) boredom following that storm.

Looks like another 2-4 or 3-5 here. Enough of these dime-quarter events could add up to a lot of snow.

Got that 'nother tenth. Snow burst (little wind) dumped 0.5" in <10 minutes, centered on 8:50 this morning. Visibility dropped to <1/8 mile. Another flurry (0.1") while I was out shopping.

2.6" here at 9, might get another tenth or 2, so not quite into the 3-5 range. The 11:1 ratio was closer to the usual, after 3 events with ratios over 20:1. Today's temp was 11/-14, one of the colder snowy days in recent years.