tamarack

GFS op has had that early March cold on about 2/3 of the runs I've seen over the past week. The other1/3 has been different, sometimes much different.

Thanks. Someone from Fayson Lakes where I grew up said18, but it looked like more there and was more elsewhere in Morris County.

I've run the machine for 3 storms, the mess of Jan 16 (during moderate RA), Feb 3 (morning after the event) and the 2/16 sleet - only 2" but nasty for walking or driving. Last evening's 3" will be well settled by tomorrow sunset, no need to remove it beyond the porch stairs and the cars.

Definitely looks catlike, and while lynx have been expanding south thru Maine I doubt they've made it to your place. When I lived in N. Maine (76-85) the trappers there caught only bobcat. Latest surveys related to the lynx' Threatened designation show few bobcats north of Moosehead and there have been reliable lynx sightings in the Rangeley country and some even farther south. Probably some seen in Coos County as well. Those critters are doing so well that USFWS is pondering their being delisted in the East.

Most fisher tracks I've seen are in pairs, one paw slightly ahead of the other and back paws landing almost exactly in the forepaw impressions. Seen that same pattern from weasels, mink and marten and have seen all those mustelids loping along. If that pic showed a fisher, it was likely moving faster than the ones that have left the pairs tracks.

Had to look it up, despite living within 30 miles for 20+ years. Lots of Jersey boys here. Temp was slowly rising before sunrise, trees were pretty but will be empty by this afternoon.

Nice! I'm guessing my home growing up. a few miles to your south but at 700', has gotten more snow than here in the Maine foothills. Yesterday's 3" brought the pack to the same 20" and total snowfall to 48.4. How much did you measure from the Feb. 1-2 bomb?

12 miles west from GYX and 340' higher made all the difference.

IMO, this gets an A+. We finished with 3.0" from 0.31" LE and 2" fell between 7 and 9 PM. Snow ended by 10.

Sounds like a plan! Surface temps here mid-upper 20s so no issues there.

As soon as I sent the last post the light snow became almost no snow, now very light. The brighter echoes seem to be sliding to our south except for the patch now past that gave us its southern fringe. Stuff directly upstream needs to bulk up a bit or we'll have problems reaching the bottom of the 2-5 forecast.

After 3 hours of occasional flakes that amounted to nothing, steady light snow/tiny flakes began about 3:15, maybe 1/4" now.

Only 22 winters here, but our biggest events have come in weak ENSO. Maybe NNE is different in ENSO? ENSO N Lg Event Avg lg #15"+ VS Nino 1 8.5" 8.5" 0 S Nino 0 n/a M Nino 2 13.8" 12.3" 0 W Nino 4 21.0" 15.4" 3 La Nada 7 24.5" 15.6" 4 W Nina 4 21.0" 17.4" 8 M Nina 4 12.5" 1.5" 1 S Nina 0 n/a

82-83: Warmest winter of my 10 in Ft. Kent; 1983 was the warmest year there. 97-98: Ice, ice baby! 15-16: Least snowy winter at my residence since 73-74 in BGR.

Jeff's BY is about 3 colors better than mine (though that spot of 0.20-0.25 centered over my roof is tiny.)

Here's the average percentages of their snowfall normals at CAR, PWM and Farmington for various ENSO states, 50-51 thru last winter: Avg S N EL NINO Very strong 73.8% 3 Strong 116.3% 3 Moderate 83.5% 6 Weak 101.8% 14 LA NADA 101.6% 22 LA NINA Weak 101.7% 13 Moderate 115.4% 6 Strong 90.8% 3 Tables I've seen do not show any very strong Ninas. And that average snowfall map for 1981-2010 will look different when the 1991-2020 data is published, as 2011-20 had a whole lot more snow in most places than did 1981-1990.

Must be the 10 flakes per minute crashing all power north of PWM. Getting serious, this last event produced fluff in southern Maine and nothing here, so I've no idea where those trucks are heading to or returning from.

That was the winter when Chimney Pond pack reached 94", eclipsing Farmington's 84" in Feb 1969 for the state's deepest on record.

Four promising storms Feb 11-19 and we managed to finish without a flake, though we did get a dusting several hours after sleet-day was done. Hope there' something nice in March - last 2 have been BN for snow.

The Wrangler (and perhaps other Jeep models) are built to handle off-roading. Subarus are built to handle almost all on-road conditions, a significant difference. Hitting major LES in western PA (heaviest snowfall rates I've ever seen though little wind) was a lot more comfortable in our first Forester than it had been two years earlier in our little Mazda pickup, especially as we'd left all the extra weight in Illinois as Christmas presents for the grandkids.

We've done well with Foresters since 2014, traded the 2011 car for a 2017 about 18 months back because I'm close to retirement and friends said we'd have issues with financing if we waited. Good clearance, entry/exit height nice for the boomer generation, reliable and at/near the top mileage for its class among gas-only models. (And my vocation adds bias. )

Not many places can get both good CAD and good upslope. We benefit from the former but get zilch for the latter. That Grinch was both my greatest calendar-day rain in December and biggest positive departure (29° AN) for any date. CAR did it even better - somewhat less precip but +35, also their greatest positive departure and their POR is 82 years while mine is not quite 23. Farther north, Van Buren was +41 that day.

The super-Grinch has really messed with my ice fishing plans, since I no longer do it at near/subzero temps - too much bother having to skimming my topwater traps every 5 minutes. The mild wx in early-mid January would've been perfect but my preferred pond didn't yet have safe ice. (No safe ice in Maine in January?!?!) Since then Saturdays have all been cold and windy, days when I'd have been cutting holes when I was 25 or 40 but not now.

Just talked with a friend in Port Jervis, NY (at the 3-state corner) and they got 9" from the current storm so far, and the snow has resumed. Meanwhile, the sun is trying to come out here.

Nearest co-op to where the grandkids live in SNJ is Hammonton, south edge of the pine barrens, and their average temp for Feb is 34°, probably 44/24. Avg max reaches 50 about a week into March.