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Everything posted by tamarack
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Saw 17+ for NYC but the others probably 2-4. The good stuff began in central Jersey. Very little in the air since 4, will soon go out to clear the driveway. Have not measured since 7 AM but would guess we're 7-8" by now. The tiny flakes shifted abruptly to quarters and half dollars a bitt after 1 PM though still just moderate rate. Lots prettier, though. After 30 minutes of that we went back to the little fellas. Winds gusting into the 20s blowing snow off the roof but not moving much along the ground.
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0.2" less than here. Only teeny-tiny flakes and when I was out clearing the board at 7 they rattled off my coat like they'd partially melted then refroze on the way down. Ratio was exactly 10:1 but I think it's lower for the 1/2" or so that's fallen since. Wind is taking the snow sideways but not moving the stuff on the ground much, only what's on the vehicles show "drifting".
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If, say, one cleared 7" from the board yesterday morning and then 18" more this morning, IMO that's 25" snowfall even if the depth is only 22". (And I'm a bit jelly with my 5.5" of teenyflakes and maybe 2-3 more coming. Also surprised that wdrag's map shows no obs from the NE half of Morris County.)
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Just a stone's throw from Passaic County and the Upton CWA. Hope you hit 30".
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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
NY Metro obs reporting some sleet in the mix but heavy accum. NW NJ till has temps <20. -
Puking snow from NYC down thru central Jersey, reports of 6-11" on the NY Metro subforum. January 2021 numbers. An odd month in that it was 3rd warmest of 23 (behind 2006 and 2002) but never reached 40. Thru the 29th the month's high was 39 and low -1, only 40° range while the average range for January is 65. Avg max: 29.2 +3.5 Mildest: 39 on the 15th Avg min: 12.3 +8.1 Coldest: -19 on the 31st Mean: 20.7 +5.8 Precip: 2.39" -0.78" Greatest day: 1.29" on the 16th (4.7" of 4.4-to-1 SN and 0.22" RA) Snow: 18.2" -1.4" Greatest dy: 6.0" on the 2nd. Last month makes 7 consecutive "snow months" (DJFM) with BN snowfall, though it was the closest to average. Avg. pack: 7.3" -3.7" Lowest was zero on 1/1, highest was 12" on 27,28. Season SDDs at 319, avg is 537.
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GFS brought back the cutter big time - 2" RA at low 50s, warmer in central Maine than NNJ (though the difference between 45 and 52 when it's pouring is negligible.) Back to the earlier 30s and mix by tomorrow?
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February 1981 was nearly 15° AN in northern Maine, but after the early near-50 RA temps dropped well below zero. Runoff from the rain/thaw backed up from the plow piles and the result was 5-6" of ice in our detached garage. Unfortunately, the Chevette was parked inside and I had to use the ax (carefully!) to free it. -19 at 7 AM here, trees are popping. In other news, the club groomer is still disabled on our woodlot. The tractor is a Gilbert 01339 - I've no idea of its provenance but it looks anything but young. They're now using a 4' drag pulled with a snowsled and it's a tight fit between an 8" diameter oak and the dead groomer, but there were a few sleds running the trail yesterday.
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For a couple of our Fort Kent years we were taking the kids to an allergy specialist in Lawrence, MA (it worked - multiple allergies reduced to almost none) and on a mid-April appointment we would see some green on the early-riser trees. Local folks would comment on the green-up and asked about our area and we'd report the 25" or so still on the ground. Good for the occasional jaw-drop. Coldest morning this season though only by 1-2° from the -5 in Dec. Maybe <-10 by tomorrow sunrise?
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Might still wake up with a mouse on the bed, but it will be the cat that's jumping.
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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Pounding in Porter and Parsonsfield. Love it for MBY, hate it for the grandkids in SNJ where they've barely seen white ground (except when visiting us) in 2 years and their current forecast is 5-10. That map offers them 2-3 which would be slush when the precip ends. -
Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Especially after seeing my percentage chances of 3"+ drop from 70s to 40s only about 10 posts upthread. -
Might crack the negative double digits, also not earth shattering as it's happened every winter here.
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Guilty as charged. Since moving south from Fort Kent I've lived in places that get little or none of the endless non-synoptic snow, and that colors my thinking. That said, we've had mood flakes almost all day, ending with a single snow-dislodging gust about 3:30. Daytime flakes totaled "T" but the scenery is as wintery as any time this season.
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Yesterday's "little" event finished with 4.0" and 0.24" LE. Then early this morning another half inch of 50:1 fluff, still a few flakes drifting down. 12" at the stake so this won't be the shortest-pack winter - 05-06 topped out at 11".
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Accumulation was done by 10 AM but the flakes keep drifting down. Radar seems to be expanding during the previous hour.
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Still getting some under-the-beam S-.
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Still some flakes but radar says accumulation is done, 3.4" total. Not bad for a 1" forecast, wish we could do that for an 8" forecast.
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2.8" at 7 AM, probably about 3 by now with a bit more to come. Forecast was more like 1" so a small victory. Broom snow, only 0.16" LE. Off to a Zoom meeting of the forest research cooperative until 1 PM. These meetings are always full of interesting presentations.
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BWI had 29.2" I've no idea how it measures snow. Does DCA do the once-a-day? The same effect was there for winter 09-10: DCA, 56.2; IAD, 73.2; BWI, 77.1.
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On 4/6/82 at our back settlement home in Fort Kent, there was 27" at the stake. A day later I'd recorded 15" new with a max temp of 17° and the stake showed 26". A day - and 2" snow - later with max of 23° the stake was down to 25". Of course, 20' on either side there was about 6 feet; same for parts of our driveway. Our black Chevette had about 50 square inches visible. CAR measured 26.3" from that storm and added 24" to their pack at their hilltop site. With the possible exception of 2/3-4/1961, that was the strongest wind I've experienced during a major snowstorm.
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DCA: 17.8" IAD: 29.3"
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Average is 100+ miles outside the benchmark? Sniff, sniff, whiff.
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Pup and I checked out the grooming, which did head thru the woodlot but only made it 9/10 of the way - ongoing tranny issues on the tractor ended its day. (Met the driver, lives 1/4 mile from our home, coming out after trying a fix, will attempt tomorrow to get enough repair to limp it out of the woods.) The sled scraped some moss off the rocks and plowed some frozen mud, but left a platform that won't take as much snow to make a real trail.
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Seems like about half the episodes of North Woods Law from NH include a mountain rescue. In the 4-5 years of the Maine version I recall only about one per year (not including the multiple inclusions of the Gerry Largay saga.) In other news, the groomer went by the house this morning an onto the unmaintained town road beyond, making a nice smooth path - the road is easily drivable when not snow-covered. I may go down to where the trail enters our woodlot to see whether he turned there or just groomed the mile of road/trail, to where the trail heads north into the woods. Maybe the club sees more snow than I do in the near future.