tamarack

Just talked with a friend in Port Jervis, NY (at the 3-state corner) and they got 9" from the current storm so far, and the snow has resumed. Meanwhile, the sun is trying to come out here.

Nearest co-op to where the grandkids live in SNJ is Hammonton, south edge of the pine barrens, and their average temp for Feb is 34°, probably 44/24. Avg max reaches 50 about a week into March.

Last June got hot but it started cold. Farmington co-op hit 27 on the 1st, tied for their coldest June morning since their records began in 1893.

lol. BGR gains 58° between those two runs. Even that pales compared to Chicoutami, with 67° (37C) change.

Clouds. Any snow now expected after noon, maybe a dusting, maybe not. Four storms 11th-19th all looked good 3 days out. #3 produced 3/4" LE but all IP, the others zero (plus anything we might see today.) Next week the deep troughing goes away, the cold is exhausted, back to meh? Unless March produces, this winter's rating will drop from merely BN to ratter - been 5 years since the last one so maybe we're due.

My earliest wx memory was the Nov. 1950 Apps gale - dad, brother and I watched from the back porch (almost no rain in NNJ) as the trees were getting more and more thrashed, until some tops snapped off and dad said it might be time to go inside. One of the two most powerful wind events I've experienced. (The other was the frigid gale of 12/31/1962.) The real trigger for a lifetime fascinated with wx and trees was the Jan. 8-9, 1953 ice storm, lost power for 6 days, cracked ice 6" deep in our driveway after the stuff came off the trees on the 10th/11th. P&C forecast from GYX retreated from the morning's <1/2" - now accumulation isn't mentioned at all.

Nice. Just 1.5 feet (and growing) ahead of my place. And the grandkids in SNJ that were looking at 3-5 are now progged for 1-2" IP.

Socking the old homefront in NNJ. They must be comfortably ahead of my place for total snowfall. From my incomplete records, the only winters when inland NNJ had more snow than the Farmington co-op were 1960-61 and 66-67, possibly 09-10 as well but I don't have good numbers from NNJ for that.

At this location the "snow season" is 12/1 thru 3/31. The last month in that timeframe with AN snow was Feb. 2019. We're 7" shy of the norm this month and I don't see where that might be coming from, which would make 8 straight BN snow-season months. And after the Mon-Tues event/whatever the pattern appears to switch from frustrating back to boring.

Or disintegrating completely.

I've read that the first dose offers some protection against infection - obviously not enough in your mom's case - and also can limit severity in many cases.

There's been about 6 threats since the Feb 2 storm, and if the forecasts 3 days before each had verified my area would've gotten 25-30" instead of the actual 6". Models seem to be making more/bigger jumps close to events than usual.

O come on. <1/2" is more than "nothing". (probably)

12z GFS says 1st week of March will have the coldest temps of the season (and there's a 0.01% chance of that verifying.)

Many years ago (mid 60s) while I was at our NNJ home during semester break, we had 3" of IP followed by about 0.4" zr. Had to wear the creepers to climb the small hill from lake to house and kids were skating in their back yards. I couldn't mar the surface with a heel-stomp and I was nearly as big then as now.

For sure. Those 2-storm maps showing 15-20" for our area were slightly optimistic, given yesterday's 2" of IP and the current forecast for 1" tomorrow night/Friday. And the cold air is on the way out, it seems, so the probable dumps that seem to go away may become thread-the-needle scenarios.

GYX has us with an inch. And I thought its 1-3 yesterday was bad. Odd 90%/most likely/10% numbers for Farmington - 0/1/8. I guess that's a 10% chance of big jump north.

We had all sleet, 2.0" from 0.76" LE. With decent ratios that's a 8-12" dump. Some very light frdz at the end but no effect on the surface. Worst part of clearing was the unstable footing from those tiny ball bearings. Would've been easier to clear the 8-12.

Nice month at the Farmington co-op, with 32.6". Would prefer 2001 when they had 58.3", their snowiest month that doesn't start with "F".

Saw maps like that one last Sunday for today and Thurs-Fri. Only off by a factor of 5. Seeing would be believing.

Noon news on PWM ch13 had 3-6 for S.Maine/SE NH and 1-3 up here. Blockbuster.

Precip shut off like a switch at 11, now seeing the treetops waving a bit.

Might've begun as a bit of SN but all IP since then, approaching 2" of ball bearings. First real sleetfest in years, though the 6"+ SN from the LE would've been much nicer. Still not far from 20°.

You sure that's not last Saturday's map for today's event? (Though fringe/whiff seems like better odds than another sleetfest.)

Xmas 2020 was 50s up here, the biggest positive departure (+29) I've measured for any day here, 1° more than 3/22/2012. Not going to get the 2.5" precip of 12/25/20 either - maybe a third as much.