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Everything posted by tamarack
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That's averaging 4.57"/month. Projected over 12 months, it's nearly 55". I'd guess that's a bit AN; 45-50 seems more likely. My average here is currently 48.6". Foggy 50 has turned to blue sky 60s.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
September numbers Avg max: 65.1 -2.7 Warmest, 74 on the 10th. That's our lowest monthly Sept max; previous was 76 in multiple Septs. Avg. min: 45.3 -0.5 Coolest, 30 on the 24th Mean: 53.2 -1.6 Coolest Sept since 2019. Precip: 3.06" -0.61" Wettest day, 0.99" on the 28th. The long-duration storm on 27-29 totaled 1.75". Other than the above storm, September was an unremarkable month. No strong wind, no thunder, no real heat, no real drama. The precip deficit since the end of June had brought the Sandy River down to the lowest 5% of its records for September 26th, data since 1929, and the 1.75" barely moved the flow to the 25th percentile. That said, fall colors came about a week earlier than average and the reds are as good as it gets. Other colors, yellows and the maroon ash, are good as well. -
Maybe, but even after 46 years as a forester, I can't figure out the reasons for great/average/awful colors. We had slightly AN rain in May/June then about 50% of average July thru Sept 26, and met summer was AN but nowhere near our warmest. I've read that drought limits the colors, but it's still a 'maybe' from me. Same opinion for excessive rain. Our worst color year, by a lot, was 2005. May that year was 200% of average rain with 6° BN temp, easily the coolest here. (Ask Tip about May 2005 - he has a strong opinion of that month. ) June thru September had AN temps (Sept '26 will finish about 1.5 BN) and slightly BN rain. By October 7 the color was middling (next to none of reds), 7-10 days later than average. Then 8-10 had nearly 6" rain on strong winds which brought down about 80% of the leaves. Phooey!
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"Swamp maples" are almost always red maples (Acer rubrum) on a wet site. The wetness lowers fertility and keeps the roots somewhat cooler than on well drained sites, probably causing that early turning (as you guessed). The color is common for most red maples (excellent this year), though there's a variety of sorts that turns yellow (also good).
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Finished this event with 1.75", fortunately about 3 times more than I expected. Month up to 3.06" (average is 3.70"), almost enough to get Sandy River over the 25th percentile. Colors here are at/near peak, with lots of red maples wonderfully bright. Birches and sugar maples approaching peak, white ash well past, about 75% leaf drop around here on that species. Red oaks: Autumn? What's that?
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Finally got some decent rain - 0.70" overnight. Mostly very light rain since, event total including Sunday early is approaching 0.90", biggest precip since August 3.
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Nov 25th, my earliest weather memory. Dad, older brother and I watched the trees getting thrashed from our NNJ back porch. When some tops/branches broke, Dad said it was time to go inside. That and the howling NW gales of 12/31/62 (back side of the BGR blizzard) are the strongest winds I've experienced. Farther west (PA, WV) snowfall records were being set in '50. RA stopped here about 7 AM, just clouds and breezes (<20 mph) since then.
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0.12" overnight, trees barely moving. Might finish with more than 1/2".
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Blue skies here. The only rain is of ash leaves, as that species is near full color and 1/4 dropped. Hope we get some decent rain, though I'm not optimistic. Current flow numbers for today on the Sandy River: Median: 154 cfs 25th percentile: 91 cfs Lowest on record: 39 cfs, in 1939. Current flow: 43 cfs
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yesterday's frost toasted all of the cucurbits, only minor damage to peppers and tomatoes. They're a bit higher, especially the 'maters. Quite the run of sun here, though it ends later today. September here has had the most proportion of available sunshine of any month, slightly more than August. (November and December jockey for least, with the latter currently 'winning'.) -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Death Valley Nat. Park July average is 117/91. On 7/1/26, when the norm is 115/89, the 107/87 was 5° BN. Touched 30 this morning, waiting on the weekend rain (assuming it's getting much this far north). -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
31 this morning, dew on the car roof was still frozen at 8 AM despite full sun. Average for first frost is Sept 20, so slightly tardy this year. Over the past 6 years, 3 of which had first frost in October, the average has become 3 days later. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Sable Island has trees? -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Same 36 here, but it's my wife going to FL, for her sister's 70th BD. Lots of heat there (between Ocala and Gainesville) with 90/70 days for at least the first week. Saw significant (for mid-Sept) color changes on the BGR-and-back drive, white ash 50% color, red maple 10-20% (near full in the swamps), some color on birches and aspens. Seems a bit early as temps are only slightly BN this month, though the BN rain (50% of avg) since late June might be a factor. -
Worked well here in 2022-23. Temp(+/-) SN22-23 SN avg DEC +4.0 23.3" 19.4" JAN +9.0* 29.9" 20.2" *Warmest January, POR 1999-2026 FEB +1.4 16.3" 21.7" MAR +3.0 27.9" 17.0" Ironic that the month with least AN temp had the only BN snow.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Met summer was warm, 6th warmest of 29 here, but September is running 1° BN so far and the GYX forecast doesn't show a warm-up. Had 0.27", not a drought buster but the forecast was less than a tenth. First time since early last month to get more than the forecast. baby steps -
The Farmington co-op reached an incredible pack of 84" after getting 43" from the late Feb 1969 endless snowstorm. (For 48 years that was Maine's tallest, until Chimney Pond reached 94" in 2017.) Second place is 56", recorded in both 1971 and 1993. In that latter winter, they had only a trace on the ground at their Jan 31 obs - 7 AM at that time. Feb-Mar brought a total of 97", with Feb storms of 13", 14" and 17" followed by a 15" dump and 18" from the superstorm, to build all 56" in just 6 weeks. The 12" storm early in April capped the season.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
5.88" here with gusts in the 40s, our most recent significant TC. Only 0.11" from being our biggest rain event, which came in June 1998, our first full month after moving here. -
Feb-Mar 1993 was epic, with 7 storms 7" to 14.5", totaling (with some small events) over 80". The superstorm brought the pack to 31", tallest in our 13 winters in Gardiner. That capping event was a bit disappointing at our place, if a double-digit snowfall can disappoint. Listening to "1-3 feet with life-threatening conditions" had me primed for a storm of the lifetime. Instead, we had 10.3" of heavily rimed 6:1 flakes, almost the lowest report in New England and 3rd biggest of the winter. (BHB and Block Island had 10.0".) Temps during the storm were upper teens to 20. The storm did bring wind 30-45 mph. A favorite wind report at 8 AM - BGR was calm while 50 miles to the SE, Mt. Desert Rock reported 60 knots.
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Latitude can help. January 2023 was +8.8, warmest for that month in 28 winters, but had 29.9" snow, 9.7" AN. The 4 months DJFM ran +4.7 with each month AN - Feb closest at +1.5 (and least snowy of the 4). The snow season total was 101.2" (avg currently 88.4") and 96.3" came during those months, 123% of average. That said, the only very strong Nino since moving here (2015-16) was our worse snow winter, 48.2".
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Looking from my 0.23" total, 1.92" seem like 'about 2'. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Except for the lack of rain, today was perfect early fall wx - sun, 70, light breezes. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
The morning's forecast for here of 1/4"-1/2" has been lowered to 01"-0.25" this afternoon. It seems that the latest QPFs immediately before events get reduced from earlier forecasts 90% of the time. Sandy River is below the 10th percentile. Last Thursday's 0.40" has come and gone by. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
We're at 34.76" to date here. Lowest of 29 water years is 34.44" for 10/01-9/02, 2nd lowest 35.86" the following year(s). I think we'll get more than 1.1" by the 30th to climb into 3rd driest. Next step is 38.08" last year and I think that getting another 3.32"+ this month is unlikely. 39 this morning, season's first sub-40, and now struggling to get past the mid-50s. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Many of those millions were voting against HRC, Biden and Kamala more than voting for Trump.
