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Everything posted by tamarack
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Modest TS last evening (8:30-9) plus a shower about 6 AM totaled exactly 1/2". Looks to be all there we'll get before late next week. So far this month's temp is running 2.2° warmer than our warmest July (2010) and the average continues to get warmer through late month, though only by 0.5°. Summer here has a 5-week plateau with average temp only varying by one degree. (The one-degree winter valley is less than 2 weeks.)
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
tamarack replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
The record broken by the 1984 storm was April 7-8, 1982, the most glorious bust I've enjoyed. Late on April 6, CAR still thought OTS, forecasting 20s, windy, flurries. That blizzard left our black Chevette (a small car, but still . . .) with only a palm-size patch visible. My guesstimate in Fort Kent was 17", while the wind left the snow stake 2" lower than pre-storm, with mounds 5-6 feet tall within 20 feet on either side. March 1984 is now 2nd, behind the 33.1" from an odd stationary storm Dec 25-27, 2005, the bright spot in a down winter. In mid-February a guy from Corpus Cristi, TX called the manager of Aroostook State Park (near PQI) about sledding. The response was that it was very poor, plus a recommendation to head north, to the St. John Valley and points west. -
Agree about the softening, also for folks playing the blame game if they are inconvenienced in any way. However, the bolded seems counterintuitive. at least from a practical standpoint. Those out in the wx would seem to be more affected than those sitting in their LRs poking their cellphones. Wonder if we’ll all go 10 straight days with no rain ? That arrives today; most recent precip was 0.16" on June 28. The temps running 5° AN during that period exacerbates the drying.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
tamarack replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Biggest snowfall of my experience (26.5" on 3/14-15, 1984, CAR had 29.0") arrived at about 1030 mb and didn't quite get down to 1015 by storm's end. Temp was +/- 10° for most of the event, with 15-25 mph SE breeze. 22" fell 6 AM-8 PM. The numbers: 13 10 -18 0 0 46" 14 12 2 2.08" 25.0" 65 " Deepest ever at my snow stake. 15 28 10 0.10" 1.5" 64" Snow ended before dawn, with some ZR. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
tamarack replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Mostly cloudy 70s here, not a drop since June 28. Water table is fine (5.53" in June) but the upper 6" is pretty dry. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
tamarack replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Did that "attic-furnace" insulating in Fort Kent on the day (5/22/77) CAR hit 96, but I was young and foolish back then. I'm no longer young. When I worked with carpenters in NNJ, 1967-73, we generally stayed off roofing if the temp was much over 80, especially in full sun, unless the roof pitch was low enough for us to work from above. Otherwise, we'd mess up the softened shingles already installed. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
tamarack replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Sun thru some very thin clouds, forecast says nada from the current system, maybe some TS late week. (Though that was the forecast for last Wed-Sat and nothing happened.) The Sandy River was above 75th percentile last Monday and probably will drop below 25% by Wednesday, as the trees are working and the temps have been very AN this month. -
40 years ago in Northern Maine, straight line winds flattened about 600 acres, a swath 4 miles long running SW to NE. It started a bit north of (Aroostook) Eagle Lake and ended by blowing spruce trees into Square Lake. I've no idea whether the folks from CAR came out to look and report, but from what I heard and saw the wind probably reached 90-100 mph. (That storm was late in season for that area - Sept 30. Ironically, 5 years later to the day they had 3-5" snow.)
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Many years ago (1960?) I was with a group of kids on a trip to Sandy Hook, NJ. Expecting the mid-July ocean to be 70-72, we were a bit dismayed to find it at 57. Went swimming anyway but not for as long. Of course, some years earlier (1952) on our vacation at Spruce Head, part of Boothbay Harbor, I swam most every day in water that might've been even colder. Of course, 6-year-olds don't feel the cold water until mom or dad sees the blue lips and pulls us out.
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If that 87 is EWR it's their new record. 7/22/2011 was 108/86. (A Phoenix day, but with humidity.) Storms slid to my south, 3-for-3 the past 3 nights. Didn't even see any "heat lightning" (a term I've used since the 1950s for flashes from too far away to be heard. Sorry, LR). The SFD from GYX talked about storms/rain/troughs but their forecast for 04955 doesn't include a single drop thru next Thursday.
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Possibly a TD error - once dews get into mid-70s and above the HI goes nuts. Some years back I found a couple sites at Iranian oil-handling islands on the Persian Gulf that were reporting 98-100F with TD 88-90 and HI well into the 130s. Those readings were consistent over several days. Maybe each site had data issues, or maybe that's the dewpoint capitol of the world. (Several times the reports included wind 25-30 mph with condition listed as "sand". I can't think of a worse wx experience, outside of strong tor/canes.) Follow-up to CAR minima: They were reporting 73 at midnight, warmer at 10 and 11 PM, down to 71 by 1 AM. Looks like their warmest minimum breaks the record, but by 2° rather than 3°.
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No surprise at EWR, while Central Park gets surrounded by ever taler trees. From 2000 on, NYC has reached 100 six times, the most recent in July of 2012. EWR has notched 40 triples during the same 26 years (don't have June numbers yet) and 17 of those have occurred in the 2020s. KNYC 100° And 15 minutes later my data becomes outdated.
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Impressive but probably short of all-time records. They've reached 96 on 4 occasions, May 1977 and June 1944, 2020, 2024. Those peaks came with lower dews than the current condition, and cooking water likely will modify the heat. Their temp only rose 4° between 9 and 11, currently 86 with TD 71, so 90-02 looks better than 96 (unless mixing brings the dews to low 60s). However, if the morning low of 74 holds, that will be their record mild minimum, currently 71 reached a half dozen times.
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Our home has trees 70-80 feet tall within 10 yards on 3 sides - 4th side same tree heights but 30 yards from the house. To make solar feasible we'd need to cut about a 3-year supply of firewood (5 cd/yr) and buy a new roof. No thanks. 2nd straight evening with all the action sliding to our south. Not even a flicker.
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Probably reached past -25 only once last (cold) winter - the frigid (2/-13) Sunday as the fluff bomb was approaching. Most recent -40 would be Feb 3-4, 2023. It's not an every-day phenomenon. (Unless you're on the Rockpile) Mid 80s here with somewhat filtered sun and TD about 70 - summer. Forecast for tomorrow would predict a new hottest day here (currently 93) but our dense forest pumps cooling air into the atmosphere. The co-op 3 miles to my SE has a much better chance to be 95+.
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June 2026 numbers Avg max: 72.8 +1.3 Warmest: 85, 12th Avg min: 51.2 +1.6 Coolest: 35, 2nd Mean: 62.0 +1.5 Precip: 5.51" +0.72" Wettest day: 1.27", 18th This is the 2nd consecutive AN. Last time that happened was Dec 23-Jan 24. We had 6 days with thunder, one more than we had all last year. June avg is 3.4. None of the TS were anywhere near severe, but they helped to bring AN total. YTD is still 2.86" BN but the gap has narrowed.
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Maybe. My older brother was in the Corps of Engineers and during the monsoon season of his Vietnam year (1967 into 68) there would be thunder and torrential rain 3-5 PM, so regular that one could almost set one's watch by the storm times.
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Around here 10 per minute is a lot. My only experience with anything close to the above came July 15 years ago at DEC. The storm was 6-8 miles to our south and the flashes were essentially uncountable - at least 100 per minute. Thanks to frequency and distance, the thunder was a constant drum roll. Had a brief (10 minutes with most of the 0.16" in the first 2) but noisy TS arrive at 5 last afternoon. That makes 6 days with thunder this month, one more than all of last year. (Annual average is 15.)
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Time to get back to summer wx. Every day June 16-26 was BN, though modestly - the period was only 2.9° BN. The previous 7 days were 8.9° AN so the 18-day period was +1.7. Month's precip up to 5.35", first 5"+ since May of last year.
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Decent TS rolled thru here 4-4:30, pooch is still unhappy. It's the 5th day this month with thunder (last June had none) and probably put monthly precip past 5".
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I wonder if that's why the heat of June and August last year were different. Both June 24 and August 12 hit 92 in our transpirationally-modified cabin in the woods, only one degree from our hottest. The June heat came with dews over 70 (I was miserable, having had knee replacement surgery the day before) while August 12 was the middle day of only our 2nd heat wave in 28 summers here and had dews mid-60s. Those peaks were also different from some normally hotter MA sites. On June 24 NYC/PHL/BWI were 98 to 101 and ACY reached 102. August 12 was only 90-91 at the big cities and a mere 86 on the boardwalk (actually the AP) at ACY.
