Jebman

Looks like you need some help diggin out. That place reminds me of Mammoth Resort!

This is an EMERGENCY BROADCAST. THIS HAS BEEN RELEASED FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST TN and nearby regions are facing GENERATIONAL AMOUNTS OF RAIN in the upcoming week! Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 841 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 817 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 -A very unsettled and active pattern will emerge this week. Several days of severe weather and heavy rainfall are expected through Saturday. -Seven day total rainfall amounts are in the 10 to 15 inch range along and north of I-40, with the heaviest amounts falling from Wednesday to Saturday. -An Enhanced Risk of severe weather is present on Wednesday, a Slight Risk is in effect Thursday. -A Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall is in effect Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. && .UPDATE... Issued at 817 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Surface analysis this evening places a 1018 mb surface high over the Upper Midwest. This is resulting in clear skies and temperatures in the 50s across the Mid-South as of 8 PM CDT. Current temperatures and dewpoints are running slightly cooler than forecast. Will make some adjustments to account for short- term trends. Otherwise, the forecast is in good shape overall. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 336 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 The Mid-South currently sits in a wonderful spring-like regime, characterized by dry weather and highs in the 60s and 70s. This pattern will last through Tuesday, before several days of impactful weather return to the Mid-South. Guidance continues to depict a stout shortwave trough ejecting out of the Rockies on Wednesday. This feature will kick-off surface cyclogenesis in the northern Plains with an attendant cold front accompanying the low. Both the GFS and ECMWF depict the center of low pressure dropping to around 985mb over portions of Nebraska and South Dakota. As this system translates east, it will tighten the pressure gradient over the Mid-South. A Wind Advisory may be needed in northeast Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel on Wednesday as sustained winds reach 25 mph. Ahead of Wednesday`s frontal passage, the Mid-South will sit in an open warm sector primed for severe storms. Further spatial analysis depicts favorable instability and shear overlapping in the late afternoon / early evening time frame. This corresponds with the development of a 50kt LLJ, further aiding storm severity. The big question at this time lies with timing of convective initiation. The environment remains relatively uncapped throughout the day, but guidance holds off on storm development until the late afternoon. Any storms that fire in the late afternoon / early evening will become supercellular in nature, posing a risk for all severe weather hazards. In addition, hodographs at this time gain curvature and becomes slightly elongated. A strong tornado or two cannot be ruled out with the supercell storms that develop in the evening. As such, the Storm Prediction Center has kept the majority of the Mid-South in an Enhanced Risk for severe storms on Wednesday. Due to uncertainty with how early morning showers will impact the airmass, a higher categorical outlook was forgone. Severe storm chances will wane after sunset. A multi-day period of heavy rain is anticipated Thursday through Saturday as the previously discussed front stalls right along the I-40 corridor. Precipitable water values will approach and exceed the 99th percentile, resulting in efficient rainfall production. The latest storm total estimates paint a swath of 12 inches of rain falling in northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and northwest Tennessee between Wednesday and Saturday. Elsewhere, rainfall totals will range from 5-10 with amounts tapering off in the southeast portion of the forecast area. This amount of rainfall is generational. Significant river, areal, and flash flooding are anticipated during this 4 day stretch. We strongly urge everyone to remain weather aware as this event unfolds. A significant threat to life and property will emerge as this rainfall occurs. An end to the wet and unsettled period is in sight. Next Monday will be the first fully dry day. Until then, monitor your local forecast and stay safe. ANS &&

Mammoth is getting demolished by heavy snows and high winds. Over the Woolly Lot is is essentially becoming an intermittent whiteout. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam Snow is rapidly piling up and blowing all over. It's an outright milkshake froth at times.

Join the Club. We Texans fail at rain, too.

This is very good, GeorgeBM! You really need to go to meteorological school and become a real Met, and get RED TAGGED up in here! You have definitely got the potential! Meanwhile in other news, Mammoth Mtn is getting smashed by steady snows and strong winds! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam It's getting that look about it! Check out that 3 foot deep drift in front of the stairs by the big Mammoth! Its piling up! Mammoth got 10 inches of freshies last night, 6 more today and will pile up more pow tonight!

Its snowing pretty good at Mammoth. They may get 2 to 3 feet of freshies in the next 48 hours! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Woolly Cam is getting that look! Cloud bases are plummeting and snow is being blown sideways! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam Palisades 8200 foot Scope is getting smashed too! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades

One more thing. George BM, I would really like it if you would please post a big storm of any kind at the beginning of the April Banter Thread. Please!

Just a heads up: You lookin for good Spring skiing with deep freshies? Look no further than Mammoth Mtn and Palisades Tahoe come Sunday thru Tuesday, with an even bigger snowstorm a few days later! The Pac is gearing up for late season annihilation of the Sierran Cordillera! Lots of free refills and deep stashes!

Palisades Tahoe is getting pretty heavy snows right now! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=alpine Looks to be around a foot at the top of their resort. Look out Monday, Mammoth is going to get demolished again!

Austin is getting DIPOLED. We are in-between all the precip on Deep South Texas and the activity north and east of us. Jetstream and disturbances are robbing peter to pay off paul - and leavin Austin holding the empty bag. There's a reason Austin is so dry. NWS has drastically trimmed pops. We were supposed to have rain into midday Friday. No way, Jose. Its gonnabe just cloudy warm and humid, then warming up big time beginning Saturday. Deep South Texas is the Winnah, with 4 to 11 inches of fresh rain.

Buda, TX set to get slammed by training rounds of pretty intense rain elements shortly. We are far drier than a popcorn fart right now. Cracks in the ground are so wide I damn near fell in one yesterday! We are in a full on Class three drought already, but hopefully this can overperform and put a massive dent in our winter drought. Moisture is coming right up out of the Gulf of America then moving in very slow moving bands to the WNW. Hopefully this will get bigger and heavier then stall. We need rain BAD.

OK we did get rain. It became heavy and there was very dangerous lightning and even some pea sized hail. Winds gusted to 45 mph at times. We need rain, we are getting some. Thursday night/Friday/Friday night may get VERY rainy around here!

MASSIVE thunderstorm with 85mph wind gusts just to our southeast, just saved Buda TX from gorilla hails and hurricane force gusts! The main line coming to blast Texas into Oblivion later will likely be weak over Buda and Hays where I reside, saving us from certain destruction, while communities like San Marcos farther south will likely get annihilated later. While I am filled with Gratitude to the depths of my soul that Buda/Hays will be spared tonight, I ache because we need rain so bad, and we are already in a Level 3 Drought, in March, in a strong Nina year. We are highly likely to be bone dry, and super record HOT this summer. But at least I won't get flattened by 85 mph wind gusts, falling branches, and gorilla hails. I will survive, to thirst another day! In other news folks, Grok 3 has introduced me to Cyberpunk 2077 and dragons! Is anyone here into cyberpunk dragons? I think I might try to sell some, and even branch out into tshirts, mugs and hoodies with dragons on them lmao!

Jay Peak, Vermont has been in the low mid 60s for FOUR DAYS in a row now!!! What is going on up north? Spring is coming 4 months EARLY up there! Has anyone checked the North Atlantic Current lately? At this rate they will soon have catastrophic floods as all the snow melts all at once! This could be bad. Binghamton, NY hit 67 today! That's nearly 70 degrees, in mid March. That's way too HOT! Buda, TX was cooler than Binghamton NY today! We had sun! Uh-Oh.

Poor Sean. He had to use a shovel just to be able to walk to the snowboard, just because Mt Bachelor got annihilated by 25 inches in the past 24 hours, ON TOP of 10-15 inches the day before! They just moved the snowboard to a new site, just because Sean can't stand deep snow lmao! Sorry kid! The snow just got to be over three feet deep, with a hell of a lot more on the way! Would you take a look at the SIZE of those snow aggregates!! Better dig it up LMAO! I been watching it live! You can't even BELIEVE how fast that snow is piling up! You can actually see it accumulate IN REAL TIME, over just 60 seconds! This is better than Mammoth!

Mt Bachelor has gotten smashed by 25 inches of new snow since 5pm Texas time yesterday!

Mt Bachelor is getting demolished right now by HUGE snow aggregates! They have already seen 14 inches so far today, with a crapload more on the way!

Mammoth is still getting steady snow! The Main Lodge is still LIT! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

Mammoth Resort is in for it again tonight! More snow developing, more than forecast! Mammoth is receiving moderate to heavy snow, at a time when only 1 to 3 inches of additional snow are expected tonight. I think they are in for 7 to 12 inches of champaign snow tonight. A look at Main Lodge, WHICH IS LIT, shows at least moderate rates. Village Level also evidences moderate to at times heavy rates. I can see at least 4 to 6 inches of snow already on the ground at Village Level just since 4pm local time at Mammoth Resort. Tonight looks to over perform. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Additionally, Woolly Lot is showing some obscuration in wind gusts which are not expected to be considerable tonight. Therefore, snow rates are stronger than forecast. That lot has just been cleared of loose snow which had been 4 to 7 inches deep. I observed this earlier because of kids playing in the snow on the lot very close to the camera. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Mammoth is under snow attack yet AGAIN today! They have had 41 inches so far in the past 2 days! 30 inches 2 nights ago and 8 inches more yesterday then 3 inches last night. They are getting another 8 to 12 inches today! Champaign powder is simply piling up as snow immersion hazards increase! Next up on the Docket: Yet another major snowstorm in the set for Sunday night thru Tuesday! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

It is hard to believe but Mammoth is STILL getting hit by snow! The Main Lodge lights are still on, too! Snow is blowing around, you can even see it at the Village level as well. Even MOAR snow is coming Friday, to the tune of 12 inches of fine champaign pow! The weather currently at Mammoth is a refreshing 11 degrees, with a victorious wind chill of -2. Mammoth Mtn is simply piling up the snow with lots of free refills and incredible stashes all over, but watch out for tree wells off piste! The snow is over 17 feet deep in places! Sunday night and Monday will bring even more torrential snows, as will late next week! The Pacific is lining up a terrific set of storms, hopefully we can get a few bona-fide atmospheric rivers along the way! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge If you're jonesing for deep snow, count on The Jebman to show you where to go! I ALWAYS bring it!

Who is John Feinstein? Man, it is STILL snowing HARD at Mammoth! I think this storm has stalled. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

It POURED snow last night at Mammoth. They kept the lights on til 5am Texas time, and I danced around for JOY because I got to see those HUGE 2 inch plus aggregates pour down all night long! That huge snow was the most beautiful thing I have ever witnessed in my entire life! Those yuge flakes simply poured and poured down for hours and hours and I got to see every last one! They got annihilated with 30 inches of new snow! It's STILL pouring snow even now! I blasted ELO all damn night long last night! They got another blockbuster snow comin Sunday night into Monday and even more later on! The Pac is setting up a massive parade of storms and Mammoth is gonna get buried alive by snow!

Unbelievably HUGE aggregates looking to be nearly TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER, are ASSAULTING Mammoth right now! This thing is a BEAST! It may dump 4 to 5 feet of fresh pow just by noon Thursday! They got more tomorrow then yet another potent system Sun night on into Monday! I don't know why but Mammoth STILL has their Main Lodge lights on even at 4.09am Texas time! That snow is just demolishing that mountain! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

You guys should see Mammoth right now! They are getting CRUSHED by heavy heavy snows and that Main Lodge is LIT! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Mammoth Ski Mountain is under direct ATTACK by wind driven extremely torrential snow! This beast may OVERPERFORM!