dmcginvt

glad you are all getting snow. But why isnt it snowing here!  Damn virga

Its coming right at me (from the NW)

22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

A 987 south of LI, and it’s pedestrian? That doesn’t make a lot of sense? 

Surely it's a blizzard

Euro and GFS show a foot out to 240 for both Stowe and Methuen.  Ill take it.  

well the euro is now a 987 low, getting closer to George's 970  that fixes things

So how much did Ray's Turkey  farm get around 5-6?  I know it's not you buy I do love them and their gravy!!  I've eaten at least 10 of their turkeys.  I also love the pies from Mann's!!

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

I am/and like many I’m an uncle.  But maybe 10-15 years ago we were bantering about ukmet which has always had erratic solutions.  So I surmised that ukmet is like your crazy uncle that is drunk on thanksgiving but is capable of better.  Crazy Uncle Ukie.  So if someone posts uncle?-they’re looking for ukmet.  I’m tossing tonight’s run.  Now some would say it’s because my area gets screwed which has some truth to it.  But it’s whacked unless it’s cousin euro agrees-lol.

I am also familiar with the ukie being called uncle.  I have been around since ne.weather but all these years a lurker, I remember when pf still lived in Albany and could forecast microclimates for VT better than the nws and was delighted when he moved here in btv and then when he lived in snow country near MRG before coming to stowe.  I remember when it died with joe bartlo and the psests.  rip joe, you were a freakshow, just like usafdude from the cape James who is also dead.  And then eastern and dt and larry c and the radio shows the used to have for big storms.  I used to play in the tq forecasting competitons too in the early 2000's. Been around the block since aol in 1995.

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Do you know what uncle means here?

I know your an old motherfucker who's been around the block, previous shit deleted

PF, I have to know about this.  Lookout has always been my favorite trail, it's the best part of the front "5".  What is this competition that's happening on it 

"Event- The Lookout Trail will be reserved tomorrow for the IFSA Freeride World Qualifier event tomorrow.  Please be aware of the event if you are in the glades alongside the trail and make sure to avoid popping out of the trees and onto the course."'

Whatever it is is sounds amazing if it's actually on lookout under the double!!!

because further s?

2 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

oh he def doesnt get it and you know it 

The funny thing is the model might end up being right and he will think he scored because it was out at the benchmark

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

He may not realize it, but he doesn't want that in the canal. 

oh he def doesnt get it and you know it 

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

I like that 976 member

man so do i you are my fav, you are cheering for me, do you not get that it too close to you

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

12z EPS was most impressive yet IMO...8-9" mean.

But George wants this more north.  in the canal.  

108-111 is crushing you

I will sit here all night waiting

22 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

Is Georgie trying to pull some reverse psychology on himself? Convince yourself you want it to rain, so if it does you're ok, but then if it snows the pants tent gets a hole ripped in it? 

{"it is likely we are looking at a New England blizzard, with the potential to become a historic blizzard (top 10 all time) in the Boston area."}

What does the latest model say, there is your answer.  The irony is, it's what's most of us except experienced mets do, we read the model poorly.  Some of us are better than others at it.  Meaning we can actually read it.  And not take it as gospel.  George likes to turn it into hyperbole.  Biggest blizzard ever,  Im waiting for it George.  Top 10 baby.

I will sit here all night waiting

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Tell me about it.  And then when they need to learn about how their is a nucleus in a cell that is different than an atomic nucleus, fuggetabowtit 

What about nuclei for water vapor in clouds, that's everything in meteorology.  

btw im not sure if anyone in vt is getting snow, but I have not.  Since it ended at 7 am this am.  zero accum, radar showed shit, it amounted to shit

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My students don’t know how to do an average of 3 numbers.   But they can determine mean, median, and mode. 
 

It is very weird.     When I show them that average is the same as mean they look at me like I have 3 heads   And I get they have technical definitions that are a bit different.  

What part of the english language dont they get about speaking the english language.   Everything means nothing and nothing is everything. Too many meanings for the same thing.  Homonyms homophobes, synofibs?  Yup made that one up.  Anyway, I loved math but I totally understood people who didnt get it.  It's the wording.  

3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We use it for work and its easy to remember like this

MOde - MOst

MEDian - Middle

Mean - only one left is average

thanks for the chuckle, definitely puts it in perspective,  only one left

7 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

Sorry I'm 54 and forgot all this stuff.  Just remembered the 3m's.  Mean median mode.  Is mode used in meteorology?

 

 

It must be as the most likely scenario.  Its the one that shows up most so you have to go with it!  Is this how the NBM works?  This is both ridiculous and serious!!

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland.

Jorge has officially lost it.  I deem him Jorge from this day forward.  It's his baptismal name

Sorry I'm 54 and forgot all this stuff.  Just remembered the 3m's.  Mean median mode.  Is mode used in meteorology?

2 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

I take it 50th percentile = median?

Definitely informative if you have some outliers like e19... in this case mean ≈ median gives more confidence to toss those outliers. Caveat being the entire ens/op could be off.

I actually thought the same mean is average so median would be middle what s the mode?