dmcginvt

threat went south but no shortage of moisture there will be flooding somewhere possibly central midd to leb line (nevermind moving too fast), but nothing like NY nice complex ene of the finger lakes I think thats why we were slight earlier and moved.....man thats some rain and lightning

lol no summer thread makes sense I guess because it's dead in summer, but man there is some rain coming tonight, i just feel it

Dude it is dumping hard literally pouring snow at well over inch an hour right now

On 3/3/2025 at 4:30 PM, powderfreak said:

It sometimes matters, blocked vs unblocked, but to me it matters more for the lower elevations around the mountains.  Regardless of blocking, the actual Spine above 2,000ft is going to get snow regardless.  Like a blocked flow that favors west side is still going to snow on the upper east slopes of like Stowe, Sugarbush and Jay.  Likewise, a more unblocked flow is going to still snow at Bolton and Smuggs upper elevations.

The blocking discussion and Froude can be used to highlight the jackpot areas, but above 2,000ft along the Spine is going to get at least some snow in all Froude numbers.

NWS BTV Froude study was more for how it impacts the inhabited elevations around the mountains… so like blocked flow, we aren’t getting more than light snow in Stowe Village or RT 100 corridor while Underhill and Jeffersonville or towns along west side are pounding.  Unblocked flow is going to put snow into the RT 100 corridor on east side while it’s going over the west slope communities.

Through it all, the mountains and Spine are getting snow in most of those situations.

Either way, Smuggs is a fine choice for CAA, W/NW flow squeezing out residual moisture after the rain.  If the flow is blocked, the snowfall should get more into the lower elevations on that west side, while it dries up or at least is more gusty wind-blown snow below 1500-2000ft on the east side.

damn best explanation ever/  It goes for that garfield area of hyde park too up by green river res.  Just a magical place for snow.  Everything that comes down the lamoille valley and has a little elevation just gets crushed because theres nothing else to stop it it is essentially the upslope between say whiteface (aka sterling but not the sterling at smuggs it's confusing) and idk belviedere as far as peaks go. I did not explain that well, but there's just enough rise coming out of the lamoille valley that this area gets so much snow

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Snow falling steadily again.

The terrain has led to another wall of precip over the barrier as westerly moist flow feeds into the terrain relief.

 

drove thru it coming back from burlington.  it was dumping 28 and very wet huge flakes.  an inch in the left lane. the most crazy plow ever was coming though.  Seriously I need to know more about this plow.  It was huge and hard to pass and red and yellow.  I have never seen anything like it

Cant wait to see what this week brings.  PF did you work with Mark Dvorak?   Taking pictures,  Just curious.  Man it's snowing again.  Ill be skiing monday looks like another amazing day

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

How’s your depth there at home?

I too want to comapre it between PF me and you down in the valley

It broke at 31 inches.  but itwasnt done i measured another 6  the sad part is the is a really old nsb stick.  

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

How’s your depth there at home?

I too want to comapre it between PF me and you down in the valley, my yardstick isnt big enough and in fact I broke it trying to go deeper

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Over 30"? That shed roof lol.

I dont think anyone realizes just how good we have had it.  You get PF's posts.  Im 5 miles S.  slightly higher elev.  It just kept coming and this storm put us over the top.  I have been in this area since 87 minus a short stint for 3 years in methuen when it also snowed hard(2000-2003).  2006-2007 we had Valentines day and then its snowed till april.  And then the next winter even beat that.  This winter is beating both.  Its literally silly, my depth is 37 avergaged.  I have a board and i wipe it.  I got 16 inches.  But man its been nickel and dime the whole way but nonstop.  I only have 2 days where we went above freezing since around xmas. That shoveled path, you are walking on 2 ft of packed snow

Also a friend has goats living here, that shed is a trailer that the goats get transported in   and holds their hay

Hope people are safe in the notch tomorrow

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Burlington VT
356 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

NYZ034-VTZ006-017-181200-
Western Essex-Lamoille-Eastern Chittenden-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Newcomb, Johnson, Stowe,
Richmond, and Underhill
356 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...INCREASED RISK FOR AVALANCHES IN THE NORTH COUNTRY...

Recent snowfall combined with the pre-existing state of the
snowpack has created the potential for avalanches in the
backcountry of the Green Mountains in Vermont and the Adirondacks
in northern New York.

Outdoor enthusiasts heading into the backcountry to snowshoe,
ski, or ice climb need to be aware of the avalanche danger, the
risks involved and take the appropriate precautions.

Avoid avalanche prone areas such as steep, unstable slopes or
downslope areas from vulnerable locations. If skiing, hiking, or
snowshoeing stay on marked trails and avoid exposed open slopes.

Monitor announcements from local or state officials about the
possible risk of avalanche and stay tuned to the latest National
Weather Service forecasts and statements.

had a minute that it was snowing like 2/14/07.  It didnt last but man we got a half inch like 10 minutes.  Now it's just about 0.5 per hour

It's silly i haven't seen depth or snow like this in years. And it's dumping right now.  Like raining snow small flakes literally pouring snow

storms gonna be wild, Stowe is already packed. couldnt believe the shaws in waterbury at 1pm.  hype is real.  We got the snow, they are coming hard.  Im going into a cocoon.  

I love the fact that at least my area doesnt have to live and die with every run.  The past I dont know 6 weeks?  Have been unreal.  I dont have an amazing snowpack.  But the mtn does.  Nickel and dime has kept us in winter wonderland.  The mtn is unreal.  So much snow everywhere.  (except on the trails).  Its been a long time since I have seen it personally.  The fact that it isnt going away and more is coming.  no words.  best winter in a long time.  The train of storms coming will be all over the place, if we get more 3 to 4 out of it fine.  Let them sne folks eat cake, even the mid atlantic.  We are doing just fine here.

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

There was a power issue at the top of the Lookout Double that took the cam off-line. Friends in Lift Maintenance were nice enough to troubleshoot this morning and the cam came back online… only to discover it broke a weld while rotating into the massive drift that formed underneath it last night.  So the board rotates at 6am and there’s one on the bottom and one on the top, and they just flip 180 degrees each day.

A drift formed underneath the elevated platform and, well, broke it (not the first time it’s happened and not the last).  So it was removed from the website while it’s getting fixed… but it’s never truly removed, it’s just hidden.  The live image is still there at the source… which you can find this address if you look at the HTML code for the web cam page when the camera is active.  

https://player.brownrice.com/embed/stowesnowstake

Lift Maintenance brought it down to the shop and was working on it this afternoon… we hope to have the platform back up tomorrow or Friday.  Then it’ll be unhidden again from the resort page.

I wish this had like reddit upvotes.  Most amazing answer ever! 

On 2/3/2025 at 10:32 PM, powderfreak said:

It’s a new cam with a live view.  That old one was static low-def. A nice base area observation point there at Midway base lodge.

but what happened to the snow board cam, first it died, now its off the page altogether!

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Really raining my there?  Snowing at 750ft here but really only sticking to cold surfaces.  Roads and parking lots are wet in town.

def raining Im like 5 miles the crow flies from you just let the dog back in he's wet.  its not wet snow it's water of no white shade. temp is dropping though.  Hopefully back to snow we go

I know.  Always better to err on the side of less.  I appreciate it soo much.  We have temp issues tonight so elevation will matter.  32.4 here right now (820') and it's raining.  to mping

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

First time in like a month we had to kill snow guns due to marginal temps.

I think the mountain does another 4-6” tonight.  A healthy 6 at High Road would not surprise me.

hrrr says more 9.  rap say no 6 tops. I always add to pf and im usually right because he's the most conservative peep i have ever come across and it's fair.  Mansfield never lets down.  Plus that plume added by the guns adds to the nuclei needed.  just sucks the moisture out of the cloud and puts it on the trail.  Will be an early bedtime to get up there at 7:30 again.  Im home and back to regular skiing and so happy.  Its been 5 years since I skied so much.  Im old and I think all the old regulars are going to pull me in as they see me now.  I dont want to ski with them!

Definitely skied like a fluffy 4 inches too.  The snowgun pea soup at the top left a lot to be desired though! zero vis down to the haychute.  could barely see the ground below me   But at least it was warmer than this weekend!

26 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I always do 10:1. 

It seems like it changes every year.  oh do 10:1. no do kuchie.  I think it depends on temps (obviously).  If temps are marginal or really cold kuchie is better, as it will show 7:1 or 20:1 better than 10:1.    Am I wrong in this thinking?

1:26 last night!!! and thats now, pls to fix pf