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packbacker

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Everything posted by packbacker

  1. packbacker
    Been almost 3 years since Raleigh’s last snow. I got 4” and I think ColdRain got fringed.
  2. packbacker
    You know this winter is going to be rough when you have artic cold the next 10 days and we are having to hope for the pattern to breakdown to then build into something that could work. 2 steps behind this winter.
  3. packbacker
    Past 48 hours we got the exact opposite of what we needed. #WeSuck
  4. packbacker
    PackAppsRubber. If RDU gets a 4-6” event. Not sure I will have to worry to much though.
  5. packbacker
    So maybe we are going 2014...that looks crazy cold mid month. Not even us can mess up the entire month of Jan with this look....impossible!
  6. packbacker
    I would have to keep it for a year though! If we get a 4-6” event this winter I will change it.
  7. packbacker
    Wow, that is cold, probably dry with the warmth that far west but eventually something will happen....it has to.
  8. packbacker
    I am tempted to change my screen name to that...not sure they will let me though.
  9. packbacker
    Day 11 looks good...showing a cutter.
  10. packbacker
    Only difference I see between the UK and the GFS at 72 hours is our NY's wave digs a little more which means it's helping carve a path for the UK to dig the Jan 3 energy more or the ridge is just weaker. Biggest change I see on the Euro is it doesn't move that pig low out of the NE quick enough so wave is flatter.
  11. packbacker
    Well the slosh theory may work this time...the GFS literally can't be any further east. It has to be more west tomorrow....it will slosh back west.
  12. packbacker
    The UK is 300 miles west of the GFS at day 6 but is 200 miles east of where we need it.
  13. packbacker
    What the heck is this on the GFS...
  14. packbacker
    8 out of the past 11 winter enso’s have been negative. Since 1996 15 out of 22...need some +enso’s to get rolling. Tired of all this northern stream junk.
  15. packbacker
    LOL...fixed. Stupid iPhone auto correct.
  16. packbacker
    Hah...I am not the least bit worried about an Apps runner next week. I am sure Franklin will want it up 95 and ColdRain gets a cold rain.
  17. packbacker
    200 mile shift at this range is nothing...most winters you can almost set your clock to it. This isn’t most winters it seems.
  18. packbacker
    18z GEFS qpf mean. I would take this verbatim...mood flakes. 0.5” is at HAT, that’s only about 200 mile west shift at 5-6 days. We have seen then inside 48 hours from start time, just a few weeks ago and last January.
  19. packbacker
    Makes it almost worth it.
  20. packbacker
    That’s it...that’s all I could muster. Well I guess the good news is the GEFS and EPS agree on a wide right miss next week. Model consensus is always good.
  21. packbacker
    Well the good news about the 18z GEFS.....
  22. packbacker
    Half the EPS members have snow in the Carolinas Jan 3-4.
  23. packbacker
    Not sure I have ever seen the EPS spit out 15 days of BN temps. Granted the last 5 days may assume we have snowpack. The 11-15 isn’t a warm pattern with EPO coming back
  24. packbacker
    Don’t recall the cfs bouncing around this much before. Granted the first week of Jan is going to be well BN so the month as a whole has a chance.
  25. packbacker
    What the heck...
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