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packbacker

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Everything posted by packbacker

  1. packbacker
    Day 10 but not after that. Pretty much every analog for e-nina with e-qbo is a torch for Feb, so it makes sense. EPS/GEFS may push back the change a few days but by the 20th, winter is over in the MA/SE. Woohoo!
  2. packbacker
    Well the NAM's are going to really tick east. The southern h5 low initialized much weaker then previous run and more positively tilted. The 3km will whiff PGV. What a terrible bust for this will be for them.
  3. packbacker
    Crud...kids get out 2 hours early for snow. They were crushed last year after the Jan debacle and now have to explain there won't be any snow...they can go play in the leaf pile I guess.
  4. packbacker
    Just noticed 12km shafts PGV.
  5. packbacker
    I said the same thing...we are like degenerate gambles, we just can't pass up a good craps table.
  6. packbacker
    12km sees the Wake Co snow shield...LOL What the heck
  7. packbacker
    Now we are getting somewhere...10 more days of winter and it's hello spring. GOA low, big eastern ridge.
  8. packbacker
    LOL...SLP’s ticked West, NAM and RGEM but precip ticked east. We are a bunch of suckers.
  9. packbacker
    Feels like Jan 2000...just without the snow.
  10. packbacker
    UK came in a tick NW and stronger then 12z. Waiting on QPF, but somehow the precip will be confined to east of HAT/ILM.
  11. packbacker
    RGEM was deflating. Nothing like the 3km NAM. More like the Euro. Been burned more times by the NAM’s....
  12. packbacker
    3km is going to track it over HAT. The NAM's are usually to tight with the NW qpf and I hope this is the case again.
  13. packbacker
    It's usually to high, not to low.
  14. packbacker
    About bringing the goods? The SLP track was super terrific but the QPF sucks rocks...
  15. packbacker
    Ummm....I will take it but a track just off HAT should be more then 0.2" of QPF....what the heck?
  16. packbacker
    NAM is going to track this just off HAT and I don't see the wow QPF "we got Namd"
  17. packbacker
    NAM out to 18...it looks a little different but have no clue how this will turn out. I am not getting that wow factor though.
  18. packbacker
    I know...that and March 93 will never occur again in our lifetimes. Hard enough to just get an 1" of snow nowadays.
  19. packbacker
    Nobody sucks this bad...do they. I almost hope 95 gets 8” and we get partly sunny. That way we can keep our whinefest.
  20. packbacker
    Only we can get slp shifting west with qpf gradient shifting east. This starts, whatever this is, in 24 hours. We aren’t even under a WWA.
  21. packbacker
    There is zero chance of this shafting you guys...you guys want it west too, more QPF. Even if you guys taint with some sleet, big deal. Would rather have 1" QPF with half snow/sleet then 0.3" qpf of just snow. This is a slam dunk big winter storm for you guys, unless you see models tick back east and you only get like 0.2" qpf.
  22. packbacker
    Feel like I am watching a Wolfpack game...down 20 at half, make a furious rally to get within a bucket and ....
  23. packbacker
    Just great...finally get some precip heading our way and it's to warm for snow. Atleast by end of Jan winter will be over...set your watch to a warm Nina Feb.
  24. packbacker
    Really just become indifferent to snow. Don’t know what to say...I honestly can’t imagine us getting a 2-4” event, ever....forget about a 6”+. Would say climate change but Atlanta just cleaned up. This is going to be a rapidly deepening low that will be east. Dec event was a fire hose but ended up being 2” of 34F rain. Last Jan had the west shift inside 24 hours and ended up being our biggest bust. Been going on for years now where we just miss or get a nuisance sleet storm.
  25. packbacker
    Isobars seem to be bending up to the OBX. We can pretend it deepens to 970 off HAT.
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