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packbacker

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Everything posted by packbacker

  1. packbacker
    It's a curse really...nice frisbee golf weather though.
  2. packbacker
    Personally I think we will get another 7-10 cold shot end of Jan into Feb. The GEFS still showing the -AO for the next 10 days. We had a -EPO/-AO in Dec for 10 days, got another one in Jan for 10 days, think it happens one more time. Though analogs say we are warm for Feb.
  3. packbacker
    Looks warm...trough in the GOA, those can be very stubborn to dislodge. We are kind of following what happened last winter...couple of cold shots in December, first 10 days of January was cold, big east coast storm. Then all out torch from mid-Jan through spring. Last winter from mid Jan to March 1st I think our high was in the 70's half those days. Compare the GEFS 5 day extended mean with what we saw last winter from mid-Jan on....not good if you want cold anytime soon. Well anytime after Sunday.
  4. packbacker
    The -EPO on the Euro needs to go in the shop...this doesn't look like a -EPO. This looks like spring...
  5. packbacker
    When your power comes back on Wednesday you can let us know how great the ice storm was. 33-34F and driving rain on Sunday night sounds fun though. It's what we do best.
  6. packbacker
    Cut off as it approaches but then opens up. Should be some solid rain, I would hope. Wash all this salt away.
  7. packbacker
    GFS is 33-34F rain for a lot of area with heavy qpf. Single digit dew points before all this starts too. Should warm up very quick though with sliding HP.
  8. packbacker
    I got 1.5", most in 3 winters. Nice event...now bring on spring. That snowhole was tough...we could have been 3-4" if that band had shifted a little NE earlier. Missed 5" by 20 miles I think.
  9. packbacker
    Cold is in Russia, that’s a shame. Even in our warmest Nina’s we are good for Feb dusting. We got that going for us.
  10. packbacker
    LOL...I know, I think it's me too. I honestly don't think it will ever snow here again, not saying it needs to be 10"+ event, but a 3-5" even between 85 and 95. That seems like the impossible.
  11. packbacker
    This is way more impressive then getting 1-2" of snow. None of us in Raleigh would remember a 1-2" event but we will remember the snow hole. That band to our west will eventually snow itself out and may bring us some flurries, but doubtful.
  12. packbacker
    Loop the radar, you can see the band to our southwest dying out. 50/50 we get blanked completely. Probably a dusting though is my guess. Maybe 70/30 for a blank.
  13. packbacker
    The snowhole will be more impressive then 1-2” of snow. I just expect it now...something always happens. #snowshield.
  14. packbacker
    Yep, that band will not lift NE This is how it snows north-south-east-west of us. Happens far to often.
  15. packbacker
    It's running out of space to go now.
  16. packbacker
    I will break out my telescope...it's a virga blizzard at 2500 ft.
  17. packbacker
    Yep...every time. The band to our SW will die out before it shifts over us, the band to our east should hit a brick wall as it gets just passed I95. This is shaping up to be a classic Raleigh snow hole.
  18. packbacker
    I love circular virga events around Wake Co. I anticipate this to build more and more so it looks like a donut
  19. packbacker
    LOL...well this is like a 1 in 100 year event for them, bet it's great down there. Hopefully we get 6" event before there next one.
  20. packbacker
    Raleigh can't even do virga right. It's almost made a complete circle.
  21. packbacker
    I can smell the virga....only a matter of time.
  22. packbacker
    Jackpot was 30 miles...this one sucked too. We won’t be happy until it snows only in Wake County and it rains or dry slots everywhere else. And it has to do that like 17 times to even things up.
  23. packbacker
    Like I said...somehow, GSP to CLT to GSO to DCA will get more snow then RDU. Always does. And of course SAV and CHS.
  24. packbacker
    Rule #1: NAM's are only good for detecting warm noses.
  25. packbacker
    Yes.
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