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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. Nomz
    I bet that western low deepens and the east low fills in
  2. Nomz
    It's a more classic setup. Cyclogenesis is pretty easy to infer from 500mb, and 500mb at f140 is easier to infer from f60.
  3. Nomz
    all caps folks
  4. Nomz
    Can we get another JV/banter thread
  5. Nomz
    Still a whiff though, unless I'm looking at the wrong model run
  6. Nomz
    Full kuchera map. I'd rather be us now than us 10 hours ago.
  7. Nomz
    Talk about diffluence aloft out in front of that thing back to regularly scheduled programming
  8. Nomz
    fuck south carolina tbh
  9. Nomz
    bncho saying guys while stormtracker says folks says something about america tbh
  10. Nomz
    Their crashout would have been worse than ours last week
  11. Nomz
    After looking at f30 and consulting my ouija board: I have no idea
  12. Nomz
    hey I'll take .5 qpf
  13. Nomz
    RGEM west of the GFS but not as negative at end of run. More area to work with, but more work to do. Call it about even.
  14. Nomz
    I was more looking at the western extent of the northern vort. Looked a little bit closer to negative too imo. (Icon left gfs right)
  15. Nomz
    Bleh I lied. Struggling to get negative at h78
  16. Nomz
    At h60 ICON might be a nuke
  17. Nomz
    https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/ 12 hours delayed with limited maps but this is the best i know of
  18. Nomz
    NAM @ h78 looks better, but remember its still the NAM at range. Although I will say most of the improvements were made at initialization, which makes me think that the drops are probably positive data.
  19. Nomz
    Feels like its favoring the AIFS solution. edit: take that back it looks more GFS-like
  20. Nomz
    The bit of vort near Winnipeg. Further west and more amped/slower have ended up with good solutions so far.
  21. Nomz
    "Everything I don't like is an outlier" not great analysis imo
  22. Nomz
    NAM at h30 looks better than the AIFS (i don't have pivotal+) and UK, and worse than GFS and ICON.
  23. Nomz
    00z NAM is off and running
  24. Nomz
    Also fwiw, some subjective model reanalysis from 48 hours: https://forecastwatch.com/2026/01/27/major-u-s-snowstorm-forecast-accuracy-analysis-january-23-26/ Good to know everyone blew it for us
  25. Nomz
    I believe thats what Euro AIFS and AIGFS do, no? Use AI to adjust raw model outputs?
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