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Baum

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Posts posted by Baum

  1. 4 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

    The 00z Euro did become stronger and snowier compared to the 12z run.  Of course, this will be very wet, low-ratio snow, and if the Euro is too cold by a degree this forecast will bust.  This is the snowiest of all the models this evening.  I would err on the low side.  DVN, this afternoon, said not much snow south of Waterloo-Dubuque.  That's certainly possible.

    I can't help but get a bit angry because we finally get a rare, strengthening low, loaded with moisture, tracking from St. Louis to Chicago (maybe once every few years track) and there is no f'ing cold air.... in early February.  19 times out of 20 this is a big snowstorm.

    image.thumb.png.63526229e605d6736ded600db7924101.png

    what he said.

    • Like 1
    • Sad 1
  2. 10 hours ago, ChiTownSnow said:

    So they say.  

    Just because it missed us to the east with it's main accumulations does not it mean it didn't happen. Could also add one of the most impactful 1-3" snows given the wind and cold associated with it over a wide area I've seen in some time. So of course, it leaves us with;what could have been.

  3. 9 hours ago, Baum said:

    here is another example of bullshit NWS forecasting out of Milwaukee:

    TONIGHT  
    SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW  
    ACCUMULATION 2 TO 8 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 18.  
    NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.

    this is embarrassing. I'm sorry, you just cannot pull this stuff. What happend to forecasting, and if you bust...own it?

    MILWAUKEE-  
    INCLUDING THE CITY OF MILWAUKEE  
    331 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2023  
      
    ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS  
    MORNING...  
       
    EARLY THIS MORNING  
    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION  
    UP TO 1 INCH. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 1 TO 5 INCHES. NORTH WINDS  
    15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.   

  4. MCHENRY-  
    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CRYSTAL LAKE, ALGONQUIN, MCHENRY,   
    AND WOODSTOCK  
    912 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2023  
       
    ..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY  
      
       
    REST OF TONIGHT  
    SNOW AND A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE IN THE  
    EVENING, THEN SNOW LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AFTER  
    MIDNIGHT. PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION  
    AROUND AN INCH.
    NEW ICE ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE. LOWS AROUND  
    17. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR  
    100 PERCENT.

  5. here is another example of bullshit NWS forecasting out of Milwaukee:

    TONIGHT  
    SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW  
    ACCUMULATION 2 TO 8 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 18.  
    NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.

    this is embarrassing. I'm sorry, you just cannot pull this stuff. What happend to forecasting, and if you bust...own it?

    • Haha 1
  6. 34 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

    All things considered, it seems reasonable enough.  Tricky call for them, but at some point you have to make one.  Can't punt forever.  

    unfortunately, i have seen how these bands play out historically here. But obv rooting for the southern outcome. 

  7. On 1/24/2023 at 1:11 PM, sbnwx85 said:

    Definitely the most active pattern since November in these parts. Four inches tomorrow, 1" Thursday, 1" Friday and possibly 4" Saturday night/Sunday. It won't be 10" on the ground due to compaction but it'll at least look like a proper January. And the extended looks good too. 

     

    7 hours ago, mimillman said:

    Outside of an overperformer this weekend, what could have been a promising stretch has been lackluster. The extended looks wholly unremarkable

    huh

    • Like 1
  8. 2 hours ago, tuanis said:

    This kind of system can be our bread & butter up here. Hope it delivers. The fronto band can really dump, but often seems to drift further north than anticipated instead of sitting overhead. Fingers crossed.

    image.png.a7a357f808454ea48c56785f1adbd285.png

     

    proof lack of snow has an impact on a snow weenies mental make up.:lol:

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