Baum
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Posts posted by Baum
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11 hours ago, Baum said:
unexpected convection and blow off cirrus will keep it in check....almost always does. It'll feel like summer,and the lighting bugs will prosper. Good stuff.
on cue:A MIDDLE LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE FROM THE DAKOTAS
TOWARD LAKE SUPERIOR AND POTENTIALLY SEND A MCS WEST TO EAST
JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA OVER WISCONSIN. WHILE BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY, THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY ON THIS STORMS TRACK AND ITS INFLUENCE IN NORTHERN
ILLINOIS. FOR NOW, IT WAS DECIDED NOT TO ISSUE ANY EXCESSIVE
HEAT PRODUCTS FOR THE WEEKEND. -LOT-
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4 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:
Good post. Although I do disagree with this part: "While at this juncture it doesn't look like record highs are in jeopardy..."
Below, is the current point-click forecast centered on DTW Airport. Record highs for Saturday through Tuesday are: 96, 98, 95, and 97. Record high minima are: 75, 73, 74, and 74. So this forecast would imply a new record high on Monday, June 23, and record high minima on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday (tie). So I don't agree with that conclusion. Clearly, records are in jeopardy or else the NWS forecast is out to lunch. And this is just one location. I'm sure other locations will be at or near record high temperatures as well.
unexpected convection and blow off cirrus will keep it in check....almost always does. It'll feel like summer,and the lighting bugs will prosper. Good stuff.
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19 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:
Yesterday morning's Euro run was just a tease. The mid to late-week storms have been lifted north again. Most models show little to nothing here. At least the garden will get some nice sun and heat.
Keep it moving north. Going to be in southern wisconsin on a short lake vacation. I'll take the sun and warmth.
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22 hours ago, Baum said:
Memorial Day. Off to wrigley to see Cubs vs. Rockies. Might be 60 with some cloud cover. But I'll survive.
Update: Froze my azz off in my upper deck seat with no sun. Outside beer deck in the sun was warm and beautiful. Two different days 40'apart.
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Memorial Day. Off to wrigley to see Cubs vs. Rockies. Might be 60 with some cloud cover. But I'll survive.
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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:
Loving the autumn-like weather this coming week!
next winter's cold is already being wasted.
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Dust storm in Chicago......Climate Changer
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Ain't gonna lie, the Spartman posts for Memorial Day have me spooked. We're due for an ugly one.
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that's twice in a week Spartman has quoted me:
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"BY EARLY NEXT WEEK THERE IS
GREATER SPREAD IN GUIDANCE REGARDING WHERE THAT UPPER LOW WILL
END UP. "LOT Forecasters:
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early summery period may have been delayed, but denied. I'm all in.
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Climo dictates always temper your forecast and expectations in Early May to the side of a closed upper low versus ridging. Heck, even into early June I don't trust the upper low to win the battle.
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1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:
From LOT AFD Highlights yesterday at this time:
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
Ugly miss and turn of events.
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please, no.
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15 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:
The 2024/25 snowfall season will finish as the 5th least snowiest on record for Chicago. Also of note, is that with this being the case, the season of 2011/12 has now dropped out of the top 10.
Least Snowiest Snowfall Seasons
1. 9.8" - 1920/21
2. 11.5" - 1921/22
3. 12.0" - 1936/37
4. 14.3" - 1948/49
5. 17.6" - 2024/25
6. 18.0" - 1898/99
7. 18.2" - 1901/02
8. 18.9" - 1924/25
9. 19.0" - 1914/15
9. 19.0" - 1912/13striking how old the years of the previous winters were with so little snow.
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11 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:
We were due for a stat padder this winter. I mentioned before, but this is the first winter in 10 years that was better than the total snowfall would indicate. The complete opposite feel of a winter like 2019-20, where a record November snowstorm, some late April snow, and a few good wet snowstorms during the winter helped push the season total to 44" despite so many mild DJF days
Well aware. I oversee 20 snow removal sites in SE Michigan. Felt like it snowed .2" everdyay from Thanksgiving until Valentines day. Strange winter.
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10 hours ago, Powerball said:
Looks like DTW got 1.8" of snow from last night's event.
And it appears to have been a general 1-2" snowfall across all of the Detroit area.
stat padding at it's finest.
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1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:
I don't see the relevance, but it looks pretty green outside my house.
just a little friendly shiat giving.
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23 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:
Very impressive warmth during the month of March, especially with respect to daytime high temperatures. In most locations, temperatures have only been exceeded one or two times since 1946.
Detroit, Michigan Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 61.0 2 1945 58.6 3 1946 55.6 4 2021 54.7 5 2025 54.1 6 2000 53.9 7 1910 53.6 8 2010 52.5 9 2016 51.9 10 1921 51.8Chicago, Illinois Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 63.3 2 1945 59.5 3 1946 57.6 4 1910 56.6 5 1921 55.3 6 2025 54.6 7 2000 54.6 8 1968 53.4 9 1938 53.4 10 2021 53.3Minneapolis, Minnesota Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 57.5 2 1910 55.4 3 1878 54.6 4 1946 51.3 5 2000 50.5 6 2025 50.2 7 2021 50.1 8 1968 50.1 9 2010 50.0 10 1945 50.0Indianapolis, Indiana Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 67.1 2 1910 62.5 3 1945 61.9 4 1946 61.8 5 1921 60.8 6 2025 60.1 7 2007 59.0 8 1973 59.0 9 1918 58.9Toledo, Ohio Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 61.5 2 1945 60.0 3 1946 57.5 4 2021 57.4 5 1910 56.7 6 2025 55.0 7 2024 54.4 8 2000 54.1 9 1921 54.1 10 1973 53.2Des Moines, Iowa Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 66.8 2 1910 63.4 3 2025 59.2 4 1946 57.4 5 1918 57.4 6 1945 56.5 7 2016 56.4 8 2000 56.3 9 1938 56.2 10 2024 56.0Moline, Illinois Rank Year Mean Max Temperature 1 2012 64.4 2 1910 61.4 3 1945 59.7 4 1946 59.2 5 2025 58.2 6 1878 56.4 7 2000 56.3 8 2024 56.0 9 2007 55.8 10 1918 55.8grass is still brown. Simpler stat.
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yep. The sound of thunder as the warmth pushes in. Shame it won't last long.
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1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said:
Models continue to tease some snow across Iowa mid next week, right after we hit 70º again early in the week.
depressing. But it is March.
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1 hour ago, RogueWaves said:
Haha, right. Forgot to mention that while we didn't have TWC circa 82-83 we did get WGN so I got my first exposure to Skilling. Was blown away. Had never seen any weather segment like his, not even close.
Chicago was lucky.Went from John Coleman to Tom Skilling. Coleman of course later went on to help create TWC. He also was the only met to forecast the Chicago Blizzard of 1979. Official forecast was 2-4". Watched his 10 pm forecast that night when he was forecasting a blizzard with over a foot. I thought he was crazy.
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11 hours ago, roardog said:
It wasn’t available on our cable until the late 80s. It must have been before 1988 though because I remember they had a special program weekdays at 8pm that summer called drought watch or something dramatic like that because of the hot and dry summer that was happening. It’s funny how that was 37 years ago and I can still remember the opening was some dramatic music with dry cracked ground. lol
I'd call and talk to Tom Skilling. He always took my calls. Fact.
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Late June 2025 Heat Wave
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
Left home several years back and it was near a 100 at home to see a concert at Ravinia on the lake 30 miles asway. Ended up buying sweatshirts in mid July for the wife and I. Brutal.