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anthonymm

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Everything posted by anthonymm

  1. anthonymm
    We had that same setup last year and it was very cold (compared to the last several years). Still couldn't even crack 13" in the park, and it's unlikely next winter will be as cold as last. The setup reminds me of 2022-2023 to be honest (2" of snow that whole winter).
  2. anthonymm
    I'd go lower for philly and nyc. Likely both single digits. Also a warmer on the coast than what they have. Otherwise fine.
  3. anthonymm
    In any event should be a shutout for snow because of the enso state. Like 22/23. Dec 22 was seasonable but a shutout for snow for the city because of the nina northerly storm track. The rest of the winter torched as we all know (warmest Jan-Feb on record).
  4. anthonymm
    Here comes the screaming pac jet. All 3 winter months should be at least + 5 F for the nyc metro, plenty of -PNA, +NAO, cutters etc. Should be a massive winter for the west though. Wouldn't be surprised if Seattle racks up double whatever single digit number we get.
  5. anthonymm
    So to be clear, last year was too suppressed for nyc, but next will be too much se ridging for us. Cool, cool we always lose.
  6. anthonymm
    Yesterday was the last day of summer (= sustained temps > 80 ).
  7. anthonymm
    You're in the northwest suburbs. Here next to Manhattan that would be ludicrous with all the 70 degree uhi nights.
  8. anthonymm
    I dont think we can safely put away the AC till mid November these days. Sigh.
  9. anthonymm
    You described verbatim what will happen. I do like a cold winter but it is frustrating to have a january 25 type scenario where you know it's cold enough to snow but you just keep getting unlucky. At least if its a january 23 type thing you know there's no chance anyway.
  10. anthonymm
    We're too southernly. CT shoreline is the dividing line now. If you look at the last 7 years the snow departures from normal are drastically worse in NYC than Boston say. As I think bluewave mentioned nyc is basically past the point of no return in the temperature department. I expect the same to happen to Boston eventually, maybe in 30ish years.
  11. anthonymm
    omg bro move to FL
  12. anthonymm
    WE dont but have you looked at the midwest!
  13. anthonymm
    SNE is fine. DC up to NYC is cooked. The snow means there are permanently altered. DC will average 7" and nyc 14"ish.
  14. anthonymm
    This winter is looking more and more like a worst case scenario for mid atlantic up to nyc (not sure about sne that feels borderline right now). Could be another 2022-2023 for these regions.
  15. anthonymm
    Wow I forgot how march was a full on spring month this year. March has totally ceased to be wintery in recent years, the last march with more than an half an inch of measurable snow in central park was 2019. I actually think this alone is more impressive than the overall warming/ lack of snow trend. March totally is not a winter month at all anymore.
  16. anthonymm
    I like how if you forecast BN snow in the I95 corridor and AN out west you will be right like 9/10 times now.
  17. anthonymm
    I usually support the idea of warmth overperforming but eps has been terrible at seeing cooldowns the last few months. I seriously doubt the midwest stays that warm for so long.
  18. anthonymm
    This 100%. Sustained temps above 85 are not normal outside of the core june-sept months and it's really bad to pretend they are.
  19. anthonymm
    Notable exception last year with the white christmas and absurd freezing cold a few days beforehand.
  20. anthonymm
    "September was fallish". I see you chose to ignore the entire second half of the month. Summer teetered out early and then came back with a vengeance after mid Sept. Hell, the upper midwest is getting its hottest temps of the entire season right now in early October.
  21. anthonymm
    Crap ninos tend to be a bit better than crap ninas cause at least you can shoot up a big L up the coast and cross your fingers it happens to align with a cold shot. That basically just doesn't happen in ninas.
  22. anthonymm
    What makes you say a ridge in the goa will be a prominent feature?
  23. anthonymm
    What do you think climatologically the snowiest week is? Second week of Feb would be my gut feeling.
  24. anthonymm
    Probably about 41 N.
  25. anthonymm
    Is this really true?
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