anthonymm
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Everything posted by anthonymm
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Sorry lived in FL before 2022. Thus I have not seen first hand evidence that this place can be snowy.
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Early Dec looks bad for the coast, no +PNA in sight so things will cut. Remains to see what mid-late will bring.
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I said what I said. Have you not looked at snow totals in the city for the last 4 years? Any snow at all is pretty much a treat, now that we cant guarantee any given winter wont turn into 2022-2023.
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Any snow at all at any time of the year is gravy pretty much for central park/I95ers south of new england now.
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So cape may is somehow immune to the pac jet? Interesting.
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Great point. I think it would be hard to argue cape may has a better climo for snow than central park. Yet they got multiple 4" events last winter. Central park is has just been very very unlucky recently.
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pretty sure LGA got a 4" event last winter.
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11 inches of precip versus 9 is really not that much. I don't really think you can chalk up the lack of snow in the late 20s early 30s to dryness. It was likely just shit luck with the storm tracks being west of the region. Of course one can argue with climate change it's more likely we get these warmer storm tracks.
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Wow didn't realize the late 20s early 30s sucked that badly for snow in nyc. I wonder if at that time there were doomers like bluewave saying the mean may permanently change to 15" per year lol.
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Care to explain the reasoning why the pattern post 2019 has been to utterly hostile to cold and snow in the northeast specifically ? Other regions aren't experiencing this.
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Incredible how reliable that December snowfall statistic is in the park.
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Yup PNA is king south of New England. NYC's not reaching 4" for December if that western trough hangs out for the entirety of the month. That pretty much guarantees a BN winter for us. Forgot who said it but 19" is likely a (generous) upper bound for our snow totals this winter.
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the big ku's almost always feature +pna.
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I'll take a little excess hunga tonga water vapor if theres a huge ridge over the rockies and greenland and a 980 mb L tracking up the benchmark. Of course stuff like this doesn't happen nowadays
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-PNA sucks.
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100% this is not a snow look. We get snow only when the rockies torch under a huge ridge. Which is extremely unlikely now that we're in a nina. I see a BN winter ahead, at least south of Boston.
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19" for central park would feel insanely snowy nowadays. Haven't gotten close to normal in 5 years.
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Drop the PV over the hudson bay all winter long, ala 2013-2014.
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Is NYC the NE to you or the mid atlantic ?
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We cant really get above normal with one. That would take a january 2016 type event which happens like once every 20 years.
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Yup I really dont see how the math works out to getting even close to our normals (25-30" give or take from philly to nyc) unless we get several big coastal lows tracking along the benchmark. Seems really hard to pull off. Who knows maybe bluewave is right and our new normals are around 15" per season.
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I've said this a few times. The northern mid atlantic from philly to the nyc metro is the screw zone now. Too north for the suppressed tracks, too south for the swfe. We have only one way of getting snow basically (KU nor'easters), and that's the reason we've been consistently getting the lowest percent of our snow normals the last few years compared to the other I95 cities.
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Yea give me one cold smoke 8 inch storm like jan 22 and a smattering of 2-4" events. Would feel prolifically wintery nowadays.
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Yup, forgot who pointed that out (Don?), but the 4" stat in central park has like a 95+ % success rate.
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23" in nyc would feel incredibly snowy in comparison to recent years. That is more than the last three years combined, yet 6" less than the 30 year average (lol). Hell of a snow drought.
