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anthonymm

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Everything posted by anthonymm

  1. I like how if you forecast BN snow in the I95 corridor and AN out west you will be right like 9/10 times now.
  2. I usually support the idea of warmth overperforming but eps has been terrible at seeing cooldowns the last few months. I seriously doubt the midwest stays that warm for so long.
  3. This 100%. Sustained temps above 85 are not normal outside of the core june-sept months and it's really bad to pretend they are.
  4. Notable exception last year with the white christmas and absurd freezing cold a few days beforehand.
  5. "September was fallish". I see you chose to ignore the entire second half of the month. Summer teetered out early and then came back with a vengeance after mid Sept. Hell, the upper midwest is getting its hottest temps of the entire season right now in early October.
  6. Crap ninos tend to be a bit better than crap ninas cause at least you can shoot up a big L up the coast and cross your fingers it happens to align with a cold shot. That basically just doesn't happen in ninas.
  7. What makes you say a ridge in the goa will be a prominent feature?
  8. What do you think climatologically the snowiest week is? Second week of Feb would be my gut feeling.
  9. Spectacular if it was 15 degrees cooler. Best (non winter) weather is mid 60s with full sun.
  10. If 81-2010 is your standard we likely will never have a cold winter ever again.
  11. Well 11-12, 15-16, 22-23 and 23-24 all had roughly Richmond tier temps right? In our bad years (and there are many more now), we may as well be a southern Virginia coastal town.
  12. Yeah it's always both now. Getting a BN normal month is like pulling teeth.
  13. The warmth is better in spring when people are sick of cold from winter. It sucks to have it now because we're exhausted of the heat. It's like people complaining about a cold snowy spring but the flipside.
  14. 2022-2023 on repeat. Seasonable December but no good storms, and then a complete blowtorch for the east for the rest of the winter. It's actually an excellent analog now.
  15. Uh .. this can happen nowadays. Look at Jan 2023, it was a +10 anomaly the whole month. Plus it's not even that unprecedented. 1947 had an average high of 72.5, which means we can easily beat that now. Also to get an average high temp of 75 you don't need mid 70s every day.
  16. It's trivial for us to break high temp records now, as long as they're taken over a long enough period.
  17. Yep we always pay heavily for those rare cooldowns. It's so biased towards warmth now its not even funny.
  18. Average high temp for central park for oct will likely be in the mid 70s. It will be like a typical September temperature wise.
  19. I think seasonal snowfall is bound to decline as the 20 year period from 2000-2020 benefitted from the increased moisture from CC, while still being cold enough to snow. We're no longer reliably cold enough to snow anymore so we should expect the long term seasonal average in the city to go from 25" ish to maybe 15". At the same time we have been stuck in a particularly unlucky pattern since 18-19 as bluewave says.
  20. Yup even with 91-20 normals. I don't even understand how anyone can deny the reality at this point.
  21. Very nasty bad luck over and over. Right on, if FL can score 9" KU's in this new climate regime it's OBVIOUSLY not over for the tristate.
  22. Wasted the cold air in august and first half of September. I guess it made what is usually the worst part of summer more tolerable but now we have typical late august temps happening in late september-early oct. Fall's taking a break for the foreseeable future.
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