anthonymm
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Everything posted by anthonymm
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Moderate snowfall 12/14/2025 WWA up for most of the area
anthonymm replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Really? Have you considered that NYC hasn't gotten a 4" storm since 2022? LOL. -
Thats how nina decembers go. Getting 0" is a la nina december is a great way to ensure getting a historically least snowy winter. This winter could be over by about the 15th if we dont have anything credible to track unfortunately
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Yup I believe i pointed out 22-23 was a great analog
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Threat for Sunday looks impotent
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BN december in a nina means BN winter. On to spring.
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Cold dry warm wet. If we don't have HP the north then Dec 12 will be rain for the city. If we do it'll suppress south to Virginia. NYC metro is a really unlucky spot now for snow. Too south for the marginal/interior tracks, too north for the supressively cold tracks. Only way to get snow now is with benchmark tracks, which not even the fantasy GFS is showing. Likely <3" December---> low snow winter #4 of the 2020s.
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Can see it being like Dec 24 or Jan 25. Below normal temps but we get all our precip from the odd cutter / coastal hugger when the cold pattern relaxes.
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You going for < 3" or more than 3" by end of Dec in central park?
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Monster +PDO in a warm neutral/moderate nino. NYC's not seeing a KU till the pac jet is utterly defeated.
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You can claim to examine my psychology as much as you want but I'm sure you'd agree the smartest forecast one can do these days is aim low on I95 snow
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Where have we seen the pacific ruining I95 snow chances before ? Oh wait.
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Big difference between a 17” winter and 4” winter if you ask me. Central park 2.3 and 7.9 2022-2024, followed by low teens the following winter. That is definitely unprecedented.
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The last few years is not the norm however either. We swung very hard in the other direction. 2022-2024 was the first central park saw back to back single digit " winters. It's unfortunate now that we can't get moderate yearly snowfalls in the 20"s like back in the 1980s. The default now is single digits or in the low teens" with rare exceptions like february 2021.
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Sure. But we already see the pattern unfolding. huggers and suppressed, the dominant pattern since 2018.
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Not gonna happen cause it went poof. Bluewave is right. We either get cutters/coastal huggers like Tues, or when the actual cold is in place like this weekend, suppressed tracks. The atmosphere in the 2020s is finding every way to not track a low up the benchmark when there's cold air around in the east. It's like a lesson in how to not get snow
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Looks like another interior event. Who could have guessed
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u know it's getting serious when bluewave lets out a hint of optimism.
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meh. we should be seeing more ensemble support but its not really panning out for the city proper.
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white rain for jersey city for an hour then rain
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thread the needle as always. just very hard for the city to good snows now in general, regardless of if its dec, jan or feb.
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coastal weenies gotta pray for 18z euro and euro AI to be seeing something the others dont.
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C-1" ---> rain. Good for the ski resorts in NY and southern VT though! They need snow.
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2009-2010 strong la nina *
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I mean if there's a deep anticyclone over Quebec you definitely want as much snowpack in the source region as possible the air that funnels south is cold.
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nah we want a decent snowpack in our source region. let it destroy the interior i say.
