anthonymm
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Everything posted by anthonymm
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The last few years is not the norm however either. We swung very hard in the other direction. 2022-2024 was the first central park saw back to back single digit " winters. It's unfortunate now that we can't get moderate yearly snowfalls in the 20"s like back in the 1980s. The default now is single digits or in the low teens" with rare exceptions like february 2021.
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Sure. But we already see the pattern unfolding. huggers and suppressed, the dominant pattern since 2018.
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Not gonna happen cause it went poof. Bluewave is right. We either get cutters/coastal huggers like Tues, or when the actual cold is in place like this weekend, suppressed tracks. The atmosphere in the 2020s is finding every way to not track a low up the benchmark when there's cold air around in the east. It's like a lesson in how to not get snow
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Looks like another interior event. Who could have guessed
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u know it's getting serious when bluewave lets out a hint of optimism.
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meh. we should be seeing more ensemble support but its not really panning out for the city proper.
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white rain for jersey city for an hour then rain
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thread the needle as always. just very hard for the city to good snows now in general, regardless of if its dec, jan or feb.
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coastal weenies gotta pray for 18z euro and euro AI to be seeing something the others dont.
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C-1" ---> rain. Good for the ski resorts in NY and southern VT though! They need snow.
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2009-2010 strong la nina *
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I mean if there's a deep anticyclone over Quebec you definitely want as much snowpack in the source region as possible the air that funnels south is cold.
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nah we want a decent snowpack in our source region. let it destroy the interior i say.
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12z euro quite wintry looking for the metro.
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Not a snowball's chance in hell. Best possible outcome for central park is a couple slushy inches---> rain.
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It's either ots or heavy wet snow for the deep interior. I95 isnt in the cards at all since we don't have a ridge over the rockies.
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Maybe, but there is pretty much 0 operational support for an OTS solution.
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Albany looks like the jackpot. I think this is a north of I84 storm. Hopefully coastal plain can cash in at some point in Dec..
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GFS already corrected north and it's likely not done. Cimo favors the interior heavily. Catskills and Poconos should get a really nice event.
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God I booked the wrong year for a rockies early Jan ski trip. On the other hand when they torch we get snow.
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I like how we all gave MJO812 weenie emojis for saying everyone overestimating SE ridge and he was completely validated. I will admit I have a warm bias. Maybe some others should step up and admit it too.
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This but unironically. The pac jet permanently cancelled snow odds for the tristate.
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I think so too man. We're not going back. I can see NYC settling on a 15ish inch mean for good now, absent a volcanic eruption like bluewave said.
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100%. It is so bizarre to see like none of the conus with snow cover this late into November. Can't be a good sign. Even if the cold shot early dec bleeds east like the weenies think it'll quickly moderate anyway from the lack of snowcover. Not gonna cancel winter on Nov 23 but i wouldn't be surprised if this is another stinker.
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Basically whichever way you slice it the atmosphere is biased against cold and snow in the east now.
