anthonymm
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Everything posted by anthonymm
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Just move down to the city. I don't know what all the ruckus about cold is about, we didn't drop below 60 here in the city. We probably won't get our first frost until December either lol
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UHI keeping me toasty here. Didn't even drop below 60 I think. Fall in the city is always delayed by a solid month due to pesky concrete.
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I dont know who that is. I have very poor heat tolerance though. May-October here sucks imo
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Agreed. If you're not in the shade and there's 0 clouds anything above 70 or so feels quite hot
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Yea I think this stuff about low sun angle heat not feeling bad is pure cope. Hot is hot, and anything above 85 is way too hot. I'd be surprised if we dont roast come mid September as payback for this nice August
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This 100%. We never get cool downs "for free". It's always one slightly below normal month followed by 2-3 blowtorches right after. I'm expecting a torchy fall.
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Watch us get a freak 90 last week of Sept or first week of Oct.
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We're absolutely not done with 90s. Why are people forgetting it can be hot as hell in September?
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And yet we still couldn't make it happen. The odds are so stacked against snow now it's kinda insane.
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I take it ultra warm winters like 11-12, 15-16, 19-20, 22-23, 23-24 were more or less unprecedented before this era no? It's not just that though. 21-22 and 24-25 were decently cold/seasonable, we just can't buy a big storm or frequent moderate storms anymore :/. Sucks and makes me want to move up north to VT or something.
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This. I think we're cooked until the western pac stops boiling. Has there been a single extreme -pdo type winter that ended up good for us??
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Whatever needs to happen to give us a mild/snowless winter is pretty much guaranteed to happen.
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Any reasons you think the pattern has turned to levels of garbage for snowfall literally never seen before? After 2018-2019 it seems like something changed abruptly. Since then the only good winter month snow-wise for nyc was february 2021.
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Lol yeah so more coating to 3 inch events like last year, except even less likely since there's no way its gonna be as cold as last winter.
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+PNA seems to be the most important pattern for big snow in the tristate at least. -EPO got us effing nothing last winter. Also need the subtropical jet to not be suppressed to oblivion
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So 25-26 is dead in the water. Nice. Crazy the snow dropoff that has occured since 19-20. Really only one good winter since then, or really only one good month (Feb 2021).
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I'm not so sure. Usually when we've gotten these cool stretches in August, September reminds us it's still summer. CPC's also going above for our area in September. I think we probably do get a mini heatwave, maybe 1-2 days of 90 with a bunch of upper 80 days.
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Are we taking the over or under for 90 degrees at central park at some point in September. Climo says its roughly 50/50 but I'd think it'd be harder to achieve outside the first week of the month. That's usually when temps really start dropping.
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If I'm not mistaken the perfect recipe for good fall foliage is about average amounts of precip with persistent cooler nights in early fall correct? Hopefully we get good foliage this time around, last year sucked cause of the drought.
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Last several summer/winters have been all front loaded. Winter 23-24 died after that one week cold spell in January. The following summer also died in August, with September being almost chilly. This past winter died in mid February as well, with march being a blowtorch.
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It's still too humid. The dew should never go above 60.
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Now if we could only get the western pacific to stop boiling we might have a 2010s style winter!
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So is 22-23 a good analog year? If so coastal mid atl-sne is screwed.
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Well that sucks. Nina is pretty much a winter killer if you're south of new england no?
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Isn't nina looking less and less likely? Almost looks like a carbon copy of last winter (which was good for mid atlantic but meh for philly-nyc-coastal new england).
