Well 11-12, 15-16, 22-23 and 23-24 all had roughly Richmond tier temps right? In our bad years (and there are many more now), we may as well be a southern Virginia coastal town.
The warmth is better in spring when people are sick of cold from winter. It sucks to have it now because we're exhausted of the heat. It's like people complaining about a cold snowy spring but the flipside.
2022-2023 on repeat. Seasonable December but no good storms, and then a complete blowtorch for the east for the rest of the winter. It's actually an excellent analog now.
Uh .. this can happen nowadays. Look at Jan 2023, it was a +10 anomaly the whole month. Plus it's not even that unprecedented. 1947 had an average high of 72.5, which means we can easily beat that now. Also to get an average high temp of 75 you don't need mid 70s every day.
I think seasonal snowfall is bound to decline as the 20 year period from 2000-2020 benefitted from the increased moisture from CC, while still being cold enough to snow. We're no longer reliably cold enough to snow anymore so we should expect the long term seasonal average in the city to go from 25" ish to maybe 15". At the same time we have been stuck in a particularly unlucky pattern since 18-19 as bluewave says.
Wasted the cold air in august and first half of September. I guess it made what is usually the worst part of summer more tolerable but now we have typical late august temps happening in late september-early oct. Fall's taking a break for the foreseeable future.
What is causing the ridiculously consistent +8 F temps above normal literally every single day? Is it just the EPO? It's a january 2023 torch-like pattern.
When was the last time snowmass was wrong and predicted a below normal winter for the tri-state which ended up busting? If your bias is in this direction than nowadays you're hardly ever wrong.
Extraordinarily warm overnight lows next few days. 70 overnight low in central park tonight? Gotta be one of the latest lows above 70 F in history right?