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Ericjcrash

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Everything posted by Ericjcrash

  1. Looking more like nothing, hopefully extended sleet. And we'll see, LR forecasts are worthless to me. We are spoiled here now. It's hard to keep this up.
  2. Yep. Going the wrong way. Very swift warm push aloft.
  3. Blowtorch. Even worse than 18z. Hoping for mood flakes at this point. RGEM is warm at surface and every layer from onset onward.
  4. Yeah me and my dreaded sun angle
  5. Eh, I'd take mid November with cold ground over mid March any day.
  6. Yeah they torch but it may be more snow to sleet before dryslot. Precip cuts off abruptly. Also, slight uptick for us flatlanders on the realistic clown map sorry NW.
  7. Yeah. 0z keeps surface cold but 850s torch quicker. Looks like a few hours of fun then some ping to light rain with WWA.
  8. Considerably colder aloft thru 35 hours on the NAM fwiw
  9. Ok let me rephrase....I'd be mildy surprised with more than an inch. Shocked by more than 2. I expect up to an inch of mainly sleet.
  10. Upton has 1-3" in my point and click. I'd be shocked if that verified. Thursday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet before 1pm, then snow and sleet likely between 1pm and 4pm, then rain, snow, and sleet after 4pm. High near 39. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
  11. RGEM is ugly. Mid level torch, looks to be pretty significant icing n&W
  12. Yeah, but it doesn't warm as quickly either. City still subfreezing at 54.
  13. 18z NAM is best case scenario. Colder yet, snowing heavily at 54hrs (unless theres a warm layer somewhere ,700, and surface below freezing before a torch and dryslot thereafter
  14. 18z NAM is best case scenario. Colder yet, snowing heavily at 54(unless theres a warm layer somewhere ,700, and surface below freezing before a torch and dryslot thereafter. Edit- was for NYC thread sorry... applicable for SNE though
  15. I'd say more than that but its brief and showery. Way too far to have a band overhead too long like the mystical land south of Buffalo and up toward Watertown.
  16. Yeah. I saw this last night in the NE thread. Apparently it only goes out to 90 hours?
  17. If the low was way closer to the BM lol.
  18. Yeah. Need to cash in on WAA before dry slot. I'm intrigued.
  19. Yeah, colder initially then torch. But this is improvement I'll take down here.... Clown map between 18 an 00z fwiw
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