Ericjcrash
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Everything posted by Ericjcrash
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Looking more like nothing, hopefully extended sleet. And we'll see, LR forecasts are worthless to me. We are spoiled here now. It's hard to keep this up.
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Yep. Going the wrong way. Very swift warm push aloft.
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Blowtorch. Even worse than 18z. Hoping for mood flakes at this point. RGEM is warm at surface and every layer from onset onward.
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Some CCB rain.
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Pretty epic fronto band on the 3k
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3k fronto band.
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Yeah me and my dreaded sun angle
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Yeah. Surface stays cold
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Eh, I'd take mid November with cold ground over mid March any day.
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Yeah they torch but it may be more snow to sleet before dryslot. Precip cuts off abruptly. Also, slight uptick for us flatlanders on the realistic clown map sorry NW.
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Yeah. 0z keeps surface cold but 850s torch quicker. Looks like a few hours of fun then some ping to light rain with WWA.
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Considerably colder aloft thru 35 hours on the NAM fwiw
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How bullish?
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Ok let me rephrase....I'd be mildy surprised with more than an inch. Shocked by more than 2. I expect up to an inch of mainly sleet.
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Upton has 1-3" in my point and click. I'd be shocked if that verified. Thursday A chance of rain, snow, and sleet before 1pm, then snow and sleet likely between 1pm and 4pm, then rain, snow, and sleet after 4pm. High near 39. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
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RGEM is ugly. Mid level torch, looks to be pretty significant icing n&W
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Yeah, but it doesn't warm as quickly either. City still subfreezing at 54.
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18z NAM is best case scenario. Colder yet, snowing heavily at 54hrs (unless theres a warm layer somewhere ,700, and surface below freezing before a torch and dryslot thereafter
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18z NAM is best case scenario. Colder yet, snowing heavily at 54(unless theres a warm layer somewhere ,700, and surface below freezing before a torch and dryslot thereafter. Edit- was for NYC thread sorry... applicable for SNE though
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Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley Second Half 2018
Ericjcrash replied to snywx's topic in New York City Metro
I'd say more than that but its brief and showery. Way too far to have a band overhead too long like the mystical land south of Buffalo and up toward Watertown. -
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
Ericjcrash replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah. I saw this last night in the NE thread. Apparently it only goes out to 90 hours? -
Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley Second Half 2018
Ericjcrash replied to snywx's topic in New York City Metro
They can make it to the city. HV frequently. -
If the low was way closer to the BM lol.
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Yeah. Need to cash in on WAA before dry slot. I'm intrigued.
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Yeah, colder initially then torch. But this is improvement I'll take down here.... Clown map between 18 an 00z fwiw