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Ericjcrash

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Everything posted by Ericjcrash

  1. Ericjcrash
    Light snow on 26th and 8th.
  2. Ericjcrash
    It was up to an inch, ya know just like Upton had this morning. Still probably the same with room for more .
  3. Ericjcrash
    Nor do they sniff out mid level warmth well either. I'm hoping to get crushed as well. I'm just skeptical.
  4. Ericjcrash
    And if you're going to troll at least use the proper context. It was describing a model run that was an absolute torch
  5. Ericjcrash
    Yep. Can't see more than getting more than an inch or two in NYC.
  6. Ericjcrash
    That's the old "oh s**t" low confidence range.
  7. Ericjcrash
    Trollolol. HRRRRRRRRRRR is getting a little ridiculous.
  8. Ericjcrash
    It'll be earlier IMO. Probably 2-3
  9. Ericjcrash
    Dont be so sure. Its surely possible. HRRR has burned us all many times. Depth change maps of HRRR do show 2-3" though but thats overdone IMO depicts quite a bit of sleet.
  10. Ericjcrash
  11. Ericjcrash
    Smart move.
  12. Ericjcrash
  13. Ericjcrash
    Emphasis on weenie. Gfs all out rainstorm. They will toss it now but in 3 weeks when it shows a crazy solution at 180 hours it will be paraded around like a triple crown winner.
  14. Ericjcrash
    RGEM is really close to two hours of really heavy snow. Smidge warm. Tease.
  15. Ericjcrash
    So true but can be misleading in big events when things go wrong and there are dozens of weenie suicide posts.
  16. Ericjcrash
    And it's way too far north.
  17. Ericjcrash
    It's a robust ULL for sure, but its moving quickly and BL is warm by then. But there should be some nice convective stuff in there.
  18. Ericjcrash
    0z is definitely better than 18z 3k.
  19. Ericjcrash
    Sleet and freezing rain NW is probable but won't help snow accumulation. And good luck with that wraparound snow. Someone in jersey probably gets an inch on the back end but nothing to write home about. Often overstated and it scoots NE rapidly. Take what you can get given the date but the wish casting is already out of hand, I want it to snow just as much as the next guy.
  20. Ericjcrash
    12k snow depth map seems reasonable. Probably overdone for NYC and a little underdone in CT and NW jersey but generally solid.
  21. Ericjcrash
    0z NAM ends any pipe dreams in NYC even the fugazi maps now cut by more than half.
  22. Ericjcrash
    Way off topic but both of my car's thermo sseem to run 1-2° high.
  23. Ericjcrash
    March is an issue of you dont have great rates (early last March) and even then it snowed pretty hard all day and nada.
  24. Ericjcrash
    As the month goes on, sure. Obviously less of an issue than March.
  25. Ericjcrash
    ? Now through late January sun angle has the least influence.
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