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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. Close misses to south is just fine! That’s quite a look. Thanks for posting sir.
  2. That made me sad. But no way ...not this year. No partly sunny high 56 winds west 5mph Xmas.
  3. I think the clouds are keeping it from hitting 80. It’s ok. Normally I’d be upset but I can wait for what comes next.
  4. We were waiting for you out of respect. It’s more believable when you say it. I’m enthused.
  5. Looking at the 850/2m temp anomaly at 384 on 18z GEFS looks like we need more help. It’s still mostly above normal just not way above normal. Just looking at it for trends there is hardly any really cold air in Canada to deliver even with a better h5 look. Maybe it will evolve over time.
  6. It seems that should be the holy grail of epic patterns. Screensaver pattern.
  7. I like LWX choice of words in the AFD...wintry precip chances non-zero...so you are saying there’s a chance
  8. maybe first flakes? that would be a huge win for my crap location. RA/SN mix even
  9. I wish I was smart enough to understand what that video HM posted is really showing. Evolving NA block?
  10. The Vienna sausages in BBQ sauce are really next level good. Add a little spray cheese if you need to class it up a bit.
  11. yes quite odd to see 522dm to the SW of our region and 552dm in upstate NY. I suppose blocks can do crazy things...so can op runs post 200hr
  12. if I am not hallucinating h5 looks quite nice up in the important regions this go around at least on the op in the post 200hr range
  13. I'm with you. Flurries, RN/SN mix, IP all at 3am... sign me up.
  14. h5 looks decent on the GEFS. But 850/2m temps are solidly average. Its a start at least.
  15. That may be the only kind of pattern where the closed low really generates its own cold air. It’s the baked Alaska pattern. We are the ice cream.
  16. Good point. I’m not sure how the op GFS or any model does with closed lows. Both the GFS and Euro had a closed low for the longest time for T-day in many locations in the east...until it didn’t just about 4 days ago. At least we are tracking something.
  17. There are others we haven’t heard from in a while too. mitchnick comes to mind. He was a solid poster. Leesburg04 always made me laugh with his humor. Maybe some are waiting for a bonafide threat.
  18. Option 2. Christmas snow is the holy grail.
  19. 18z says it’s a cold front passage on T-day. I’ll take the clouds. Keep the house cool since there won’t be snow on the roof.
  20. Looks like it. Closed low albeit weak. LWX mentions rain and 50s..who knows
  21. Justin weather has me just in inside the 24-36” line...ok why not. I’d take half that.
  22. Of course you are just speculating. You like the rest of us have no idea what will happen. The next run could be completely different. Your post is basically saying winter is over week before Thanksgiving. Not buying that logic. You are counting your money while sitting at the table.
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