BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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Save yourself the heartache and mentally write off 10-17 Jan. Hope for MLK miracle changes. That ridge is taking an extended vacation. It will leave at some point.
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I assume he means January.
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No I proposed that. I would have cheated like Constanza did in Seinfeld. I have no will power. I’m a weenie.
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Maybe it will help draw it north. Big game hunting but only seeing squirrels.
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That being a smoothed average of all the members it could be quite a bit warmer in reality. I am guessing anyway.
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So it’s .5C warmer aprox. than 0z?
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I don’t think I could unless it was a challenge that everyone did it. We need some extreme measures in an extreme pattern.
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let’s just all log off the site for 5 straight days and make a binding pact not to look at anything weather. Every thread no members browsing. Then all log back in Saturday and see where we are at. Who’s with me?
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That closed upper low is a possible way to get some sneaky snow showers..it’s still there hour 126. Sneaky snow is fun
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Is that potential for pattern change to "colder and snowier in late Jan/Feb if things work out" because it can't get much worse than it is right now or something you are seeing that leads you to think that? I mean we could trade one bad pattern for another giving us a different way to the same result. There was a lot of speculation in early Dec that things would turn around in late Dec/early Jan and well we know that is not happening. Thanks in advance. very much enjoy reading your posts.
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now we are looking for any signs of life in the hinter lands of the ensembles. But at least we are nearly at the top of the despair index so can only improve from here.
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I noticed that but didn't want to mention. h5 didn't look as impressive as I thought it would but at first glance it looked like a closed upper low.
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well if it's stable and that time stamp is 14 Jan...that's half the month. still the optimistic side of me thinks it will turn around or we will see a totally different look come next week. hope is not a plan but despair is not either.
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Lets hope that trough in the west rolls east after that and we can reshuffle the deck. you never know.
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I think that might even be AN for Atlanta.
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Maybe it will set up gradient pattern. SE ridge is money IF you are on the right side. I assume this one is dog turds if Bob mentioned it.
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Many thank you's for taking the time to post that. At least we know what we are likely up against based on those analogs so I have a totally different mindset now about the winter and know what to look for. its tough pill to swallow for sure.
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I remember 2002 quite well as my son was born Jan 18th. It snowed that day and I thought is was divine intervention...it NEVER snowed again that winter that I recall (I was sleep deprived most of the time) outside of some flurries.
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Roger. And who knows what happens day 15 anyway. We can roll with this for now.
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Well that’s good news. See it’s gonna be fine. Until about 230 am when the EPS says pump your breaks there fellas
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Well maybe day 15 is just a flawed output. Let’s hope.
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yes that is chuckle worthy for sure. its nearly impossible to even get fantasy blue precip over the region. but not a bad look overall...for an op run of course. there is cold sloshing around up top so there is something
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combo of a 956 50/50 and what looks like a solid 1040 high in the PAC just squeezes opens the ice flow...fun to look at
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interesting look on GFS 234hr...kissing 1045 and 1050 highs in W. Conus and W. Canada sliding SE...been a wide selection of op run fantasy looks...add this to the pile I suppose.
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And despite its ridiculous look it still manages to miss us denying even a weenie dream.
