Interesting. It looked like some semblance of a back door front on the GFS for the 25th so was wondering about the Euro temps. Many thanks! Still can have a fire pit.
It’s not great but compared to 12z it’s a couple hundred miles north. Looks similar to the CMC without the snow for DC south. Keeping the door cracked.
I would take it considering the date and maybe it will have some clouds with it. less days with above normal temps are checks in the win column. I mean the CMC is real chilly Xmas Eve. 10 days, lots can happen.
I am seeing what looks like some semblance of Xmas CAD/backdoor cold front action on the 25th timeframe. More evident on the CMC. somewhat on the 6z GFS. we mentioned this yesterday so funny its showing up. Nothing more than muting positive temp anomalies I suppose.
Yeah but so wildly different than just hours ago in the last run. something to keep an eye on I suppose. still far enough out that changes could be interesting.
My wife works for PWCS administration. It’s part the increased premiums for general liability for the school system and part fear of the people running the show to make the wrong decision. They budgeted 13 days this year to the mandated 180. They are use or lose. Now using them this early in the season is folly but whatever.
I remember couple of marginal events where 850s held on longer and it snowed more than expected. I don’t really consider ZR for my yard at least. Not in this setup.
How do you think we’ll do? I’m gonna say non-sticking snow starting at 0400 for us that changes briefly to sleet and then plain rain with temps that never go below freezing.