stormy

Lift from the advancing front produces sprinkles to our west. Saturday rainfall footprint along the East Coast is a preview to DJF 26/27 El Nino pattern....................... Probably......................

The rainfall footprint for the weekend along the east coast can mimic December 2026. Hopefully, a little more north, but long-term with a negative PDO ????

West to East as the LP moves from Parkersburg to Pittsburgh.

The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative. The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.

A wedge of dry air from high pressure east of Maine, discouraged convective activity. I consider myself lucky with .35".

18.3 at Churchville, 5 miles west of Staunton.

21.6 at 6:30 on my Davis WS.

28 degrees and calm at 7 am.

22.8 at 7 am.................. Up to 27.2 at 8am. Probably more than 80% of the fruit is frozen.

sprinkles began 8:15. It has sprinkled its way to .01" at 9:15.

After the fruit sets, it hardier. Bloom stage is fragile.

More freezes next week for my blooming fruit trees

You know the Cansips is always right

The NAM 3k sees the current rain........................ The NAM 12 K is blind to the rain.

RIP Roger. I will miss your occasional realism.