stormy

We don't get big ass HP off the coast. We get hp ridges along the coast that pump in dry air and suppress convection. I don't see relief until Fall.

30.3 with FROST at 6:15.

Yes, it is now EXTREME DROUGHT For Waynesboro.

Make that EXTREME DROUGHT

If so, they broke the rule this week............ 100% and 90% for 36 hours resulted in .01"

Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped. El Nino suggests a possible reversal this year. I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.

You are exactly right.................... My 1300 ft elevation makes a differennce, but very close 3,000nelevation makes a real difference. I will take a +2500 Nino over a minus -.75 Nina any day of the week...............................

The 18z NAM 12 says the zonal flow cuts off moisture from the south.

I beat Ya for April at 1.68" Today was a measly .01"................... Strong zonal flow is funneling moisture across N.C. and OTS.

Totally different winter patterns. My average is 24" snowfall. In 1998, I received 33 inches. In 22-23, I received 1.50". There is more to a winter than the ENSO pattern and west or east based and strength.

We may have a Nino failure if the PDO stays negative................................

Lift from the advancing front produces sprinkles to our west. Saturday rainfall footprint along the East Coast is a preview to DJF 26/27 El Nino pattern....................... Probably......................

The rainfall footprint for the weekend along the east coast can mimic December 2026. Hopefully, a little more north, but long-term with a negative PDO ????

West to East as the LP moves from Parkersburg to Pittsburgh.

The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative. The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.