stormy

Historically, there are wet Nino summers and historically there are dry Nino summers. Strong Nino's (greater than =1.0) almost always create a cold season robust subtropical jet which usually favors a wet cold season (mid October through February.) Richmond has a higher probability of a wet winter than Staunton or Winchester, 80/60. D.C. comes in at about 70%.

I wish today's weather could linger into September before beginning to cool down a little. Cloudy and 72 with a southerly breeze at 4.

57 and cloudy this morning. No radiational cooling.

65 with a northeast breeze 5 - 15. Feels like fall! Spruce Knob, 46.

I feel your pain.

.70" at my place. Weyers Cave 1.03"

Human forecasters act as the ultimate decision-makers in formulating a forecast. AI and advanced computer modeling are certainly incorporated into the process but humans provide oversight to any and all forecasts.

The luck of the draw also dealt me a losing hand yesterday but this was a model loser since Thursday, therefore, I was not surprised. NWS high probs. really don't count anymore. Monterey received .92" and Marlinton W.Va. got 1.59".

Hello again! Nice to hear from you!! I'm happy to give your comment the respect that it deserves. I'm not joking. First two sentences: I'm not concerned about events. Their not supremely important. I'm talking about the millions who work and or play outside. Back in the seventies, the best way to be fired from your job was to call your supervisor and say, I'm not going to work today or the rest of the week because the air is too dirty. Those who had been trapped in an office all day looked forward to being outside in the fresh air for an evening softball game. Some of those who worked and played in all that dirty air have lived to be over 100 years old. Last sentence: Now we know better. Do we really? I'm good friends with a person who will receive major surgery next week. Visiting and receiving phone pre-surgery guidance from about 6 people from the hospital during the past week was a roller coaster of contradictory advice. About 4 people directly gave about 25 do's and dont's. The other 2 directly contradicted some of the guidance from the first 4. Who was correct??? Watch out for those high winds later today. The SPC really enhances the threat around D.C. compared to Augusta County. Otherwise, enjoy your day.

Wisdom often comes with age compared to simpletons still wet behind the ears. Be patient, you will arrive at the wisdom stage much sooner than you think.

91 at 4:30 is no big deal. AQI compared to 50 years ago averages in July is also no big deal.

66.2 is the warmest morning of the week.

I recorded a refreshing 62 at 6:45.

90/62 here in Augusta.

Wind-shear and African Dust have killed the Atlantic Tropical season.