stormy

28.2 at 7 am.

NAO of -2.0

Make that an NAO of 2.0.

The desired pattern occured in 2009 - 2010 when we had an AO at -2.0 and a - AO of 3.50. Will this ever happen again with an El Nino of +1.5???

I agree 100%!! IMO, the AO is more important than the NAO. I have identified 9 analog winters since 1950 to 26/27. For Augusta, 78% of strong El Nino winters have above average snowfall. The below average snowfall similar Enso winters were #1 - 72/73 at +2.0 C. with an average +1.2 AO and -.50 NAO and 91/92 at +2.3 with an average +1.10 AO and -.50 NAO. Slightly negative NAO and moderately positive AO is bad news for snow.

30.0 at 7. The first low above the 20's since a week ago today. Back down in the 20's tonight.

28.8 at 7. That's 5 consecutive freezes.

The 1960'S was a "wild and woolly" decade !!! 3 Christmas Day snowstorms. 1962 6 inches, 1966 6", 1969 12" It hasn't happened since.

You never know about the holidays! 60 years ago in 1966, Augusta had a high of 31 and low of 18 with 6 inches of snow. 61 years ago in 1965, we had a high of 62 and low of 46.

I am slightly warming from previous mornings. 29.9 at 7 am. 4 consecutive freezes.

27.2 at 7 . the coup de grace to all frost sensitive plant life.

Frost and 29.0 at 7:30

Latest guidance keeps us very dry thru the remainder of October. Freeze tonight for many western locations !!!

2.55". The best rain in a long long time. From mid-day Friday, the physics GFS was the most accurate at 2.46". The ECMWF physics was way low at 1.35". The GEM physics predicted 1.50" at mid day Friday.

The satellite imagery in motion sends a message. Isaias is coming our way. Many details remain but the general movement looks good.