stormy

Thanks! I have fished off of this pier many times.

H5 is not far away from the EPS.

I'll take 3" from the ICON and be happy.

Icon is out on a limb compared to others at 00 and 06 with that H5 look. 12z will be very interesting to see if it persists with the 180.

The drought returns for the next 15 days according to the latest GFS.

I pray that this EPS verifies. Just what the doctor orders for our drought.

Does that diatribe help you to feel better? You need something. Probably a study in creative imagination would soothe your senses. Have a good day my friend. We will chat again under better circumstances. 7 degrees and cloudy at 5:30

You are entitled to Your Opinion and I am entitled to mine. My opinion is only about the truth. Since it's "consistently the best model" in your opinion, I'm very happy that it's finally catching on about 6 hrs. late to a threat on Wednesday/Thursday. Small, but it's there. It might die and it might live but thankfully, spring is on the way.

Thanks, I prefer to get along with everyone, but I don't buy into a belief because of popular frenetic clamor as we often witness. The Euro is without doubt the most reliable model, but, it is far from perfect. A highly intelligent person would say, Euro is number 1 but the GFS is a close number 2. AI gives a 60 - 70% verification for both. I constantly read on this site that the GFS should be retired, banned or otherwise thrown in the trash because of how inferior it is. That is simply not true by intelligent persons. As Jerry Lund used to say, the lunatic fringe is out of control.

My Goodness!!!!!! It looks like the GFS deterministic, GEFS and the EURO AI agree with next Wednesday and Thursday................... How can that possibly be???

Chill out before You have a stroke, we're just having a friendly Thursday afternoon chat.

I certainly don't have a "hate boner" I certainly don't have a "hate boner" for the EURO, but I am realistic and I always tell the truth. I remember Monday morning because as soon as I looked at the Euro map that slp was a big red flag waving.

Thank you Steve! I well remember Monday morning at 7 am when the Euro buried me with 18 inches of snow!!!!! I said, no way, it shows the slp too far off-shore. 6 hrs. later the EURO woke up..............

Icon bumped north from Roanoke to Lexington

Good Morning. I just wish to start the day by clearing up some misunderstandings. The first sentence alleges that I "have a weird fixation with the Euro not being good" Nothing could be farther from the truth. I believe that the Euro is an important contributor, but not a king. If a person believes that a model is king, they may be too quick to discount another, especially if it disappoints. Verification scores place the Euro slightly ahead of the GFS. As I said last night, often, a forecast formulation for success would be something close to 60% Euro and 40% GFS. I read the AFD's from Sterling and Blacksburg almost daily and have been for years. The NWS forecasters often refer to both GFS and ECMWF. They sometimes lean toward one and sometimes the other. Back to the here and now, my significant accumulation forecast has evaporated. The only sources still more than an inch are the EPS at 1.4" and the GEFS at 1.9"................. That would be a nice dust up to this iceberg that I am locked into.