stormy

Snow has started at my place in Augusta. 14 degrees.

The EURO continues to harp heavy ZR amounts. For Augusta .86". This is not going to happen. IMO, the 925 temp profiles are too cold. Most of that Euro predicted zr will be sleet.

My 8 model blend has dropped from 9.0" to 7.2" since 7 am.

That is certainly possible but it lost .40" qp over Augusta which is just more of a trend and probably not related to any banding.

I lost 1.8" on the EURO from 06 - 12z

We will probably have virga for a few hrs before we see it. Snowshoe will be different.

Thanks! I appreciate the 11:39 correction. My bad!!! I hope this is right but it disagrees with half of the models. Especially the vaunted Euro.

You're right on man!!

This is outdated by at least 8 hours.

I agree with you 100%. My reasoning is that 925 thermals are too cold until most precip. exits.

A clean Kuchera will not apply. Too much warming aloft.

spray the intake chut inside and augers good with silicone, helps.

I agree about freezing rain. The EURO seems to have a problem with depicting sleet. The latest indicates .75 freezing rain for me and only .2" of sleet when the 925 thermals should produce sleet. The others are minimal with freezing rain but the EURO is bonkers. Any thoughts?

18z GFS is colder. Less sleet. Higher Kuchera.

Most people can't handle too much information too fast. We suffer from too much too fast and we scream when we're disappointed. I remember a time very well when the internet did not exist. Most folks were happier back in those days.