stormy

The Drought Continues unabated......................................... 14 sprinkles overnight.

Congratulations Winchester!!!!!! I'm still DRY.

My Augusta 5 model blend for today thru Thursday has increased from 1.49 yesterday to 1.81" this morning. The latest GFS at only 1.00" believes development is too far off shore. Subsidence may be a stretch but it amounts to the same thing.

The 5 model blend for Augusta County has increased from 1.65" yesterday to 1.72" this morning.

The 5 model blend for Augusta from Monday - Wednesday has dropped from 2.11" to 1.65" since yesterday.

A 5 model blend now puts my rainfall at 2.11" for Monday - Wednesday. Just what the doctor orders. Hopefully, this will be the beginning of 6 months worth of moderate to heavy rainfall. Augusta has a 10 - 12" deficit to recover since August 2025.

.70" 2 - 4............. I am starting to believe that the strong El Nino is beginning to affect atmospherics.

This looks nice:

Many normal live streams in the Valley are dry.

Exactly, that's why I was enthusiastic late Saturday afternoon.

I would have felt like a visitation from heaven had occurred if that much had accumulated in my gauge!

For many portions of Virginia, the drought insists on persisting. Augusta County was dry slotted again, giving me .08". Sutton W.Va. was radar indicated to receive 5.41". Clifton Forge 2.13", Gordonsville 2.01", Lake Monticello 1.06", Scottsville .81". This looks real good!!!!

I like that south to north trajectory that has set up this afternoon in advance of the trough. For my Valley area, this is more conducive to significant rain.

Many possibilities during the last half of September. Will the Atlantic Tropics finally become involved??

CPC still says wet 6-10 day and 3-4 week, 8-14 day...... Let me think for a while.