stormy

A 5 model blend now puts my rainfall at 2.11" for Monday - Wednesday. Just what the doctor orders. Hopefully, this will be the beginning of 6 months worth of moderate to heavy rainfall. Augusta has a 10 - 12" deficit to recover since August 2025.

.70" 2 - 4............. I am starting to believe that the strong El Nino is beginning to affect atmospherics.

This looks nice:

Many normal live streams in the Valley are dry.

Exactly, that's why I was enthusiastic late Saturday afternoon.

I would have felt like a visitation from heaven had occurred if that much had accumulated in my gauge!

For many portions of Virginia, the drought insists on persisting. Augusta County was dry slotted again, giving me .08". Sutton W.Va. was radar indicated to receive 5.41". Clifton Forge 2.13", Gordonsville 2.01", Lake Monticello 1.06", Scottsville .81". This looks real good!!!!

I like that south to north trajectory that has set up this afternoon in advance of the trough. For my Valley area, this is more conducive to significant rain.

Many possibilities during the last half of September. Will the Atlantic Tropics finally become involved??

CPC still says wet 6-10 day and 3-4 week, 8-14 day...... Let me think for a while.

Historically, strong El Nino's are inclined to turn wet during the fall and they don't always telegraph the turn. If this fall indeed turns wet, late September can certainly be a turning point. NOAA may or may not signal that turn. If CPC predictions had been correct for the past 6 months, my soil would not be parched now.

4 inches of rain by Sept. 26 looks wonderful!!

I was biased by JB and his "El Nino Madness". He makes some very good points with his language and illustrations. Your westerly wind burst may be interesting. Thanks

Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely

The Weather Underground and TWC can't agree on the position of the front. Is it over Erie or Morgantown??? This is important for the next 48 hrs. Absolutely amazing for what is supposed to be high tech in September of 2026.