stormy

.87" total rain yesterday. Wonderful!! Low of 34.9 with clouds and fog.

An over-performer at last!!! Have received .60" since 6 am!! Temp. has dropped from 55 at 5 am to 43 at 9:55 am.

We don't get big ass HP off the coast. We get hp ridges along the coast that pump in dry air and suppress convection. I don't see relief until Fall.

30.3 with FROST at 6:15.

Yes, it is now EXTREME DROUGHT For Waynesboro.

Make that EXTREME DROUGHT

If so, they broke the rule this week............ 100% and 90% for 36 hours resulted in .01"

Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped. El Nino suggests a possible reversal this year. I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.

You are exactly right.................... My 1300 ft elevation makes a differennce, but very close 3,000nelevation makes a real difference. I will take a +2500 Nino over a minus -.75 Nina any day of the week...............................

The 18z NAM 12 says the zonal flow cuts off moisture from the south.

I beat Ya for April at 1.68" Today was a measly .01"................... Strong zonal flow is funneling moisture across N.C. and OTS.

Totally different winter patterns. My average is 24" snowfall. In 1998, I received 33 inches. In 22-23, I received 1.50". There is more to a winter than the ENSO pattern and west or east based and strength.

We may have a Nino failure if the PDO stays negative................................

Lift from the advancing front produces sprinkles to our west. Saturday rainfall footprint along the East Coast is a preview to DJF 26/27 El Nino pattern....................... Probably......................

The rainfall footprint for the weekend along the east coast can mimic December 2026. Hopefully, a little more north, but long-term with a negative PDO ????