Looked like it would be late day rain....this fall go with the wettest and earlier model-we had showers here starting at 6:30am well ahead of most models
I think some of the really crappy winters scare people for example 01-02 I remember still having roses blooming in early Dec-that was definitely an indicator of what was to come....
Warmth tends to overperform these days...granted the ground is saturated so that might dent it a bit...but how many times have we seen posts here "surprised" we outdid guidance by 3-5 degress?