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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    High wind watches too for SNJ and DE
  2. Brian5671
    12Z NAM-still raining over most of the area at the end of the run -
  3. Brian5671
    doesn't the NAM often overdo tropical systems?
  4. Brian5671
    it's where the people live....
  5. Brian5671
    Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic. 1. Off the Southeastern United States Coast (AL99): Updated...A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Florida peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form within this area by early Friday, and there are increasing chances that this system could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics on Friday or early Saturday while it moves generally northward toward the coast of North Carolina. Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, this low is likely to bring tropical storm force winds, heavy rain, coastal flooding, and high surf to portions of the southeast and mid-Atlantic United States coastline on Friday and into the weekend. Tropical Storm watches or warnings could be required for this system as soon as later this morning. Additional information on this system, including storm and gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts and products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
  6. Brian5671
    yep looks like crap both days especially CT/RI/SE MA
  7. Brian5671
    Models have sped up the timing and as stated above, there's a 2nd piece now for Sunday showing up.
  8. Brian5671
    CMC took a jump east from its earlier runs and is likely correcting to the other guidance. NAM is out of range at this juncture....
  9. Brian5671
    let's get it to really miss now and get a dry weekend....
  10. Brian5671
  11. Brian5671
    Maybe. It's a semi tropical system that has yet to really form so maybe models struggling given that?
  12. Brian5671
    verbatim it does...but compare it to last night's 0z run...way east...
  13. Brian5671
    NAM is still out of range this far out as well....best when we're within 36 hrs or so....
  14. Brian5671
    CMC jumped east though-had big rains to Pittsburgh now it's just west of philly-may be correcting towards the OTS guidance.
  15. Brian5671
    that would suck-a half inch of rain on Saturday-run of the mill...if we're going to ruin a weekend lets make it memorable
  16. Brian5671
    could be windshield wiper time--who knows...
  17. Brian5671
    mostly OTS. Icon also east, CMC also took a jump east. May end up being a whole lot of nothing if the system heads NE too far out to sea -
  18. Brian5671
    Sure speeds it up-mostly done by 8pm Sat
  19. Brian5671
    Might be starting to see a consensus towards east/weaker...GFS is going that way too. CMC steadfast with a move NNW into upstate NY
  20. Brian5671
    yeah, think the 12z was a blip run....
  21. Brian5671
    There would be weenies lining up on the GW to jump if this were winter....
  22. Brian5671
    Model mayhem time
  23. Brian5671
    you can see that on the Ukie and even the Euro, it only gets so far north before being shunted east. The CMC seems to be a western outlier at this point....
  24. Brian5671
    If so, it's really slow-other models have the low well north or east by Monday AM
  25. Brian5671
    UKMET is more of a scraper...
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