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Everything posted by Brian5671
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More of a consensus now. Big rains west of the track once it get into the northeast US
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Doesnt really get far enough out over the water to re-strengthen....
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Flood watch extended north into all of Upton's forecast area
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Hoody weather on Wed (Temps actually fall during the day)
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Vermont is waterlogged already-Lee was a disaster up there-this would be as bad if not worse
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Not quite but if this tracks up through PA the PRE event would likely be the bigger of the 2 events for those east of the track
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and many do not carry flood insurance so a crazy event of 10 inches would cause alot of hardship.
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For a tropical system? Not really a big deal over several days other than some urban or small stream issues.... 7 or 10 inches like earlier runs yes. Need to watch for trends but today has shown a west and quicker trend....notice the 20 inch totals in GA/SC have reduced now that the storm will move out of there quicker.
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GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet
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CMC moving west last 3 runs with the highest rain totals-maybe seeing a further west track of the low (best rains usually west of track)
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I doubt it rains for 5 straight days...
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definitely a west trend once 2nd LF takes place. Not much time over water to re-strengthen verbatim
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Very rare to see a map like that. If that comes close to verifying there's going to be billions in losses from flooding.
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Not on the Euro. and the other models give us a good PRE
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Looks like just about everyone gets the goods today
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Wild storm here-some tree damage. Looks like some sort of boundary as storms are training along it with nothing to the south of here
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crazy for an ensemble smoothed mean
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Very rare to get an all day washout this time of year. Spoke to 2 people at work yesterday who said "it's supposed to rain all weekend" Ummm no. 90% of the time is rain free.
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That seems to be the main threat with this (hvy rains)-with so much time over land masses hard to see how it becomes a strong/windy storm.
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The PRE might be the biggest effect on us-the actual storm appears to recurve OTS
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yeah but it's the ICON
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89 here
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Gets old. Hate to wish away summer but I'm looking forward to some cooler weather come September
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