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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Been raining here since noon
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have to head north of NYC for anything appreciable today-tonight -
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Hyperactive to hyperdead
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Objects in motion tend to stay in motion....
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Will quickly erase the negative departures of the 1st ten days
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
same ol trolling routine every year -
No model has anything close to a decent soaking from this cold frontal passage....quick hit of rain at best to settle the dust
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Certainly possible but we are not getting 30 storms and the hyperactive season many forecasted. That said an Andrew type storm makes it a "Bad season"
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Yeah we'll be lucky to get .25 and even that might be a stretch. Hurricane season is a bust, I think that's obvious at this point.
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it will depend on that feature out in the Atlantic-sometimes that produces a screw zone of little precip b/w the front and the storm
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If that. Moisture starved front....
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September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
September is often one of the better weather months around here-still warm despite the earlier sunsets -
September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
If there's limited tropical activity we could see alot of dry clear days -
September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
48 on my Davis -
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Brian5671 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
it would seem that the disturbances are too far north-once they come off the African coast, it's over cooler waters. Also, the Nina is much weaker that forecast... -
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Brian5671 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Were there any forecasts for a quiet year? I saw at least half a dozen that called for an epic year -
September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
What a difference from this time last year. Great sleeping weather. -
September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
Remember all the forecasts for 30 storms this hurricane season? -
Dewpoint of 49 here really drying out now.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
People have thin skins. As long as no rules are being broken the poster should have full posting capabilities....just b/c people don't like warm/snowless calls isnt a reason for 5 PPD. Granted it is in the style of how you post but that goes back to my original point here.... -
way too far out to nail anything down
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Bust on the rain. Barely anything the last 2 weeks now. Great for the flood areas cleanup though.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I'd agree...and JB seems to see it too-until the PAC changes it's alot of MJO 4-5-6 which is mild and wet for us. On the flip side the Nina is weaker so that could work in our favor a bit. -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
He's probably not even warm enough-we've been averaging +2 to +2.5 in most of the winter months going back to 2015-16. His mistake last year was not jumping ship once the January cold fizzled rather quickly. At that point it was obvious to most we were cooked. Instead he doubled down and called for big cold/snows which was ridiculous in the end. -
remember the forecasts for 25-30 storms and "hurricane season from hell" We are at 4 storms going into Sept lol