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Everything posted by Brian5671
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the warm seasonal forecasts look to bust hard unless there's a mega torch in Feb or something and that appears unlikely
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We lucked out though, it was fairly dry so the melt of the 50-60 inch snowpack was gradual...a few cutters would have been disastrous...
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41 here with a few peeks of sun. Patchy snowcover in north facing areas but yesterday and today most of it melted
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If the dryness continues I'd agree. Knowing our luck it will rain. LOL
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Gradient patterns favor Central NE north anyway. Would not be surprised to see the drought continue however-other than about 6 weeks from mid Nov-Jan 1st it's been bone dry here.
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Bottom line is you just need it cold enough like it is now. -10/-20 departures in January are almost always dry. The bad luck this year is a continuation of the drought that has plagued us since August.
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1.5 inches here...overperformer
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I'd go moderate -AO and -NAO with some semblance of a SE Ridge to keep the baroclinic zone further north.
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All we got right now is the long range. Hopefully we cash in, but maybe time to take a break this weekend from tracking and do something else...
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melted what little snow we had left here