Brian5671
-
Posts
41,530 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Brian5671
-
Ha of course-you're down to 6 weeks or so at that point....
-
This. We started Dec 5-7 now we are pushing Xmas with anything decent.
-
Sure was. Heavy wet snow 4x in March....was memorable.
-
Road trip to the Rockies-ridiculous early season snows out there-Breckenridge with 7-8 feet for the season so far.
-
None of it has verified. As Bluewave notes it looks great then as we get into the middle range, it's back to cutter city and the cold dumping out west. Same ol same ol. The blocking hasn't really helped us and doesn't look great for the next week for snow chances unless you're well N and W.
-
Couple differences though-the cold in Dec 2010 was central/east-now it's central/west with a persistent -PNA. SST's are very warm off the east coast-hard to get hit and hold cold with that early in the season. Lastly, the models have continually delayed the goods...never a good sign. This looks more like Dec '96 than Dec '10
-
15 days out-we are always 10-15 days out with the "great look"
-
If it's cutter after cutter not sure it's a "great pattern" Just seems like the old rules don't apply anymore....
-
89 was such a crazy block-I lived in Philly at the time we got about 10 inches on the month but even there we were on the northern fringe of the storms-incredibly suppressed and bitter cold pattern. Jacksonville FL to Charleston SC had a white xmas from a storm around 12/22 that year
-
Given some of the early talk, there was a chance of several threats back to back etc. That doesn't seem to be on the table anymore at least through the next 7 days or so....Pattern looks good day 8-10 but you know how that goes.
-
True. Although 2010 finished close to -5 temp wise. One of the coldest Decembers outside of 1995/2000 I think we're +2 right now? Dec 2010 was frustrating till the big one. (although inland folks were frustrated the whole month as it missed east.) At least we have a shot. Last December was terrible coast to coast.
-
We had a coating on the grass. Gone now. Let's hope we get something. Friday looks like all rain so we are kicking the can forward....
-
hopefully it will, but early on it looked like something that could give us a few threats-seems to have slowly disappeared with each passing day. Need some cold air to show up too...
-
The cold air has yet to show as well. Dec 96 was warm with blocking this seems to be going the same way....
-
most analogs are from colder times...can't really use much before the year 2000
-
It's getting late early. If the 16-17 storm is mostly rain (except far N and W) that take us out another 5 days for anything meaningful....
-
Might be December 2020 storm?
-
Agree-sometimes the goods come right as the pattern is breaking down....
-
2009-10 likely had that
-
If Friday is a rainstorm it will be a disappointment so far. Early model runs were good cold/some frozen events mid month on.....Northern areas did do ok last night but the souther half of the forum was mainly rain/white rain.
-
HRRR regenerates some precip as we go through the eve.... -
coating on colder surfaces here
-
always 10 days....
-
13/14 too...although March was bone dry which stunk.
-
overnight too which helps
