BuffaloWeather

Whatever it shows move it NW 100-150 miles.

Well aligned flow, -15 to -17 850s. Moisture is only thing I'm worried about. It looks decent though.

@wolfie09 Euro looking good!

Allentown to Catskills looks to be jackpot zone.

NYC is already at monster amounts. Look at those cars.

Watch that megaband come through! Has to be well over a foot here right now.

Yeah. It's the best setup of the year if it wasn't for a lake in the process of freezing. I still think 2-4' totals in the next 2 weeks off both lakes.

NYC about to get into some very heavy snow

Yeah some sleet mixing in but north of that is all snow

That philly band is 4-5" per hour+

Yep. Going to be quite a few 30" totals near NYC.

Nice live feed

NYC getting smoked

Canadian is identical to GFS. 2 lake effect snow events in the next 10 days. Icon is nearly the same too.

This one looks to start with a pretty large LES in February, pretty rare for WNY as the lake is usually frozen. That month was primarily synoptic.

It's February 1st and looks like a really fun active month. New thread time for general discussion!

Well this is a change. CPC actually has colder then normal temps for all of February! Feels like forever since I made a thread with below normal forecasted temps. Looks like after this snowstorm we get a little cutter and some cold arctic air behind it which should set the stage for a long duration LES event. A nice -EPO setting up allows some really cold air to make it into our area. Thursday night into Friday, an area of low pressure will track northeast across the Central Great Lakes, occluding in the process. Precipitation will overspread the region as the area of low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes. First the warm front associated with the system will track northeast across the area through Friday morning, followed by the cold front for the late morning into the afternoon. Temperatures on Friday will be a bit warmer in the lower elevations, resulting in rain or a mix of rain and snow. The higher elevations should stay mostly snow for the day on Friday. As the cold front passing over the area, and cold air advection brings temps down, any remaining rain will change over to snow. Behind the passing cold front, 850H temps in the -10C to -15C range will help support the potential for a lake response off of both lakes. Potential lake enhanced and then lake effect would continue through most of Saturday. A wave of low pressure and trailing cold front will track across the area on Sunday, bringing a return to cold temperatures once again. Lake effect behind this passing system also looks possible with 850H temps dropping to -15C Sunday night, and cooling even more so from there.

Thread for snowstorm

Good luck Central/Eastern New Yorkers!

Only Rochester gets fake snow. Lake effect here is usually 1:15-1:20. You guys get the 1:30-50, we don't get that at my spot. Usually because our wind direction is W/SW and yours NW so colder temps usually with your LES.

It's not even far out anymore and has support. KBUF mentions it. It's coming. Lake has begun freezing process though. Still at 33 degrees, this is our last shot of the year.