BuffaloWeather

I think my call is going to be +1-1.5 for temps and +5-10% snowfall from average for Upstate.

There is a lot of self induced issues that medical professionals have to deal with. People choose to do drugs, alcohol, eat badly, sedimentary lifestyle, do stupid things and go to the hospital and expect to get help. I don't see this as any different and a medical professional should not treat your wife this way. Its their job to take care of you, they get good money to do so.

Siberian snow cover has very little effect IMO. Canadian snowcover has a higher correlation. The Pacific has the highest effect on the cold air around here and snowcover in Canada is directly coorelated to the Enso state. That is why Enso states have the highest correlation on winters.

Definitely some correlation between warm Octobers and cool Novembers

Pretty rare to see this on CFS

We might get a real Nina this year with a cold Nov/Dec

My friend is a nurse practitioner in buffalo and everyone of his covid patients are unvaxxed.

This right here is why everyone should get vaccinated. Who wants to go through this? This is scary stuff. Your family is in our thoughts.

Yeah quite a bit more rain than I thought. I drank too much to remember much of it. I can't hang like I used too, taking a break from it for awhile to detox lol.

Sams ACE is at 48.8. Will be in the top 10 of all time Atlantic hurricanes by tomorrow. Likely finishes in the top 5-6 all time.

My wifes dad has 10 acres out in Boston on a private lake. My retirement plan is to eventually build a house on that land.

Top of Mt. Katahdin in Maine yesterday. Looking to hike this next summer, some rough conditions on top of ADK 46s the last few days. Near hurricane force wind gusts.

Oh I definitely agree warm winters do not equal above average snow. I was just mentioning warm Octobers have a small correlation to above average snowfall years. We don't want colder than average Oct/Nov because then we usually get warmer than average Dec-Feb. Its true that colder than average winters equate to above average snowfall years. The only thing warmer waters do for us off Erie is keep the possibility of a big LES event. Once we have a frozen lake that goes away. For those off Ontario it doesn't matter.

The warm lake didn’t do much for the October storm. Heavy snow all over including beach. It does have a little affect but not too much. You want Warm lakes when the real cold hits.

We still floatin

Brutal cold in Antarctica, impressive even for the coldest place on Planet Earth. In fact, this was the most severe cold season on record for the South Pole The end of September came close to the world record for lowest temperature in October (-80°C). The all-time global cold record is −89.2 °C (−128.6°F) from Vostok Station on 21 July 1983. The Amundsen–Scott South Pole Station experienced the coldest average temperature for April to September in 2021 on record. Records date back to 1957. (Richard Cullather/British Antarctic Survey)'. This information has been fact-checked and verified.

Some record cold across South Pole

Looks like you want a warm Oct/early Nov in the Northeast to get a good winter.

Someone send a message to SYR observation to see if theres is broken. Buffalo/SYR too warm, Albany too cold. Roc seems a little too cold too.

Looks beautiful to me.

Lets hope this pattern doesn't lock in too long. This is what we've had the last 2 winters

Yeah I mean 6 billion people around the world have had the shot, if there were any bad side effects we'd know by now. Its been out for over a year now. The long haul covid is very real and not something I would ever want.

Sams ACE is up to 44.3, if it hits 51 it would put it into the top 10 all time of ACE in the Atlantic. http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic Storm Year Peak classification ACE Duration Hurricane Ivan 2004 Category 5 hurricane 70.4 23 days Hurricane Irma 2017 Category 5 hurricane 64.9 13 days Hurricane Isabel 2003 Category 5 hurricane 63.3 14 days Hurricane Donna 1960 Category 4 hurricane 57.6 16 days Hurricane Carrie 1957 Category 4 hurricane 55.8 21 days Hurricane Inez 1966 Category 4 hurricane 54.6 21 days Hurricane Luis 1995 Category 4 hurricane 53.5 16 days Hurricane Allen 1980 Category 5 hurricane 52.3 12 days Hurricane Esther 1961 Category 5 hurricane 52.2 18 days Hurricane Matthew 2016 Category 5 hurricane 50.9 12 days