BuffaloWeather

I think Oct. finishes with the highest departure of the year if the forecast is right.

Ridge looks to last the next 10 days at least

Average high low for tomorrow is, running about 15-20 above normal. High 62.7 Low: 45.8

Not bad for October Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Columbus Day Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

2011-2012 was a Nina, always a chance at a real bad winter in a Nina pattern. The Euro seasonal doesn't look good.

From Ohio. His forecast is the best on the forum IMO My thought is that there's blocking early, probably peaking in December, and then it backs off a bit through January and into February with the cold shifting northwest and more of a gradient pattern setting up as the SE ridge flexes. So I think it is cold early in the GL/OV and then is milder mid-winter. Snow may depend on where you are...up in Wisconsin it may be most active when the blocking relaxes, whereas farther south gets more of their snow when it's colder with more blocking. I think by November we'll have a decent idea on if the early blocking idea will pan out or not. There is an element of "could go either way" still this early.

OHWeather outlook is out

https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html 1-2.5" of rain across the area.

That storm made no sense it was insane

I think my call is going to be +1-1.5 for temps and +5-10% snowfall from average for Upstate.

There is a lot of self induced issues that medical professionals have to deal with. People choose to do drugs, alcohol, eat badly, sedimentary lifestyle, do stupid things and go to the hospital and expect to get help. I don't see this as any different and a medical professional should not treat your wife this way. Its their job to take care of you, they get good money to do so.

Siberian snow cover has very little effect IMO. Canadian snowcover has a higher correlation. The Pacific has the highest effect on the cold air around here and snowcover in Canada is directly coorelated to the Enso state. That is why Enso states have the highest correlation on winters.

Definitely some correlation between warm Octobers and cool Novembers

Pretty rare to see this on CFS

We might get a real Nina this year with a cold Nov/Dec

My friend is a nurse practitioner in buffalo and everyone of his covid patients are unvaxxed.

This right here is why everyone should get vaccinated. Who wants to go through this? This is scary stuff. Your family is in our thoughts.

Yeah quite a bit more rain than I thought. I drank too much to remember much of it. I can't hang like I used too, taking a break from it for awhile to detox lol.

Sams ACE is at 48.8. Will be in the top 10 of all time Atlantic hurricanes by tomorrow. Likely finishes in the top 5-6 all time.

My wifes dad has 10 acres out in Boston on a private lake. My retirement plan is to eventually build a house on that land.

Top of Mt. Katahdin in Maine yesterday. Looking to hike this next summer, some rough conditions on top of ADK 46s the last few days. Near hurricane force wind gusts.

Oh I definitely agree warm winters do not equal above average snow. I was just mentioning warm Octobers have a small correlation to above average snowfall years. We don't want colder than average Oct/Nov because then we usually get warmer than average Dec-Feb. Its true that colder than average winters equate to above average snowfall years. The only thing warmer waters do for us off Erie is keep the possibility of a big LES event. Once we have a frozen lake that goes away. For those off Ontario it doesn't matter.

The warm lake didn’t do much for the October storm. Heavy snow all over including beach. It does have a little affect but not too much. You want Warm lakes when the real cold hits.

We still floatin