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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Someone needs to 5-post the guy posting play by plays for 200 hour op runs in the long range thread.
  2. Despite the better 500 look early it appears to have trimmed back totals in the Northern area and holds steady around DC, but of course its the NAM past 48 hours.
  3. Euro “much further north with the coastal” according to tombo.
  4. The orientation of the max stripe of snowfall seems to be shifting closer to, or over our CWA on the latest models, even the euro. That’s about all you can ask for.
  5. Sure it’s possible but it doesn’t seem like the likeliest outcome since no models are showing that.
  6. Yes, temps are cold, let’s get some snow on the ground, get the pattern right, and then go hunting for some big storms. This was never looking like anything more than light/moderate.
  7. 1-3 of snow that sticks is better than our 60th rainstorm in a row...so I’m not mad at this.
  8. Not a lot of disasters in there either. 90% of those would make most of us pretty happy.
  9. If it plays out this way this is a pretty big bust for the GFS/GEFS. They were spitting out weenie runs until 6z today. I guess maybe the fact that no one is calibrating/checking data had an impact.
  10. Yeah, and if 12z today puts the nail in the coffin on a warming event I’d rather know sooner than later. Still somewhat encouraging the EPS hasn’t given up on the coastal completely yet.
  11. More strung out at hour 66, wouldn't think this will end up as good with the coastal but you never know.
  12. Seeing on phillywx the 6z Euro not as good for that area, not sure what it means for us.
  13. GFS - 6-8 EURO - 2-4 CMC - 6-8 UK - 4-6 ICON - 2-4 EPS - 2-4 GEFS - 3-6 Am I missing anything? Seems like we’re locked in for at least a light event.
  14. That’s only 12z Sunday, anything from the coastal would be after that you’d think...
  15. It looked a lot more like the good runs from yesterday early, but then struck out on the WAA snows. Still a light event from the coastal.
  16. There are at least 5 typos/grammar errors in that. I know they're working without pay over there but still...
  17. This is actually just about the perfect map IMO. No sharp cutoffs around our area.
  18. And 13/20 get us to 2+ inches in DC, so at least we're not staring at a bunch of complete misses.
  19. Tough to tell with all the shades of blue but it looks like 5-6 for DC proper and a good portion of the CWA. Like the look a lot.
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