SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Big improvement from 6z that's for sure.

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Icon block is further south so not looking at 144hrs

Might be a delayed not denied type thing, something brewing after that. 

39 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

at least there is still some indication still on 6z GFS of a snow event next week.  certainly looks cold enough.  

EPS and GEPS have more precip.  I do like how we have cold in place again.  

6 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

FYP. 

Hahaha yes would love the HECS but also would be cool with 2-5 like the gfs shows.  

Looking like solid agreement from euro, cmc, gfs for a week out.  All give dc accumulating snow.  You love to see it let’s back into another moderate event. 

12 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Ban him.

It was either an honest mistake or a masterful troll job. 

10 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Think @psuhoffman made a post earlier in the "not so fast" category on that front. We might want to be careful about rooting for a suppressed/sheared out mess solution even at this range. But then again - it could show a wrapped up/amped up storm at 0z. 

I like seeing a storm in the window.  Op evolution basically meaningless at this range.  Even the ensembles in unanimous agreement about yesterday’s event from 7 days out missed it.  

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Euro finally ambled out on the ECMWF site. Thought I'd share with you all too. It died again before I get get any other layers.  

MSLP and precip planels, 6hrs. 

Pretty good spot to be 200 hours out.

let’s see how it looks in a few days 

About 6 inches, seasonal total is at 17 inches.  Great storm.

Snow depth around 5-5.5 inches.  Still snowing moderately.  Roads untouched 2-3 inches of snow on the roads in my area. 

Just now, Imgoinhungry said:

Which model wins? Gfs? Consistent from a week out with jackpot zone south of dc.


.

GFS was good, EURO was good, NAMs were good, UKIE also ok.  HRRR, RGEM, CMC, ICON had a rough go of it.

Around 5 inches now.  Still averaging about an inch per hour.

Check the 3k NAM, has us snowing with the main band til like 3am and then pops more snow over us and snows til 7-8am.

2 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

4.5" in Van Ness at 8pm. Have had a nice band of moderate snow rotting over me, picked up an inch in the past hour. Can we make a run for 7"?

Dude…look at the radar.  Yes.  6-10 for DC. 

7 minutes ago, mikeg0305 said:

What about all the moisture in southern WV/VA/KY/TN?

That’s why it’s gonna snow past midnight. 

4 inches 

https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/

Precip blossoming in Ohio, nice moisture fetch...looking good.

Just now, TSG said:

it's remarkable how many times this lesson has to be learned lol

What a crap model.....can't even depend on it when the event is in progress.  

8 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

~3.5" in Van Ness, with some compaction. Think we'll probably end up around 5.5"

Looks like it should snow until around midnight or maybe even 3am if you believe the 3k NAM.  I would think you get more than 2 inches between now and then looking at the radar.  

Love seeing those dark greens reload near Culpepper.

3 inches with moderate snow

2.5 inches, heavy snow.  Snowed 2 inches since 4:30.

Over 2 inches now with heavy snow.  I think it snowed 0.5 inches in the last 25 minutes or so.

1.5 inches with heavy snow 

Dumping, roads caving in a hurry.