SomeguyfromTakomaPark

January medium range daffodil discussion lol.

If we get back to a workable pattern for the last 2 weeks of February and first week of March it can be fun.  By the second week of March I prefer to just get on to the cherry blossoms. 

This is looking like a fast flip back to cold.  Wasn’t following too closely but I saw people posting about relying on March snowfall etc etc so I thought maybe it was the shut the blinds. And the warm up looks pretty muted.  Didn’t realize we’d be back in time for our peak climo. 

Crazy I have snow almost 3 weeks after the storm still in dc. This never happens. 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

By Many I’m guessing you mean the usual suspects. 

It's actually CAD for the whole area verbatim....but of course its the GEM at 240 hours.  This threat window isn't dead but it's on life support. 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Gets to us and we're flooded with warmth.  Next

Yeah I don't like this window so much, stale cold air on the retreat usually isn't a good recipe for us but I guess it can workout via the Euro solution, so will stay tuned but not expecting it work.  

Radiating well, already down to 14-16 around here.  Think we can make single digits inside the beltway tonight. 

18 degrees at 3pm with full sun.  Today is impressive cold.  I think tonight might be our coldest night.

Just now, mitchnick said:

There's a follow up storm that might work. Driving so can't say for sure.

LOL please don't crash looking at the 300 hour Euro AI.

If we had a HECS inside of 100 hours it might be worth it.

Good thing MCPS did a delay lol now its 13 instead of 11.  

That would be a paste bomb on Euro AI.  Interesting, would love to get something crazy wound up like that and just see what happens.

MOCO with 2 more 2 hour delays lol.  So ridiculous.  Why not just go and if any busses are delayed just delay those routes? I feel like they used the same exact yellow buses where I grew up in ny state and we never delayed for the cold. 

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Not much faith on this end until we start to at least get some hits on operationals, the AI, or ensemble support.

Also by that time the AI has removed all the cold air in the CONUS.  Euro evolution is much different keeps the northeast quite cold in that time frame but dry. 

Just now, pazzo83 said:

yeah - cold in the city always feels enhanced.  When we'd have days like this in NYC, it was just fuckin brutal.

Yeah, in between the big buildings with no sun and the wind funneled. 

7 minutes ago, peribonca said:

Tracking the Northern and western edge of the precip shield which seems more generous than modeled. Wondering if that will continue and graze us in the Northern Neck

12z Euro gives us all flurries/snow showers

So what's our next period of interest?  Looks pretty quiet on the ensembles for the next 10-15 days.

ICON has a period of light snow Monday for us, nothing big but worth keeping an eye on.  Could pad the stats a little.

Radar looks fantastic for New Orleans

Radar looks great for New Orleans, they might get a foot lol. 

https://x.com/robperillo/status/1881724318763360679 

New Orleans latest ob is 30 degrees SN with 32 mph gusting to 43 mph.  That's basically a legit blizzard.  Checked a livestream of I-10 and it's a whiteout.

Checked a webcam of bourbon street and it's dumping there.  Wild.  

6z euro gets some snow showers this evening to the eastern part of our sub forum.  With this cold even like 0.02 qpf can whiten things up.

ETA: 3k NAM too

Just now, katabatic said:

Man I wish this was DC! Barnes Corners NY. The truck was clean at midnight and the homeowner (I’m in an airbnb) has had a plow come by twice already. Estimating 27” so far.

Are you in that firehose band south of Watertown? Gonna be some gaudy totals in there.  Did you bring XC skis or snowshoes?

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Low of 9 btw.

Between holidays, snow, whatever today is, and the flu going through the house, my kids have had 5 days of school in a month. I’m getting radicalized into the Maryland @mattie g

Flu has been tearing through this area, both my kids just had it.  And yeah, why are they closing?

Interesting, didn’t drop much between 10pm and 5am but now dropping, down to 11.  Pretty cold for inside the beltway.